Analysis Pick Watch - 2018

[Mr_Plow]

Saint and Lions right at the heels of the Bulldogs is great. Adelaide winning is bad but they're still effectively 2 wins from jumping a spot.

Need *, Hawthorn, Norf and Geelong to keep winning.

 

[Jabba73]

This thread makes for depressing reading

 

[Stamos]

This thread makes for depressing reading

Maybe don't look in some of the other threads

 

[Heres Waite]

SOS must be pretty happy with how the picks from the Crows and Bulldogs are going. It’s making that Gibbs trade look very good for us.

If the ladder stays the same, the two trades (with the Crows and Bulldogs) pretty much did this:

Out

Gibbs
Pick 19
Pick 37
Pick 40

For

Pick 10
Pick 23
Pick 26
Pick 28 (Matt Kennedy)
Pick 30

 

[Mr_Plow]

SOS must be pretty happy with how the picks from the Crows and Bulldogs are going. It’s making that Gibbs trade look very good for us.

If the ladder stays the same, the two trades (with the Crows and Bulldogs) pretty much did this:

Out

Gibbs
Pick 19
Pick 37
Pick 40

For

Pick 10
Pick 23
Pick 26
Pick 28 (Matt Kennedy)
Pick 30

On points that values Gibbs between pick 2-3.

Which is an insane deal if TDK continues developing according to his current trajectory, LOB already looks a long-term player, Kennedy has shown signs and SOS can make some good picks with 23 and 26.

 

[CJMB]

On points that values Gibbs between pick 2-3.

Which is an insane deal if TDK continues developing according to his current trajectory, LOB already looks a long-term player, Kennedy has shown signs and SOS can make some good picks with 23 and 26.

Overall, yes, but not quite in isolation.

10, 16, 73 & 26* (3528 points) for Gibbs, 77, 19* & 37 (1431 points) 'values' Gibba at 2097 which is a hair above pick 4.

*2018/future pick current standings

You've got to remember that when looking at the overall outcome it involves the Dogs trade independent of the Crows one, and SOS managed a bit of a profit margin on that trade too.

16 & 40 (1824 points) for 28, 30 & 23* (2121 points) is a healthy 14% increase. Can't really be counting that into what the Crows paid for Gibbs though.

The equivalent of Pick 4 is still a decent return though. Especially if O'Brien, Kennedy & De Koning all kick on like we're hoping/expecting...

 

[therubbernub]

SOS must be pretty happy with how the picks from the Crows and Bulldogs are going. It’s making that Gibbs trade look very good for us.

If the ladder stays the same, the two trades (with the Crows and Bulldogs) pretty much did this:

Out

Gibbs
Pick 19
Pick 37
Pick 40

For

Pick 10
Pick 23
Pick 26
Pick 28 (Matt Kennedy)
Pick 30

Didnt we get 2 first rounders for BG?

 

[thedan29]

Didnt we get 2 first rounders for BG?

Yeah we got Pick 16 also but we traded that plus pick 40 for three second rounders from WB (2 last year, 1 this year) - one of which was traded for Matt Kennedy

 

[inyourcool]

Bulldogs should still be happy, Ed Richards looks like a great get!

 

[TooBlue14]

If Brisbane beat Adelaide on the weekend it helps us in two ways. The dogs move to 4th last and Adelaide are locked in to 11th or worst. If Essendon neat Fremantle Adelaide drops to 12th too. Moves both up a pick each. Hopefully what Gil said today comes to fruition and we ask for a PP too as we could be in for:

1
19
22
25

Now we should be able to snare some talent with that. Even if we go for the 4 kids. But we should try to trade away two second for another top 10 or a mature player (midfielder).

 

[Trueblue4Life]

Ladder and Draft picks after Round 18

 

[Mr_Plow]

We've moved from 26th to 25th in the draft.

We should be lobbying for a PP immediately after our first pick. Desperately need players that know how to move the football swiftly and accurately.

 

[coryne]

Ild say 12th is probably the lower end for Adelaide while the Bulldogs may get jumped by eith the Saints or Lions but I doubt both. Realistically if we end up with 1, 23 and 25 (with a PP thrown is as a PP) then we will have done well from last years trade period. It will have been a disgrace of a season but our draft outcome will look good.

 

[Red Bull]

If North are looking to trade down their pick 9 we are in the box seat with picks 23&25 trumping GC who hold picks 26&28.
Throw in a PP (19) and picks 1,9,19 becomes a handy haul.

 

[therubbernub]

with 3 second rounders (inc PP) sos will have a few chess pieces to move around. Interesting draft coming up

 

[thylacine60]

This thread makes for depressing reading

 

[Jabba73]

This thread suddenly seems much more readable

 

[Arr0w]

Port to win today

Lions and Saints to win next week

Dogs to finish 16th

 

[Trueblue4Life]

Ladder and Draft picks after Round 19, Great to get a win this week. GO BLUES!!!

 

[Govinda blueboy]

Port to win today

Lions and Saints to win next week

Dogs to finish 16th

Have done the ladder predictor to death and somehow I always get the Dogs finishing 16th and the Crows 12th, not biased at all ... would be great to get picks 21 and 25

 

[BluesRule]

Have done the ladder predictor to death and somehow I always get the Dogs finishing 16th and the Crows 12th, not biased at all ... would be great to get picks 21 and 25

Would be great if we could snag wins against the dogs and crows to make sure your prediction comes true.

 

[Govinda blueboy]

Would be great if we could snag wins against the dogs and crows to make sure your prediction comes true.

Would be awesome to get a couple of more wins to finish the year. Conceivably, we could even notch 2 more wins and still be in 18th

 

[HBF]

Another good weekend for us.

 

[ferrisb]

Blues win - check
NB win - check
VFLW win - check
Adelaide lose - check
Doggies lose - check

5/5!

 

[Bronze]

Just did the ladder predictor, I've got us down for 2 more wins (Bulldogs and Freo) so it's on a knife's edge whether we get pick 1 or 3.