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Prediction Next 4 Games
- Thread starter AsterixTheGaul
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Sydney are done, they have Port (away), Eagles (neutral), Dogs (away), GWS in the next four. Good chance they go 0-4 and GWS leapfrog them.
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MrKennedy17
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- Jun 13, 2021
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Thought i saw Swans were in Melbourne but then had to get something for the game to be played in Adelaide.
Adelaide be best.
Hope the Bombers then GWS beat Dees.
Adelaide be best.
Hope the Bombers then GWS beat Dees.
Bombers no chance to beat the D's.
Karim Abdul Yeo
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anything is better than that stupid ground where average I50's is 1.5 times the afl average. even West coast Eagles have 60 I50's there which happens once every decade for us.
Karim Abdul Yeo
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I wouldn't talk Demons up that much. They haven't really done anything apart from a good half a year. Do you remember 2016?? North started the season 9-0 finished the year 3-10 just made the 8. Melbourne could well and truly do that.
I could easily Dees and Dogs dropping down a few places. I feel like Cats will end up top but there is still a lot of competition for the remaining spots.
Pencil in a solid but unspectacular five goal win for both
Wonderful...I like your attitude and reasoning!
Karim Abdul Yeo
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games against North, Saints and freo become crucial for that %.
North were an obviously average team who were beating up on bottom right sides. Their only win against top eight that year was the Dogs I'm pretty sure.
Melbourne are clearly up for it this year. Whether they are grand final or premiership material is another question
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Did a predictor a week or so ago. Had us 7th and playing Richmond @ MCG first week. Had us losing to Sydney (admittedly this was before the game was moved from SCG), Brisbane (last round at the Gabba, not too surprising) and marked us down for a loss vs Collingwood in Melbourne (not that I think we'll lose but I suspect we'll drop a game we shouldn't, maybe the derby later in the year? Maybe the dees in Perth?). Top four is very unlikely, we'd have to go almost undefeated from here and every scenario where we make it, we need to beat Brisbane in the last round. If we sneak into 4th we'd have had the perfect season from here and we'd go on to win the flag.
Yeah my predictor had us losing v Sydney in Sydney (might be a different story now that it is unlikely to be played at SCG), winning the rest of our games and then us and Brissie playing for 4th spot in the final round.
Enter: Willie, stage right.
This ladder predictor stuff is garbage this far out. All teams will drop games you don't expect them to, so assuming that the top teams just keep winning is not going to play out in reality.
This season is fairly close, like 2018 and 2019, without a lot of easy beat teams. Based on the ladders from those years, 15 wins and good % gets us top 4 and 16 wins guarantees it. As others have said, that means we can only afford to drop 1 or 2 games. It's going to be tough. The good news is, our win against the Tigers almost certainly rules them out (if they drop 1 more they won't make it).
If we win all remaining games we'll likely finish second, imagine that
This season is fairly close, like 2018 and 2019, without a lot of easy beat teams. Based on the ladders from those years, 15 wins and good % gets us top 4 and 16 wins guarantees it. As others have said, that means we can only afford to drop 1 or 2 games. It's going to be tough. The good news is, our win against the Tigers almost certainly rules them out (if they drop 1 more they won't make it).
If we win all remaining games we'll likely finish second, imagine that
It's very injury dependent. They have had some minor injuries (Viney, Tomlinson) but mostly have had a charmed run.
I don't wish injuries on anyone, but a Gawn, Petracca, May, Lever injury would drop their rating significantly
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If our game against sydney gets moved to the MCG, I think we may be a chance. Dropping the essendon game didnt help and it was bad timing that Tim kelly left the game early. Kelly already had 11 touches and looked like getting 30+ and we would have won.
That said, the games that we are likely to drop are the game against Brisbane, Melbourne and maybe Sydney
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I like that the old EP is back. I blame your ridiculously optimistic (by your standards) outlook on footy this year as the primary cause for our up and down form and injury curse. Now, if you can just retract that last sentence then I think the world will be back in balance and we can go about winning our 5th flag.
Even just Gawn tbh. Jackson is a gun but I think it would really throw them out of whack if Gawn was out long term.
A lot has to go right for us to get into the top 4 but i feel loosing that Bombers game , GWS and Saints game is going to come back and bite us as we were in a decent winning position in 2 of those games.
Also another problem is the top 4 have a lot of easy kills in the back half which will only boost their % and wins.
Are we a better team then previous bottom 8 years where we can play every game to get to the GF? In 06 we had to go the long way but we did get 2 home games to get there.
Also another problem is the top 4 have a lot of easy kills in the back half which will only boost their % and wins.
Are we a better team then previous bottom 8 years where we can play every game to get to the GF? In 06 we had to go the long way but we did get 2 home games to get there.
It's interesting (and probably frustrating in football circles) that the Rnd 16 fixture hasn't been finalised as yet.
It probably has to happen today - as surely teams need to plan recovery, training etc immediately after a game (and there is a game tonight).
Currently 2 games at Marvel and 2 at the G - one at GMHBA. The problem being the 6 sides that play this Sunday don't have matchups against each other the next week at all (meaning there are 6 teams who would be off a 5 day break if any one of them were scheduled for Friday night).
It pretty much leaves only 3 games for Thursday and/or Friday night games (Thursday would mean 5-day breaks again though) - GC v Richmond (surely not), Coll V STK, Geel V Ess.
From a viewer perspective, Geel V Ess probably gets the nod - but if that happens then there would be 1 game each day (Sat/Sun) at Marvel and the MCG - and still no ground allocated for our game against Sydney.
Basically I'm hoping for a Coll v STK Friday night game, which would likely lead to Melb v Giants Saturday and we get Syd at the G on Sunday.
It probably has to happen today - as surely teams need to plan recovery, training etc immediately after a game (and there is a game tonight).
Currently 2 games at Marvel and 2 at the G - one at GMHBA. The problem being the 6 sides that play this Sunday don't have matchups against each other the next week at all (meaning there are 6 teams who would be off a 5 day break if any one of them were scheduled for Friday night).
It pretty much leaves only 3 games for Thursday and/or Friday night games (Thursday would mean 5-day breaks again though) - GC v Richmond (surely not), Coll V STK, Geel V Ess.
From a viewer perspective, Geel V Ess probably gets the nod - but if that happens then there would be 1 game each day (Sat/Sun) at Marvel and the MCG - and still no ground allocated for our game against Sydney.
Basically I'm hoping for a Coll v STK Friday night game, which would likely lead to Melb v Giants Saturday and we get Syd at the G on Sunday.
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