NRL 2021

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NYRB

Norm Smith Medallist
Oct 6, 2011
6,433
2,397
Auckland, New Zealand
AFL Club
GWS
Other Teams
Patriots, Perth Glory, Wildcats
I thought I would create a thread for the upcoming NRL Season. It kicks off with the Charity Shield tonight

St George 6.20, Draw 24, South Sydney 1.23

TopSport Line

St George +10.5 pts $1.98 v $1.88 South Sydney
 

NYRB

Norm Smith Medallist
Oct 6, 2011
6,433
2,397
Auckland, New Zealand
AFL Club
GWS
Other Teams
Patriots, Perth Glory, Wildcats
Outright Odds in 2021:

Panthers $5
South Sydney 5.50
Roosters 6
Storm 6.50
Raiders 11
Eels 14
Titans 16
Manly, Newcastle 21
Cowboys, Warriors 26
Cronulla 29
Tigers 41
Broncos, Dragons, Bulldogs 51
 

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NYRB

Norm Smith Medallist
Oct 6, 2011
6,433
2,397
Auckland, New Zealand
AFL Club
GWS
Other Teams
Patriots, Perth Glory, Wildcats
To Make The Top 8:

Penrith 1.10
Souths 1.12
Storm, Roosters 1.18
Raiders 1.42
Eels, Titans 1.75
Manly, Newcastle 2.00
Warriors 2.50
Cowboys 2.60
Cronulla 3
Bulldogs, Tigers 3.50
Dragons 3.75
Broncos 4.00
 

Nuggetz

Team Captain
Jan 4, 2021
394
327
AFL Club
Sydney
To Make The Top 8:

Penrith 1.10
Souths 1.12
Storm, Roosters 1.18
Raiders 1.42
Eels, Titans 1.75
Manly, Newcastle 2.00
Warriors 2.50
Cowboys 2.60
Cronulla 3
Bulldogs, Tigers 3.50
Dragons 3.75
Broncos 4.00
Can see Manly missing top 8 with turbo gone for 4+ weeks and their spine is sh*t without him. Warriors heaps of changes and RTS last year so will want to finish with a bang. They're my pick to sneak into the top 8
 

juss

Brownlow Medallist
Feb 23, 2009
23,787
30,532
Melbourne
AFL Club
Richmond
Other Teams
New York Jets
To Make The Top 8:

Penrith 1.10
Souths 1.12
Storm, Roosters 1.18
Raiders 1.42
Eels, Titans 1.75
Manly, Newcastle 2.00
Warriors 2.50
Cowboys 2.60
Cronulla 3
Bulldogs, Tigers 3.50
Dragons 3.75
Broncos 4.00
Geez if Ponga stays fit I don't mind Newcastle at $2
Eels at $1.75 pretty good too.
 

juss

Brownlow Medallist
Feb 23, 2009
23,787
30,532
Melbourne
AFL Club
Richmond
Other Teams
New York Jets
Depends on injuries and they rely heavily on Jack Wighton
Injuries of course, that could cripple any team though.
They'll certainly be able to beat anyone on their day and should be around top 4 which gives them a chance.

Just reckon $11 is long for them at this stage. I reckon they will shorten through the year so they could even be a good buy and trade out team on Betfair.
 

LukeParkerno1

Post-Human
Sep 23, 2005
128,072
51,375
Sydney
AFL Club
Sydney
Other Teams
Sydney Swans
Injuries of course, that could cripple any team though.
They'll certainly be able to beat anyone on their day and should be around top 4 which gives them a chance.

Just reckon $11 is long for them at this stage. I reckon they will shorten through the year so they could even be a good buy and trade out team on Betfair.
Na think the price is about right. South’s are the value should be $3 at most.
 

juss

Brownlow Medallist
Feb 23, 2009
23,787
30,532
Melbourne
AFL Club
Richmond
Other Teams
New York Jets
Na think the price is about right. South’s are the value should be $3 at most.
I'll probably do what I did last year, back 3-4 teams at over 3-$4 each and either ride it to the end or trade out. It's worked for me the last few seasons although the year the Roosters beat the Raiders I was shitting myself because I didn't have the Raiders in my bets.

I'm almost certain the Raiders will shorten from $11 at some point in the season and will definitely be a profitable trade out.
 

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LukeParkerno1

Post-Human
Sep 23, 2005
128,072
51,375
Sydney
AFL Club
Sydney
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Sydney Swans
The only teams that should ever be $3 to take out the NRL title are the Storm or the Roosters - no other club is professional enough to justify such a short quote this far out
Each to their own. Only injuries will stop South’s being in the GF imo. Of all the top sides they are the only one that’s improved. Melbourne sure haven’t with Smith not being there and Penrith have lost a bucket of depth
 

LukeParkerno1

Post-Human
Sep 23, 2005
128,072
51,375
Sydney
AFL Club
Sydney
Other Teams
Sydney Swans
I'll probably do what I did last year, back 3-4 teams at over 3-$4 each and either ride it to the end or trade out. It's worked for me the last few seasons although the year the Roosters beat the Raiders I was shitting myself because I didn't have the Raiders in my bets.

I'm almost certain the Raiders will shorten from $11 at some point in the season and will definitely be a profitable trade out.
Raiders probably depend on what the season looks like. How many home games are they getting? They are a 10 point better side at home
 

juss

Brownlow Medallist
Feb 23, 2009
23,787
30,532
Melbourne
AFL Club
Richmond
Other Teams
New York Jets
Each to their own. Only injuries will stop South’s being in the GF imo. Of all the top sides they are the only one that’s improved. Melbourne sure haven’t with Smith not being there and Penrith have lost a bucket of depth
Souths look great on paper but agree with ILP above, $3 before a game is played is not a price I'd touch. They only need to lose a game or two or have another contender have a blistering start for that to probably drift a bit.
 

NYRB

Norm Smith Medallist
Oct 6, 2011
6,433
2,397
Auckland, New Zealand
AFL Club
GWS
Other Teams
Patriots, Perth Glory, Wildcats
NRL Round 1 odds from Top Sport

Storm 1.82 v 2.00 Souths
Knights 1.50 v 2.60 Bulldogs
Broncos 3.35 v 1.33 Eels
Warriors 2.25 v 1.65 Titans
Roosters 1.33 v 3.35 Sea Eagles
Panthers 1.30 v 3.55 Cowboys
Raiders 1.30 v 3.55 Tigers
Dragons 2.25 v 1.65 Cronulla
 

LukeParkerno1

Post-Human
Sep 23, 2005
128,072
51,375
Sydney
AFL Club
Sydney
Other Teams
Sydney Swans
NRL Round 1 odds from Top Sport

Storm 1.82 v 2.00 Souths
Knights 1.50 v 2.60 Bulldogs
Broncos 3.35 v 1.33 Eels
Warriors 2.25 v 1.65 Titans
Roosters 1.33 v 3.35 Sea Eagles
Panthers 1.30 v 3.55 Cowboys
Raiders 1.30 v 3.55 Tigers
Dragons 2.25 v 1.65 Cronulla
Souths outsiders against a Storm side minus Smith and Grant out too lol

Warriors and Tigers value too
 

NYRB

Norm Smith Medallist
Oct 6, 2011
6,433
2,397
Auckland, New Zealand
AFL Club
GWS
Other Teams
Patriots, Perth Glory, Wildcats
Line for Season Match Wins from TopSport

Broncos: under 7.5 wins 1.80 v 2.00 Over 7.5 wins
Canberra: under 15.5 wins 1.80 v 2.00 Over 15.5 wins
Canterbury: under 9.5 wins 1.74 v 2.10 Over 9.5 wins
Cronulla: under 9.5 wins 1.90 v 1.90 Over 9.5 wins
Gold Coast: under 9.5 wins 1.90 v 1.90 Over 9.5 wins
Manly: under 11.5 wins 1.90 v 1.90 Over 11.5 wins
Melbourne: under 16.5 wins 1.80 v 2.00 Over 16.5 wins
New Zealand: under 9.5 wins 1.90 v 1.90 Over 9.5 wins
Newcastle: under 11.5 wins 1.90 v 1.90 Over 11.5 wins
North Queensland: under 9.5 wins 1.90 v 1.90 Over 9.5 wins
Parramatta: under 14.5 wins 1.73 v 2.10 Over 14.5 wins
Penrith: under 17.5 wins 1.80 v 2.00 Over 17.5 wins
South Sydney: under 16.5 wins 1.80 v 2.00 Over 16.5 wins
St George : under 6.5 wins 1.90 v 1.90 Over 5.5 wins
Roosters: under 16.5 wins 1.80 v 2.00 Over 16.5 wins
Tigers: under 7.5 wins 1.90 v 1.90 Over 7.5 wins
 

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