Racing October Daily Punt- Getting pasted by 80-1 pops from WA

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Gavin Excell

Brownlow Medallist
Apr 22, 2007
28,215
29,876
Bentleigh
AFL Club
Geelong
Derby Day early look

Empire Rose is i think enhanced by Melody Belle. Opted out Cox Plate for this but is that NZ form a level below?
Coolmoore- Golden Rose form is key here with Bivouac and Exceedance the obvious
 

year of the cat

Brownlow Medallist
Mar 27, 2006
18,524
21,418
Melbourne
AFL Club
Geelong
Shadow Hero was $2.50 Derby couple of weeks ago

Wins Spring Champion and horse it beats- Castlevechio runs a blunder Cox Plate- yet its blowing like a gale to $3.50

What's going on?
Imo, that was before both Thought of That and Soul Patch both put in excellent Derby trials. Just a readjustment of the market to reflect three legitimate contenders rather than only one as it appeared after the Spring Champion Stakes.

Still think Shadow Hero is the one to beat though. Happy with the more reasonable price now.
 

Mazza1234678

Brownlow Medallist
Dec 2, 2017
14,228
5,871
AFL Club
Collingwood
Shadow Hero was $2.50 Derby couple of weeks ago

Wins Spring Champion and horse it beats- Castlevechio runs a blunder Cox Plate- yet its blowing like a gale to $3.50

What's going on?
This 100%

Also FYI pointsbet got a promo as well 2 bucks to finish top 4 which is a bit fishy

I don’t trust it at all even though all the form says it’s the clear fav
 
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