NFL 2020/21 Season

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Joe9

Club Legend
Nov 5, 2020
1,843
836
AFL Club
Adelaide
well I did my dough backing the bucs in the battle of the geriatrics. Their game against the giants last week looked like it was on autopilot with their sole focus on the saints and yet they couldn't play any worse today.

Seems like you would have better luck flipping a coin when picking a line in the nfl this season
 

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Mazza1234678

Brownlow Medallist
Dec 2, 2017
22,511
11,162
AFL Club
Collingwood
I think it’s the hardest sport in the world to consistently turn a profit punting on
Not even up for debate, nothing comes close to it being the hardest sport to punt, but it’s by far the best sport in the world to watch

Why I tend to just use bonus bets I collect on a Saturday for multis and bet on it purely out of interest

Impossible to win consistently on this sport
 

NYRB

Norm Smith Medallist
Oct 6, 2011
5,645
2,112
Auckland, New Zealand
AFL Club
GWS
Other Teams
Patriots, Perth Glory, Wildcats
Smarkets have settled their 2020 US Presidential Winner market.

Their focus is on another market as I speak:

'Will Trump Concede?" (from 3 November 2020 to 20 January 2021)



Yes $1.50 v $2.62 No
 

NYRB

Norm Smith Medallist
Oct 6, 2011
5,645
2,112
Auckland, New Zealand
AFL Club
GWS
Other Teams
Patriots, Perth Glory, Wildcats
The Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings between the two sides.

2 Bets for me in the Jets v Patriots

1. Same Game Multi- Pats to win, Newtown touchdown and Under 41.5 pts @ $5.78 (Boosted on TAB). Joe Flacco is starting for the Jets, who could only put together 10 points in his 2 starts against the Cardinals and the Dolphins. The Pats are averaging 13 points in their 4 game losing streak. This is the key number and I sense the under lines will drop closer to game time.

2. Back Frank Gore to score a touch down anytime at $4.50. The Pats have allowed 7 TDs in the last 2 weeks. With Crowder returning from injury for New York, I expect more of the attention to go to him, which in turn could allow Gore a bit more room.
 

Mazza1234678

Brownlow Medallist
Dec 2, 2017
22,511
11,162
AFL Club
Collingwood
Couple of over markets that I thought were crazy low, don’t really touch them but these seemed way off

Harris over 49.5 rushing yards, think it’s up to 58.5 now

Crowder over 50.5 receiving yards, think it’s up to 57.5 now

Crowder gone over 100 in 3 of his last 4 games and Harris should get a ton of carries today, to take the ball out of cams hands who has thrown a ton of picks
 

NonPhixion

Bookie Assassin
Mar 27, 2018
4,711
6,067
AFL Club
Collingwood
Other Teams
Cleveland Browns, Tony Ferguson
Joe Flacco just about being rolled out on a wheelchair and already put 13 points on the Pats. Need a Bellichick shut out 2nd half
Nvm.. idk why I persist with these bets. I think I might check out on the season and just hope some futures bets hit
 

Mazza1234678

Brownlow Medallist
Dec 2, 2017
22,511
11,162
AFL Club
Collingwood
Couple of over markets that I thought were crazy low, don’t really touch them but these seemed way off

Harris over 49.5 rushing yards, think it’s up to 58.5 now

Crowder over 50.5 receiving yards, think it’s up to 57.5 now

Crowder gone over 100 in 3 of his last 4 games and Harris should get a ton of carries today, to take the ball out of cams hands who has thrown a ton of picks
Both sitting at half of this total at HT

Good chance both will get rolled with the Jets blowing them out
 

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Mazza1234678

Brownlow Medallist
Dec 2, 2017
22,511
11,162
AFL Club
Collingwood
Joe Flacco just about being rolled out on a wheelchair and already put 13 points on the Pats. Need a Bellichick shut out 2nd half
Nvm.. idk why I persist with these bets. I think I might check out on the season and just hope some futures bets hit
Has thrown numerous long balls to every receiver except his number 1 who I have a bet on

Sums up nfl punting
 

Mazza1234678

Brownlow Medallist
Dec 2, 2017
22,511
11,162
AFL Club
Collingwood
Couple of over markets that I thought were crazy low, don’t really touch them but these seemed way off

Harris over 49.5 rushing yards, think it’s up to 58.5 now

Crowder over 50.5 receiving yards, think it’s up to 57.5 now

Crowder gone over 100 in 3 of his last 4 games and Harris should get a ton of carries today, to take the ball out of cams hands who has thrown a ton of picks
Harris covers easily

Flacco throws up a storm and targets Crowder twice

Just lol
 

Joe9

Club Legend
Nov 5, 2020
1,843
836
AFL Club
Adelaide
I don't follow all the games but found it interesting this season for the Sunday night game the favourite has failed to cover the line in 8/10 games and lost straight up in 7/10. In week 2, the favourite Seattle just held out the Pats on the final play of the game to win and cover the -4.5; and in week 5 Seattle failed to beat the line but beat Minnesota 27-26 with a td in the last 15sec.

Definitely one to keep an eye on.
 

LSRU

All Australian
Feb 3, 2010
835
1,282
melbourne
AFL Club
Sydney
Really like David Moore for a td tomorrow at 4.50 Sportsbet (2.75 tab). Should be a shootout and Tyler Lockett who went for over 200 and scored 3 against cards 4 weeks ago, under a massive injury cloud.
 

md20

Debutant
Apr 24, 2020
147
148
AFL Club
Brisbane Lions
A few others i like for the round:

B. Roethlisberger Over 275.5 - $1.88 (SB)
J. Herbert Over 282.5 - $1.87 (Lads/Neds)

I have only just come across Cynthia Frelund and her prop picks during the week on Gameday View on Gamepass. So will be following those pretty closely to see how she goes.
A few interesting ones she mentioned are

McLaurin 75+ Receiving Yards
Goff Under 260 Passing Yards
AJ Brown 65+ Receiving Yards
D. Parker 65 + Receiving Yards

On SM-G965F using BigFooty.com mobile app
 

Joe9

Club Legend
Nov 5, 2020
1,843
836
AFL Club
Adelaide
I don't follow all the games but found it interesting this season for the Sunday night game the favourite has failed to cover the line in 8/10 games and lost straight up in 7/10. In week 2, the favourite Seattle just held out the Pats on the final play of the game to win and cover the -4.5; and in week 5 Seattle failed to beat the line but beat Minnesota 27-26 with a td in the last 15sec.

Definitely one to keep an eye on.
the dogs are now 9/11 on Sunday night and almost another winner straight up.
 

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