Strategy Official 2021 Planning Thread

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Seymour Skinner

Norm Smith Medallist
Aug 5, 2014
6,867
17,373
Springfield
AFL Club
Richmond
Other Teams
Springfield Isotopes
North quartet.
McDonald, Cunnington, Brown and Ziebell.

Marshall if he gets DPP, will likely start him at R2 and pray that the big dog ruck I don't pick drops to a reasonable price.

Heeney, and for once I will actually just start Lloyd instead of getting mad about his scores for the first half of the season.

Titch lock.
 

Andrew Birch

Mid Price Maestro
Dec 3, 2017
11,952
30,987
AFL Club
Melbourne
North quartet.
McDonald, Cunnington, Brown and Ziebell.

Marshall if he gets DPP, will likely start him at R2 and pray that the big dog ruck I don't pick drops to a reasonable price.

Heeney, and for once I will actually just start Lloyd instead of getting mad about his scores for the first half of the season.

Titch lock.
That's an unhealthy amount of North
 

Seymour Skinner

Norm Smith Medallist
Aug 5, 2014
6,867
17,373
Springfield
AFL Club
Richmond
Other Teams
Springfield Isotopes
Every non-rookie North player that I have owned in SC.

Boomer
Goldy
Simpkin

I once owned Higgins, but he was playing for the Doggies at the time.
Think it's just Boomer and Goldy for me.
Wells was good that year he was cheap, but wouldn't call him a premo.
 

hoddo

Norm Smith Medallist
Mar 13, 2005
5,391
6,603
Geelong
AFL Club
Melbourne
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Chelsea, Oakland Raiders, Celtics
Going to be very interesting next year with starting prices. At the end of each quarter, they're upscaling almost every player.
Would Neale be averaging 140 if this was a normal season with 20 minute quarters? Maybe he would be averaging 130.
Big jumps in for Maynard and Haynes. Improvement or is it completely due to the shorter quarters and upscaling?
Overall they've done a decent job getting similar scores/averages, but the extra upscaling has screwed the averages of some players up no doubt.
Yes how we all judge true value next year will be what makes or breaks us.
2 players I can see being grossly overpriced are Nic Nat and Steele. Both have had diminished scores in previous seasons because of low TOG, but this year they are playing much the same number of minutes but scoring significantly more points because of the scale up.
 

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stevebbb

Brownlow Medallist
May 21, 2013
15,507
32,025
Melbourne
AFL Club
Collingwood
Other Teams
Arsenal, Fluminense; Blue Jays
The following players will all be unders for their potential:
Taranto, Yeo, Lukosius, Bolton, Houston, Cerra, Parish, Bailey, Milera, Rowbottom


Gawn and Neale will have starting prices of something like $760k with their 140 averages, crazy high. Think I'll skip them and get Grundy, Macrae and Oliver instead.
 

stevebbb

Brownlow Medallist
May 21, 2013
15,507
32,025
Melbourne
AFL Club
Collingwood
Other Teams
Arsenal, Fluminense; Blue Jays
Lloyd, Laird, Lukosius, Cerra
Macrae, Oliver, Titch, Dunkley, Taranto
Grundy, Marshall
Heeney, Bolton, De Goey, Parish


Marshall will get RUCK/FWD DPP, so just move him forward when Gawn drops in price :)


Just give me the $50k, no point stressing yourselves out next year fellas, just take it off
 

Chaisa

Premium Platinum
Jun 2, 2013
11,503
10,720
AFL Club
Sydney
Other Teams
The Exers
Some scribblings (with the caveat that the averages won't be set in stone for another 5 weeks). Have added their averages for the last three years:

I'll start with defenders:

2020-08-26 (2).png


My overall vibe here is that the good defenders seem somewhat overvalued.

Lloyd is probably over-priced but given his consistency (no scores under 100 since R1) and the sheer gap he has over the rest of the defensive field you probably have to start with him.

Ryan is likely in the best six defenders but seems a bit overvalued. He's someone who can also fall into significant slumps so I'd have him as an upgrade target.

Ridley? Depends on how confident you are on him backing this season up. He'd be a "wait" for mine but I wouldn't think it's a disastrous call to go for him early.

Maynard, Saad, Blicavs and Haynes are pretty big nos for me as I think they've been significant risers from point inflation. Maynard probably the best of the options as he's younger so this season more likely to be a breakout. Blicavs at his best could score heavily in 20 minute quarters but that was when he was a midfielder/specialist 3rd man up.

Mills a probable no as that 173 inflates his average quite significantly (by 7 points!)

Laird makes sense, especially if he is a D/M. His role is worth watching though so I might avoid. Still he's very consistent a

Daniel? Well he's pretty consistent but not flat out brilliant. An effective D2 if there aren't great midpricers.

Williams's averages look enticing on paper but his fitness worries me. Not worth it unless his average actually does stay around 90.

Stewart looks a good option for your D2/3 - his average is weighed down by that injury-affected 18 and he's shown that he can be a defensive premium before this season.

Rampe is OK but prone to enough shockers I'd look elsewhere.

Hurn is finished as an SC prospect.

I've added a couple of guys who seem enticing mid-pricers. If I've missed anyone, let me know.
 

Andrew Birch

Mid Price Maestro
Dec 3, 2017
11,952
30,987
AFL Club
Melbourne
Some scribblings (with the caveat that the averages won't be set in stone for another 5 weeks). Have added their averages for the last three years:

I'll start with defenders:

View attachment 945974

My overall vibe here is that the good defenders seem somewhat overvalued.

Lloyd is probably over-priced but given his consistency (no scores under 100 since R1) and the sheer gap he has over the rest of the defensive field you probably have to start with him.

Ryan is likely in the best six defenders but seems a bit overvalued. He's someone who can also fall into significant slumps so I'd have him as an upgrade target.

Ridley? Depends on how confident you are on him backing this season up. He'd be a "wait" for mine but I wouldn't think it's a disastrous call to go for him early.

Maynard, Saad, Blicavs and Haynes are pretty big nos for me as I think they've been significant risers from point inflation. Maynard probably the best of the options as he's younger so this season more likely to be a breakout. Blicavs at his best could score heavily in 20 minute quarters but that was when he was a midfielder/specialist 3rd man up.

Mills a probable no as that 173 inflates his average quite significantly (by 7 points!)

Laird makes sense, especially if he is a D/M. His role is worth watching though so I might avoid. Still he's very consistent a

Daniel? Well he's pretty consistent but not flat out brilliant. An effective D2 if there aren't great midpricers.

Williams's averages look enticing on paper but his fitness worries me. Not worth it unless his average actually does stay around 90.

Stewart looks a good option for your D2/3 - his average is weighed down by that injury-affected 18 and he's shown that he can be a defensive premium before this season.

Rampe is OK but prone to enough shockers I'd look elsewhere.

Hurn is finished as an SC prospect.

I've added a couple of guys who seem enticing mid-pricers. If I've missed anyone, let me know.
Doedee :padlock: for 90+ average
 

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