NBA season 18/19

NonPhixion

Team Captain
Joined
Mar 27, 2018
Posts
541
Likes
478
AFL Club
Collingwood
Other Teams
Cleveland Browns
Interesting logic - especially given they had just given up a 31 point lead to lose a game
This is the last post from me in regards to this discussion. I don’t mean to be disrespectful because I realise your Probably an experienced punter, comparatively to me anyway. But I don’t think you have the knowledge of NBA that avid followers like myself do.
For this purpose I will try to illustrate my logic as best as I can from my initial bet April 15th @1.47. Going into the playoffs I value’d GSW chances of winning at about 90-95%. That seems remarkably high but that was my consensus. I understand markets consider variables such as injuries, suspensions and what ever else, but these variables in my eyes didn’t come close to the gap at my valuation. I understand the irony now that Durant is injured, but it is what it is. even after the 31 point comeback that did not change my thoughts. They got complacent that game, but you only need to look at their game time minutes to realise they were not operating in top gear. I think what’s also important is that the following game they showed up and won by 27 away from home, id say that’s an impressive response due to getting complacent at home in a game they probably thought they had in the bag.
That is all. I hope you can now see my logic.
 

(Log in to remove this ad.)

Joined
Nov 27, 2012
Posts
2,341
Likes
9,645
AFL Club
Hawthorn
Other Teams
Knicks // NY Giants
Odd that you rated them a 90-95% chance to win with Durant but no chance at all without him given they were the best regular season team in history and were a whisker away from back to back titles without him and still have the four key players from that run on the team.
 

NonPhixion

Team Captain
Joined
Mar 27, 2018
Posts
541
Likes
478
AFL Club
Collingwood
Other Teams
Cleveland Browns
Odd that you rated them a 90-95% chance to win with Durant but no chance at all without him given they were the best regular season team in history and were a whisker away from back to back titles without him and still have the four key players from that run on the team.
Your missing the point. Obviously I still think they are a good chance without Durant. But without him. My value is lost in the bet
 

NonPhixion

Team Captain
Joined
Mar 27, 2018
Posts
541
Likes
478
AFL Club
Collingwood
Other Teams
Cleveland Browns
Leonard with one of the craziest buzzer-beaters ever. Raptors vs bucks will be interesting. My warriors should cruise past the blazers with or without Durant. Just hope he’s back for the final.
Sb have SGM promo for conference finals
 

Red Dog Styles

All Australian
Joined
Feb 13, 2017
Posts
701
Likes
350
Location
Ferntree Gully
AFL Club
Hawthorn
Leonard with one of the craziest buzzer-beaters ever. Raptors vs bucks will be interesting. My warriors should cruise past the blazers with or without Durant. Just hope he’s back for the final.
Sb have SGM promo for conference finals
Was happy for your Gws futures bet, suprised me when they wrapped up the Rox in 6. Was unsure whether you cashed out but glad to know you didn't!

On SM-G930F using BigFooty.com mobile app
 

NonPhixion

Team Captain
Joined
Mar 27, 2018
Posts
541
Likes
478
AFL Club
Collingwood
Other Teams
Cleveland Browns
Not that it matters much. But Bogut played an entire 3:30 mins with the sole purpose of winning the jump ball to ensure first possession. Interested to see if it happens game 3
 
Joined
Feb 13, 2017
Posts
701
Likes
350
Location
Ferntree Gully
AFL Club
Hawthorn
Ok guys I’m now sweating hard on my 5u GSW bet. Durant left today’s game with an injury. If he can’t play out the rest of the playoffs... then the bet is out the window. God I hope it’s only minor, doesn’t look good tho
Gws bet very safe now

On SM-G930F using BigFooty.com mobile app
 

(Log in to remove this ad.)

Joined
Mar 27, 2018
Posts
541
Likes
478
AFL Club
Collingwood
Other Teams
Cleveland Browns
Gws bet very safe now

On SM-G930F using BigFooty.com mobile app
Hmm. Sb have the odds at 1.33. I rekon that’s about on the money. Considering the mystery surrounding Durant, if I knew he was going to play by game 2 or 3, it’s as safe as houses. I harp on about him, but imo he’s the best player in the world. Looks like Cousins is set to return for the series, which will be important if they play Toronto in the final, as Siakam is a more dangerous center.
 
Top Bottom