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NRL 2021

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juss said:
I can't recall ever seeing a bigger NRL line than Penrith - 37.5 today against the Bulldogs.

I know if they bother to try they can clear it easily, but over 6 converted tries before a ball is played seems huge. If they are a bit off, they could still smash them by 30, is there any chance they take this somewhat lightly? Consider that even a 40-6 win still sees Bulldogs cover by 3.5
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No bet game for me, but there one of the best sides I’ve seen in a while

Highly likely they win 50-6 IMO
 
Mazza1234678 said:
No bet game for me, but there one of the best sides I’ve seen in a while

Highly likely they win 50-6 IMO
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Yeh I'm not going to touch it. Just thought it was really unique, and entirely depends on how much Penrith bother. Don't like betting money on mindset.
 
juss said:
I can't recall ever seeing a bigger NRL line than Penrith - 37.5 today against the Bulldogs.

I know if they bother to try they can clear it easily, but over 6 converted tries before a ball is played seems huge. If they are a bit off, they could still smash them by 30, is there any chance they take this somewhat lightly? Consider that even a 40-6 win still sees Bulldogs cover by 3.5
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It won’t be enough. Bulldogs won’t score and Penrith score enough
 
NRL Round 13:

Thursday 03-Jun-2021 @ 19:50WinLineO/U
Netstrata Jubilee Stadium, Sydney
St George Illawarra Dragons
1.45​
-7.5 @ 1.90Over 46.5 @ 1.90
Brisbane Broncos
2.85​
+7.5 @ 1.90Under 46.5 @ 1.90
Friday 04-Jun-2021 @ 19:55WinLineO/U
Leichhardt Oval, Sydney
Wests Tigers
2.85​
+6.5 @ 1.90Over 46.5 @ 1.90
Penrith Panthers
1.44​
-6.5 @ 1.90Under 46.5 @ 1.90
Saturday 05-Jun-2021 @ 19:35WinLineO/U
Sunshine Coast Stadium
Melbourne Storm
1.08​
-22.5 @ 1.90Over 50.0 @ 1.90
Gold Coast Titans
8.40​
+22.5 @ 1.90Under 50.0 @ 1.90
Sunday 06-Jun-2021 @ 16:05WinLineO/U
McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle
Newcastle Knights
3.80​
+11.5 @ 1.95Over 47.5 @ 1.90
Parramatta Eels
1.28​
-11.5 @ 1.85Under 47.5 @ 1.90
 

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Reckon the Broncos are good to win tonight

also not sure if Storm 2nd string can beat Titans, maybe worth Titans on the line?

Knights look a tad big, especially after their underdog win over Manly last week.
 
NYRB said:
Reckon the Broncos are good to win tonight

also not sure if Storm 2nd string can beat Titans, maybe worth Titans on the line?

Knights look a tad big, especially after their underdog win over Manly last week.
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Broncos and Dragons is a dead set pick it game, Milford not playing helps. I'd still tip the Dragons just because it's at home.

Titans do have Fifita and Brimson out that's literally 90% of their points...not a game I'm going near. Titans at the line possibly the play but I just don't trust GC.

Knights copped some key injuries last week, Frizell is out for 6 weeks, Ponga obviously unavailable. Wouldn't read too much into last week, was more Manly being horrible.
 
LukeParkerno1 said:
Broncos and Dragons is a dead set pick it game, Milford not playing helps. I'd still tip the Dragons just because it's at home.
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then the Broncos are an obvious bet at the price
 
iluvparis said:
then the Broncos are an obvious bet at the price
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I'd go with option C, no bet in the game for me.

The other market I like is the understatement, both teams are hopeless at scoring.

It's not a game I'm betting on.
 
LukeParkerno1 said:
I'd go with option C, no bet in the game for me.

The other market I like is the understatement, both teams are hopeless at scoring.

It's not a game I'm betting on.
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So you won't take $2.80 a coin flip

#seemslegit
 
iluvparis said:
So you won't take $2.80 a coin flip

#seemslegit
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Not really, there's better tennis games to bet on than taking a dart that Brisbane will turn up. Only reason it's a pick it game is because the Dragon have been horrible the last month. They haven't played a terrible side though. You can get $2 tennis games which are better.
 
LukeParkerno1 said:
Not really, there's better tennis games to bet on than taking a dart that Brisbane will turn up. Only reason it's a pick it game is because the Dragon have been horrible the last month. They haven't played a terrible side though. You can get $2 tennis games which are better.
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It's not a dart though according to you - genuine 50/50
 
iluvparis said:
It's not a dart though according to you - genuine 50/50
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Most NRL games are unless you are talking about the clear top 4 in the market (Penrith, Melbourne, Souths, Roosters).

Look if you want to bet on the game, go for it no one is stopping you, I'll be staying out, have said it a few times.
 

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State of Origin 1 Try scorer odds:

Player1st Try ScorerAnytime Try Scorer
Xavier Coates (QLD)10.002.25
Kurt Capewell (QLD)16.003.25
Dane Gagai (QLD)14.002.50
Valentine Holmes (QLD)10.002.25
Cameron Munster (QLD)23.004.00
Daly Cherry-Evans (QLD)23.004.00
Christian Welch (QLD)81.0015.00
Harry Grant (QLD)31.005.00
Tino Faasuamaleaui (QLD)41.008.00
Felise Kaufusi (QLD)26.005.50
David Fifita (QLD)19.003.50
Jai Arrow (QLD)67.0011.00
Alexander Brimson (QLD)14.003.00
Jaydn SuA (QLD)31.006.00
Moeaki Fotuaika (QLD)101.0015.00
Joe Ofahengaue (QLD)67.0013.00
Kyle Feldt (QLD)10.002.25
Ben Hunt (QLD)34.005.00
Coen Hess (QLD)23.005.50
James Tedesco (NSW)13.002.40
Brian Too (NSW)9.002.00
Latrell Mitchell (NSW)13.002.40
Tom Trbojevic (NSW)12.002.40
Josh Addo-Carr (NSW)9.001.90
Jarome Luai (NSW)23.004.00
Nathan Cleary (NSW)19.003.50
Daniel Saifiti (NSW)51.0011.00
Damien Cook (NSW)31.005.00
Jake Trbojevic (NSW)51.009.00
Cameron Murray (NSW)19.004.00
Tariq Sims (NSW)23.005.50
Isaah Yeo (NSW)51.008.00
Jack Wighton (NSW)14.003.25
Junior Paulo (NSW)51.009.00
Payne Haas (NSW)51.008.00
Liam Martin (NSW)19.004.00
Apisai Koroisau (NSW)41.008.00
Campbell Graham (NSW)10.002.20
No Tryscorer251.00--
 
Mazza1234678 said:
I know it’s Orgin but with the new rules and the high contact crackdown the 42.5 total looks worth getting on

Overs, Fox try and Tedesco MOM looks the go for me
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I was looking back at past State of Origin Game 1's and usually they are more tighter affairs. Think last 25 openers, only 3 have gone over 50.5 points or thereabouts.
 
NYRB said:
I was looking back at past State of Origin Game 1's and usually they are more tighter affairs. Think last 25 openers, only 3 have gone over 50.5 points or thereabouts.
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That's probably why he started with "I know it's Origin but" ;)

I don't mind the overs with the new rule, but might play it safe and take the Blues line.
 
NSW don't normally have this objectively superior a side to QLD. QLD at home is a lazy bet that a lot will get sucked into.
 

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SM said:
NSW don't normally have this objectively superior a side to QLD. QLD at home is a lazy bet that a lot will get sucked into.
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Things legitimately said almost every Origin Series for the last 20 years
 

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NRL 2021

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