NRL 2021

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juss said:
Probably best value yes. But I rate Parramatta and think they win. Not sure they're a $1.28 fav though.
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Was hardly impressed with Parra yesterday the scoreline flattered them, was a one try game with 10 to go and the Dragons defence isn't as diabolical as the Tigers! If they jump near $1.30 I'll be loading the line with the Dragons.
 
NYRB said:
Dragons the surprise packet for me in the top 6 at the moment. I was expecting them to be bottom 4 after their charity shield match.
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Sort of shows you how good that top 4 are- Penrith, Roosters, Souths and Melbourne. There is a gap after that and chook raffle them.
 

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i think the Broncos can get within 21.5 points of South Sydney, there you heard it first. I wouldn't look too much at the form of beating the Bulldogs from both sides recently. Both did beat them to nil.

Bulldogs have massive offensive problems. 3 weeks in a row where they have scored 0 points.
 
NYRB said:
i think the Broncos can get within 21.5 points of South Sydney, there you heard it first. I wouldn't look too much at the form of beating the Bulldogs from both sides recently. Both did beat them to nil.

Bulldogs have massive offensive problems. 3 weeks in a row where they have scored 0 points.
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Trust me no they won't. Souths will win 50+...Marshall probably has his only start for the year against a hapless side. Dead set I'll be on him to score and 2+
 
NYRB said:
i think the Broncos can get within 21.5 points of South Sydney, there you heard it first. I wouldn't look too much at the form of beating the Bulldogs from both sides recently. Both did beat them to nil.

Bulldogs have massive offensive problems. 3 weeks in a row where they have scored 0 points.
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Similar to Storm last week, I could see South's putting on 40+ , every chance of covering.
 
There's nothing really in the H2H markets tonight, nor the 13+ margin markets.
About the only value I might see is Souths - 20.5 at $2 and Souths total points over.

I backed the Storm to do it last week and they delivered as expected, the Rabbits have been able to put on points the last few weeks (avg. 30 per game), while Brisbane have been flogged by the only top 4 side they've played.

Cody Walker is a huge out, but the Bunnies are still poles better and should be able to rack up the points, they're total points over is 30.5 on NEDS.

I think I might take one of those, hoping they might fluctuate slightly in my favour by gametime.
 
juss said:
There's nothing really in the H2H markets tonight, nor the 13+ margin markets.
About the only value I might see is Souths - 20.5 at $2 and Souths total points over.

I backed the Storm to do it last week and they delivered as expected, the Rabbits have been able to put on points the last few weeks (avg. 30 per game), while Brisbane have been flogged by the only top 4 side they've played.

Cody Walker is a huge out, but the Bunnies are still poles better and should be able to rack up the points, they're total points over is 30.5 on NEDS.

I think I might take one of those, hoping they might fluctuate slightly in my favour by gametime.
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Bang bang! Good start to the round.
 
NRL Round 6:

From Top Sport

Broncos 12 v 1.03 Panthers
Knights 2.05 v 1.78 Sharks
Storm 1.35 v 3.15 Roosters
South Sydney 1.11 v 6.50 West Tigers
Raiders 1.65 v 2.25 Eels
Dragons 1.45 v 2.75 Warriors
Cowboys 1.47 v 2.70 Bulldogs
 

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juss said:
That was a stupidly high line.
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Solid hindsight call - teams in the top half against the bottom 6 teams were something like 14-2 before last night covering some mammoth lines easily.
 
iluvparis said:
Solid hindsight call - teams in the top half against the bottom 6 teams were something like 14-2 before last night covering some mammoth lines easily.
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The Panthers aren't going to blitz it every week, that's not sustainable over the season. The Broncos have not been that bad at Suncorp either, they've competed.
 
NRL YTD:

13/23 won +5.4% ROI

Took a bit of a hit over the last 2 rounds but still in the green.

Some early looks for R7:

Panthers, Eels, Sharks, Strom will get you about $1.82
Souths -6 against Titans @ $2 (might line shop for -5.5 hopefully).
Wests +5.5 against Manly. Am hoping this drifts out.
Storm - 16 against Warriors. Storm have loved this H2H matchup recently, with wins like 50-10 and 50-6 in the last handful of games. NZ facing some key injury challenges too.
 
NRL Round 7 from TopSport:

Panthers 1.11 v 6.50 Knights
Titans 2.80 v 1.44 South Sydney
Cronulla 1.17 v 5.00 Bulldogs
Cowboys 4.00 v 1.25 Raiders
Tigers 2.60 v 1.50 Manly
Roosters 1.60 v 2.35 Dragons
Storm 1.13 v 6.00 Warriors



Handicap
Panthers -16.5 pts $1.90 v $1.90 Knights +16.5 pts
Titans +6.5 pts $1.90 v $1.90 South Sydney -6.5 pts
Eels -13.5 pts $1.90 v $1.90 Brisbane +13.5 pts
Sharks -14.5 pts $1.90 v $1.90 Bulldogs +14.5 pts
Cowboys +11.5 pts $1.90 v $1.90 Raiders -11.5 pts
Tigers +6 pts $1.90 v $1.90 Manly -6 pts
Roosters -4 pts $1.85 v $1.95 Dragons +4 pts
Storm -16.5 pts $1.90 v $1.90 Warriors +16.5 pts
 
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