NBA 2021/22 Season

[NYRB]

the good thing for Atlanta for me is Trae Young can have a quite night , and with their depth other players can still step up and the Hawks can be competitive on any night.


But compare that to a team like Dallas where if Doncic has a spell of 4-5 minutes where he is quite- their backup players it seems are not good enough to even at least break even with most opponents.

Another thing as an outside note, it looks like OKC and Josh Giddey's team are going to be in for a long season- given they were smashed by Houston by a fair margin last night.

 

[NYRB]

3 Same Game parlays for me on Saturday night basketball in the US:

1. Miami Heat -4.5 line, Myles Turner 13+ Points and Butler 8+ Rebounds . Odds 10.50
2. McCollum 4+ Threes, Lillard 30+ Pts , Paul 9+ Assists. Odds 10


I expect a high tempo game for Miami v Pacers. Both teams have scored so far at least 120 points a game each.

 

[NYRB]

NBA Prop Bets I like for 23/10


As a speculative parlay:
1. Porzinigis 19+ points
2. Adams 9+ Points
3. Myles Turner 18+ Points

@ 17.55
Myles Turner scored 40 points in his last game.

 

[mozz23]

Suns H2H $2.30

 

[OhhDeledio]

no way atlanta really just lost to the cavs im done

 

[Mazza1234678]

no way atlanta really just lost to the cavs im done

B2B too lol

 

[NYRB]

That's some of the dangers with NBA games. I had Lillard for 30+ pts.

It's being able to predict games whereby they aren't blowouts. Portland rested Lillard midway through 3rd quarter when the game was sewn up.

It's a common thing too.

In games where blowouts are predicted, its always worth looking at the unders on key players.

 

[NYRB]

this is a tough one for -7.5 Minnesota backers:




you have a Minnesota player at the end celebrating at the end as well.............

 

[OhhDeledio]

celtics -5.5 is a laugh. they were horrible last game but no way they dont bounce back against a rebuilding houston team. wont touch them again for a while if they dont cover this

 

[Mazza1234678]

celtics -5.5 is a laugh. they were horrible last game but no way they dont bounce back against a rebuilding houston team. wont touch them again for a while if they dont cover this

There rancid, is the bet if forced to play but what they dished up against Toronto was alarmingly bad

 

[Mazza1234678]

this is a tough one for -7.5 Minnesota backers:




you have a Minnesota player at the end celebrating at the end as well.............

He might be celebrating cos they won???

 

[NYRB]

my first impression of Indiana this season.

Think they will be tough to beat at home. I know they had a pretty crap record last season but coach Carlisle will have them up and about I reckon.

 

[TheJanuaryMan]

no way atlanta really just lost to the cavs im done

I'm a Hawks man but wouldn't be too worried about that. Trae looks like he will dish off more this year rather than be the main offensive weapon. Trick will be working out who benefits most from that.

 

[NYRB]

Another thing I think I have learnt betting on the NBA (in the past few seasons) especially is when margins are > 20 pts in the middle of the 3rd quarter, more than likely the team leading will look to rest players- and in most cases coaches will be unlikely to play them again. (id say around 90% of games) If a team happens to be pegged back to a single digit lead- thats when coaches will bring their superstars back on.

Players on that list I reckon in 2021-22 who will be likely rested for the rest of a game if their teams get big leads:

Anthony Davis
LeBron
Lillard
Trae Young
Giannis


In fact any NBA player on the schedule its about ' man management'. There will be many blow outs this season. Bucks were involved in a heavy loss against Miami the other day, and Giannis didn't play again midway through the 3rd when the Bucks were 33 down.

Often picking or placing bets on these prop bets you have to look into whether a team is likely to get a blow out. As a large margin of >20 means more than likely- superstars from both sides will get rested.

I mean it makes sense as well, especially if you a have gruelling 82 game season.

 

[NYRB]

Anyway speaking of large margins- 6 games on the slate tomorrow on Sunday:

With prop bets - the best chances for the superstar players to cover is in marquee games or games where its expected to be close.


Lines for 24/10/21:

Hornets +8.5 pts $1.90 v $1.90 Nets -8.5 pts
76ers -8.5 pts $1.90 v $1.90 OKC +8.5 pts
Knicks -12.5 pts $1.90 v $1.90 Magic +12.5 pts
Celtics -5.5 pts $1.90 v $1.90 Rockets +5.5 pts
Warriors -3.5 pts $1.93 v $1.87 Kings +3.5 pts
Lakers -5.5 pts $1.89 v $1.91 Memphis +5.5 pts


i like the look of Nets -8.5 pts , 76ers -8.5 pts tomorrow. I have a weird feeling both of those games could be blow outs. OKC would have been demoralized after their blowout by Houston.

The line for points on Durant is currently 29.5 pts at Sportsbet

Also Sportsbet if your reading this , please give us better odds for First Basket odds.

eg

Philadelphia v OKC


No one should be taking any of those odds on Sportbet for First Basket- those odds are criminal.

 

[NYRB]

That is pure filth from Sportsbet and I know the games are on tomorrow but a 215% bookie margin is highway robbery.

 

[NYRB]

FanDuel Odds for a multi involving First Basket for tomorrows games (FanDuel v Sportsbet):





I might have to head to America to create an account with FD. (odds of 405 v 80)

 

[NYRB]

NBA Sunday,
you would have got pretty good odds for Hornets beating Brooklyn and Knicks losing to Orlando today.

 

[NYRB]

2 Same Game Parlays for me today :

1. Pacers Win, Sabonis 25+ Points, Brogdon 3+ Threes @ 13.50 with the boost
2. McCollum 30+ Points, Nurkic 11+ Rebounds , Bledsoe 2+ Threes @ 17.50

impressed with the Pacers and Sabonis seemed to dominate against the Heat the other night

Lillard has been struggling a bit this season and McCollum seems like the go to guy for the time being.

 

[NYRB]

NBA Monday 25/10

1 more multi game parlay:

Edwards 3+ Threes/Minnesota to Win, Barton 2+ Threes/Denver to Win, Bledsoe 10+ Pts/Clippers to Win @ 12.56 at Ladbrokes

 

[NYRB]

and an NBA Rebound Multi:

Giannis 12+ Rebounds
Saddiq Bey 6+ Rebounds
Wendell Carter 8+ Rebounds
Kyle Kuzma 8+ Rebounds
Isiah Stewart 8+ Rebounds

@ 17.10

all bottom 3 have cleared 8+ Rebounds this season.

 

[Matty_G]

Had Charlotte +6.5 PYOL v Boston in my multi today. Hornets played them well, forced overtime. Then got smacked by 11 in OT FML. Naturally was the only leg of the multi that missed.

 

[OhhDeledio]

Had Charlotte +6.5 PYOL v Boston in my multi today. Hornets played them well, forced overtime. Then got smacked by 11 in OT FML. Naturally was the only leg of the multi that missed.

yep i had +9.5 in one of mine so wack

 

[NYRB]

a lot of the talk today for NBA tuesday is the possibility of Houston ($6) shot to beat Dallas.

 

[NYRB]

Its OT in Spurs v Lakers