Hehe. But speaking of tipping - that's another thing. When setting the odds for a given match during the season, the bookies will have a lot more information available to them than when predicting ladder positions 6-9 months out. Therefore the starting odds for a match will be a much better predictor of the result than the starting odds for ladder positions.Thanks for the explanation. Now I know why my tipping is bad.
- Also, of course, and I should have mentioned this in my earlier post - once the event begins and as it progresses, the odds will change. If you're betting in game and your team is 60 points down at 3Q time, you'll get pretty good odds on them winning. And if after round 18 your team is 3 games clear of the bottom 4, you'll also get pretty good (long) odds on them finishing bottom 4. Because it is, historically and statistically, very unlikely to happen.
But the situation we're talking about here is the here and now, before the season has even begun.