If Adelaide decided to bid their current #23 which likely to be #25 once the academy picks are settled we would need to match 559 points
If the draft order slides by two picks after the first round we will have:
#12 = 1268
#16 = 1067
#18 = 985
#54 = 220
#57 = 182
#68 = 59
#69 = 49
#70 = 39
#74 = 0
If the draft slips by two picks the sum of our picks outside of the three first rounders is 549 points and if the figures above are correct we would have to use all other than the #74 pick to match a #25 bid by Adelaide assuming of course they bid for Mead. Even then we would have a small points deficit in 2020.
It just seems to me that we need another deal to get us a second or third round pick and advance us in the first round of the Draft. This would allow us to pick Mead, two first round picks and have a couple of third round picks up our sleeve.
An alternative is to use the #18 pick which could well fall to a #20 on Mead then take the surplus into the Draft. Again I assume that the AFL would apply something they are not good at- logic, and credit the surplus 353 points to one of our lower picks thus advancing us up the order.
Yet another option is to carry an even larger points deficit into 2020 but if we are going to be using picks on Schofield and Jones that may not be feasible as we will need all the points we can get.
I hope there is something I am missing in all of this and some one can show me another alternative or where I am mistaken.
There are numerous other scenarios where our picks move up the order too, like GWS having to match a green bid with their later picks. This would shuffle our late picks a few spots forward.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk