Great write-up Quicky . A bit generous to Elliott imo.
I would have said the same. But...watch a replay and you will notice who is doing all the kicks to Cloke in the last half. He more than redeemed himself.
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Great write-up Quicky . A bit generous to Elliott imo.
Sure, but I think finals should still very much be at the forefront.
A quick bit of "crystal ball" work with the ladder predictor (pessimistically assuming we come up short in our next 4 games against FRE, HAW, PORT and WCE, as well as in our annual date with the SYD up there) potentially sees us needing to get W's in two out of the WB, RICH and GEEL games, while also banking wins against CARL, MELB and ESS to pretty much guarantee us managing to sneak into the top 8.
If we only beat one out of those three teams (WB, RICH, GEEL) *or* drop one to CARL / MELB / ESS (although we've been a bit better when it comes to beating teams below us on the ladder this year) then it's pretty much out of our hands and we need other teams to do us a favour at various points, although restricting the damage to our percentage against the five teams I'm pegging us in for an 'L' against will help in that respect. If we can't beat any of those three teams (WB, RICH, GEEL) then we'll more than likely fall short by a game because it will be a minimum of 12 wins and decent percentage to make it into 8th spot this year the way things are shaping up (looks like there might be 4-5 teams minimum around that 12-13 win mark this year, maybe as many as 6 or perhaps even 7).
Having said all of that we are in a surprisingly good position given that our destiny is in our own hands at least, wrt just needing to beat other likely mid-table teams that are also fighting for spots towards the bottom end of the top 8 and banking W's against teams further down the ladder. If we can get the job done against a couple of those other mid-table contenders and beat the teams a bit further down then we deserve to be there, if not then we at least know where we are at as also-rans and the level we need to aim for.
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What a win! That was a 50/50 game against a fellow top 4 challenger and we buried them. It was a contrast of game styles. They spread and run at all costs. We pressure, tackle and throw everything at the contest. I was worried after that period in the second when GWS scored 3 on the trot, but they were inaccurate and we managed to settle. The difference was that we caused turnovers and really harried their F50 entries, so our game style and plan stood up. Many may say we were lucky with the injuries that they had, which we were, but we already had that game on our terms and their players were hurt because we hurt them. Our attack on the ball and man was second to none. Top effort.
Taylor Adams - Made a statement against his old club and showed how much we missed him against the Dees. Was relentless at the contest all day. Also thought he presented well to make an option around the ground. His ball use was pretty good too. 36 touches, 7 tackles says plenty.
Dane Swan - Contributed all game and I thought was important through the middle. You might question his disposal but he always gets the ball moving our way.
Scott Pendlebury - He gives us what he always gives, poise and class. Lovely goal from the boundary on the left late in the game was the highlight.
Jack Crisp - I thought he started a little slowly and was given a hard time by Shiel who was really good for the Giants. But he always worked hard, got into the game late and surprised to see ended up with 28 disposals. The two goals are the ones that have me excited. A big bodied, hard running, contested possession winning run with player that kicks goals regularly. He really has helped the balance of our midfield group. Beams who?
Marley Williams - I wasn't sure where Williams fit in the team 6 weeks ago. Since then he has been nothing short of astonishing. He was tough as nails today and is really good at the contest. One of our best contested players. He found plenty of the footy too and used his pace and evasiveness really well from half back (or our defensive wall which sets up a kick behind the play on any account). The big question mark on Marley was his footskills and on balance he has been clean and creative with the odd poor one from time to time. Real good.
Tim Broomhead - Stood up big time. For a player that is still developing his strength he does pretty well in the contest through his sheer wiliness. I thought he was important early with creative ball use and presented well up the wing as a target for our half backs. Needed a big game and delivered. I'm really excited about what Broomy can give us on the outside with development. I think we need to be patient.
Adam Oxley - Not as prominent today but still got plenty of the footy. I thought his kicking was off and delivered a few half volleys which he would be disappointed about. Took some good intercept marks. Not bad. Not great.
Travis Varcoe - In the absence of any real dominant outside players Trav has been great for us. He is a really street smart player, harangues, closes space quickly and I think is super important for our defensive game plan. Plus he adds some run and carry. It's a shame he doesn't get bigger possession numbers because then he would be real good, but what he offers us is really important.
Steele Sidebottom - He had a quiet-ish game by his standards but still had some clever moments with his ball use. Due for a big game and we will need it against Freo after the bye.
Tom Langdon - I thought he was good and far more committed to the contest than last week which was pleasing. I like his ball use off half back, it's typically assured and unflustered. And he is pretty consistent at cracking 20 possie games too.
Paul Seedsman - He is in poor form and I believe if we had better outside options would be having a spell in the 2's. That moment in the second half when he had an open forward and hit the pass straight to the GWS defender summarised his issues today. He had some great lead up work only to burn the final pass. He was played largely off half back today. I think I would like to see Scharenberg given a crack at the role given his solid form in the twos.
Nathan Brown - Back to his best. Gave up very little against Cameron. On the few occasions he looked like being beaten our defense was there to help out. Real pleasing from Brown after a poor few weeks.
Tyson Goldsack - I'm torn about Goldsack. I think he was horrible on Stewart early and gives up too much space to his forwards. Of late he is a liability one vs one. His kick ins are good and important but his field kicking is garbage. He will always tackle and chase and did that again today. If Reid is ready to go I would consider bringing him in at Goldsacks expense.
Alex Fasolo - I thought he was great again today. That strong lead and mark in the first half to beat three GWS defenders was quality and at a time the team needed someone to stand tall. Seemed to do his best when we were under the pump and the heat well and truly in the game. Most importantly he has given 3 solid weeks of committed defensive forward. The forward line looks far more dangerous with an in-form, hungry Fasolo.
Travis Cloke - I thought GWS were real good at limiting his space and triple teaming him early. I thought our forward 50 entries in the first all to Cloke were a bit dumb. He worked his way into the game later and kicked a couple of important goals. Laid a vicious tackle that ended Davis day. Competed hard to the wing later in the game with a GWS player backing back, who ended up taking out Patfull which ended his day. And then he let loose. Most impressively his goal kicking was good again today. Has he turned a corner?
Jamie Elliott - What a gun. Seriously. This kid does not lose a contest and was playing on Shaw who is no mug. Has an innate ability to keep his feet which means you can't switch off on him. Had some great leads and marks. Had a brilliant crumb and dribble goal. Won some quality transition contests in the middle to set up goals. His forward 50 entries were clinical. He tackled. I just wish he could start averaging a few more possies a game.
Alan Toovey - He is our back line captain for mine. Didn't get beaten all day. Initiated some important run at times from defense. His field kicking was hit and miss. Good game overall and important to our defense. We are more settled with him out there.
Jesse White - I thought he was our best tall forward target early. Kicked two early goals. He will be disappointed that he missed that third when we really needed a leveler. How good was the snap and goal from the set shot on the boundary? Top 100th game big fella!
Jordan De Goey - Surprised he didn't get more disposals. I thought his commitment at the contest was a real highlight. Played forward a bit I think and helped us maintain that pressure in Blairs absence. Went off with a crook finger so hope he is alright there. Needs to start winning a bit more ball.
Jack Frost - Got well beaten by a very clever McCarthy. That kid is scary good. Gave up too much space I think.
Jarrod Witts - He had a really big game on Mumford. I have been critical of his ruck work in the past but beat Mumford in the hitouts and had some real important ones there. Good clean hitouts to advantage helped our midfield get on top and ultimately win the clearances against a quality clearance team. Needs to be cleaner over head and would expect him to win more possies for a guy that is as good as him on the deck. But he was real good despite a low possession count.
Ben Kennedy - Found it hard to get into the game as the sub. I think the club doesn't have faith in his ability to run out full games. Needs to work on his fitness to feature in the 21 because I think he can offer a lot.
Good summary.What a win! That was a 50/50 game against a fellow top 4 challenger and we buried them. It was a contrast of game styles. They spread and run at all costs. We pressure, tackle and throw everything at the contest. I was worried after that period in the second when GWS scored 3 on the trot, but they were inaccurate and we managed to settle. The difference was that we caused turnovers and really harried their F50 entries, so our game style and plan stood up. Many may say we were lucky with the injuries that they had, which we were, but we already had that game on our terms and their players were hurt because we hurt them. Our attack on the ball and man was second to none. Top effort.
Taylor Adams - Made a statement against his old club and showed how much we missed him against the Dees. Was relentless at the contest all day. Also thought he presented well to make an option around the ground. His ball use was pretty good too. 36 touches, 7 tackles says plenty.
Dane Swan - Contributed all game and I thought was important through the middle. You might question his disposal but he always gets the ball moving our way.
Scott Pendlebury - He gives us what he always gives, poise and class. Lovely goal from the boundary on the left late in the game was the highlight.
Jack Crisp - I thought he started a little slowly and was given a hard time by Shiel who was really good for the Giants. But he always worked hard, got into the game late and surprised to see ended up with 28 disposals. The two goals are the ones that have me excited. A big bodied, hard running, contested possession winning run with player that kicks goals regularly. He really has helped the balance of our midfield group. Beams who?
Marley Williams - I wasn't sure where Williams fit in the team 6 weeks ago. Since then he has been nothing short of astonishing. He was tough as nails today and is really good at the contest. One of our best contested players. He found plenty of the footy too and used his pace and evasiveness really well from half back (or our defensive wall which sets up a kick behind the play on any account). The big question mark on Marley was his footskills and on balance he has been clean and creative with the odd poor one from time to time. Real good.
Tim Broomhead - Stood up big time. For a player that is still developing his strength he does pretty well in the contest through his sheer wiliness. I thought he was important early with creative ball use and presented well up the wing as a target for our half backs. Needed a big game and delivered. I'm really excited about what Broomy can give us on the outside with development. I think we need to be patient.
Adam Oxley - Not as prominent today but still got plenty of the footy. I thought his kicking was off and delivered a few half volleys which he would be disappointed about. Took some good intercept marks. Not bad. Not great.
Travis Varcoe - In the absence of any real dominant outside players Trav has been great for us. He is a really street smart player, harangues, closes space quickly and I think is super important for our defensive game plan. Plus he adds some run and carry. It's a shame he doesn't get bigger possession numbers because then he would be real good, but what he offers us is really important.
Steele Sidebottom - He had a quiet-ish game by his standards but still had some clever moments with his ball use. Due for a big game and we will need it against Freo after the bye.
Tom Langdon - I thought he was good and far more committed to the contest than last week which was pleasing. I like his ball use off half back, it's typically assured and unflustered. And he is pretty consistent at cracking 20 possie games too.
Paul Seedsman - He is in poor form and I believe if we had better outside options would be having a spell in the 2's. That moment in the second half when he had an open forward and hit the pass straight to the GWS defender summarised his issues today. He had some great lead up work only to burn the final pass. He was played largely off half back today. I think I would like to see Scharenberg given a crack at the role given his solid form in the twos.
Nathan Brown - Back to his best. Gave up very little against Cameron. On the few occasions he looked like being beaten our defense was there to help out. Real pleasing from Brown after a poor few weeks.
Tyson Goldsack - I'm torn about Goldsack. I think he was horrible on Stewart early and gives up too much space to his forwards. Of late he is a liability one vs one. His kick ins are good and important but his field kicking is garbage. He will always tackle and chase and did that again today. If Reid is ready to go I would consider bringing him in at Goldsacks expense.
Alex Fasolo - I thought he was great again today. That strong lead and mark in the first half to beat three GWS defenders was quality and at a time the team needed someone to stand tall. Seemed to do his best when we were under the pump and the heat well and truly in the game. Most importantly he has given 3 solid weeks of committed defensive forward. The forward line looks far more dangerous with an in-form, hungry Fasolo.
Travis Cloke - I thought GWS were real good at limiting his space and triple teaming him early. I thought our forward 50 entries in the first all to Cloke were a bit dumb. He worked his way into the game later and kicked a couple of important goals. Laid a vicious tackle that ended Davis day. Competed hard to the wing later in the game with a GWS player backing back, who ended up taking out Patfull which ended his day. And then he let loose. Most impressively his goal kicking was good again today. Has he turned a corner?
Jamie Elliott - What a gun. Seriously. This kid does not lose a contest and was playing on Shaw who is no mug. Has an innate ability to keep his feet which means you can't switch off on him. Had some great leads and marks. Had a brilliant crumb and dribble goal. Won some quality transition contests in the middle to set up goals. His forward 50 entries were clinical. He tackled. I just wish he could start averaging a few more possies a game.
Alan Toovey - He is our back line captain for mine. Didn't get beaten all day. Initiated some important run at times from defense. His field kicking was hit and miss. Good game overall and important to our defense. We are more settled with him out there.
Jesse White - I thought he was our best tall forward target early. Kicked two early goals. He will be disappointed that he missed that third when we really needed a leveler. How good was the snap and goal from the set shot on the boundary? Top 100th game big fella!
Jordan De Goey - Surprised he didn't get more disposals. I thought his commitment at the contest was a real highlight. Played forward a bit I think and helped us maintain that pressure in Blairs absence. Went off with a crook finger so hope he is alright there. Needs to start winning a bit more ball.
Jack Frost - Got well beaten by a very clever McCarthy. That kid is scary good. Gave up too much space I think.
Jarrod Witts - He had a really big game on Mumford. I have been critical of his ruck work in the past but beat Mumford in the hitouts and had some real important ones there. Good clean hitouts to advantage helped our midfield get on top and ultimately win the clearances against a quality clearance team. Needs to be cleaner over head and would expect him to win more possies for a guy that is as good as him on the deck. But he was real good despite a low possession count.
Ben Kennedy - Found it hard to get into the game as the sub. I think the club doesn't have faith in his ability to run out full games. Needs to work on his fitness to feature in the 21 because I think he can offer a lot.
Perhaps too pessimistic with losses to all of Freo, Hawks, Port, WCE and Syd. Hawks v tough and Freo tougher. The others are hard but we should be favs against WCE in Melb, have a great record against Sydney and Port dont appear to be the team they were threatening to be and are no finals certainty. 1-2 wins in that group is likely.
No worries, fair callI think you took that the wrong way there - I was putting forward a "worst case" scenario where we don't manage to beat the teams entrenched at the top end of the eight (and I'm not writing off Port yet especially at AO).
Even if that worst case scenario does come to pass and it's probably more realistic than a prediction of us winning 1-2 out of those 5 harder games imo (being optimistic is fine but the reality is that none of our wins to this point really stack up as indicators of whether we will be competitive with the teams at the pointy end, never mind pencilling in a win against any of them), there is still a realistic chance for us to play finals - if we can win the games we probably should and beat a couple of the other middle-of-the-road teams that would be vying to sneak into the bottom end of the top 8 as well.
Agreed, and thats exactly thats what I was alluding to?? Very quiet 1st half, very good second half. Wish he would play 4 quartersI would have said the same. But...watch a replay and you will notice who is doing all the kicks to Cloke in the last half. He more than redeemed himself.
Nice one Quicky.Witts was huge. Not easy to go toe to toe with Mummy and he did. Got first hand to it a lot and match him physically. His agility is an issue though. Couple of times he was like the Titanic.
Adams - exceptional. We missed him vs Melbourne and was incredible around the stoppage. GWS are good in this area and we smacked them in the 'chops'. Greenwood back will make this the real strength of our side. Witts giving us first use and these two blokes going at it like 2 fat kids and a donut between them.
Really good write up Vankri. It's a great point you make about Pendles and Adams. I was surprised to see how much outside ball Adams got. Something like 24 out of his 36 possessions were uncontested. Pendles was simply fantastic you are right.
Not sure I agree on your thoughts on Fasolo. It was not his best and certainly had low numbers, but I thought his effort was there all game and still helped put score board pressure on.
Where do we go with Seedsman? We need more from him but have no great alternatives. It's been mentioned but I think if we play him he needs to be on the wing not half back.
I worry about our run if you drop Seedsman and replace him with someone like Greenwood for example. We seem to have a wealth of hard working, inside contested midfielders, but less so on the outside. Of those outside the 22 the only outside guy with any form is Scharenberg, although I don't have the benefit like you of watching the games live. Young is the other player (who's form is horrible in the VFL from reports) but honestly I would prefer persisting with Seedsman if that were the selection decision.
Really? you think that a 22yo should keep running for four quarters as a mid and still beat a 30yo in the ruck after 120 min? R u kidding me! Need to get out of your mums basement son and experience the real world where super human effort is reserved for the few not for the many! It shits me to no end when players get measured against this imaginary scale where a bloke 210cm should have the same endurance as a Kenyan marathon runner kick like pendles and mark like Lockett! FMD!Thought everyone was really good.
Surprise packets was the standout performance by Adams. Shows how important he is to our side, and his kicking has really turned a corner.
Clokey's kicking is actually good. Wow.
White will have good and bad games, but at least there are good games. I honestly think he's the best key forward to partner Cloke since 2010.
The negatives were Goldsack, Seedsman and Witts for me.
Goldsack... he's just a defensive liability. Gives off way too much space, and it's not like we actually see him intercept marking a lot of the time, so what the **** is he doing? That's the main thing. Also, there was a goal that led to his inability to get up fast enough to take on the GWS player that played on. FFS Goldy. He's had a shocker month, only problem is, who do we bring in? Can Marsh cut it in a defensive line that has been very patchy this whole season?
Seedsman has had a horrid last few weeks. Not sure what the problem is for me, but he really needs a spell. Can't see him changing the minds of the selection committee who omitted him on Friday with that game.
And Witts. He is clearly behind Grundy it's not even funny. Mumford is a great ruck, one of the best in the comp, and Witts did well to compete against him in the hitouts BUT thats what we should already expect. It's his efforts around the ground that hurt, particularly his marking. He's the tallest player in the competition, yet can barely influence any ******* marking contest. It's SO infuriating. I think he's just weak, or lacks confidence, or the aggressiveness to assert himself, because in packs, he just gets pushed towards the back.
Even marking contests against smaller players, like Heath Shaw in the 4th, you still didn't see him clunking marks confidently.
It's a massive worry.
He's playing up forward. Noone plays '4 quarters' up forward. Not even Plugger or Gary Ablett senior did this. good forwards take theri opportunities when they came - sometimes they come 2 quarters apart.Agreed, and thats exactly thats what I was alluding to?? Very quiet 1st half, very good second half. Wish he would play 4 quarters
I've always had my doubts on Seedsman. He's a one dimensional player at this stage that really only plays well on a wing and against teams that mostly play an uncontested game, but he doesn't have the football smarts of great pacey wingmen such as the Hawks' have and rarely switches the play. If Freeman wasn't injured he would have probably taken his spot. With the return of Greenwood and Blair we'll have to add a midfielder and a forward/mid to our mix and I think to keep Broomhead we'll need him to take Seedsman's spot. Whether that exposes us against the fastest teams I don't know but even then Seedsman rarely chases down the opposition anyway and outside of the Anzac Day game I've seen more damaging running this year from Varcoe, Elliott and Williams than Seedsman.
A quick bit of "crystal ball" work with the ladder predictor (pessimistically assuming we come up short in our next 4 games against FRE, HAW, PORT and WCE, as well as in our annual date with the SYD up there) potentially sees us needing to get W's in two out of the WB, RICH and GEEL games, while also banking wins against CARL, MELB and ESS to pretty much guarantee us managing to sneak into the top 8.
If we only beat one out of those three teams (WB, RICH, GEEL) *or* drop one to CARL / MELB / ESS (although we've been a bit better when it comes to beating teams below us on the ladder this year) then it's pretty much out of our hands and we need other teams to do us a favour at various points, although restricting the damage to our percentage against the five teams I'm pegging us in for an 'L' against will help in that respect. If we can't beat any of those three teams (WB, RICH, GEEL) then we'll more than likely fall short by a game because it will be a minimum of 12 wins and decent percentage to make it into 8th spot this year the way things are shaping up (looks like there might be 4-5 teams minimum around that 12-13 win mark this year, maybe as many as 6 or perhaps even 7).
Having said all of that we are in a surprisingly good position given that our destiny is in our own hands at least, wrt just needing to beat other likely mid-table teams that are also fighting for spots towards the bottom end of the top 8 and banking W's against teams further down the ladder. If we can get the job done against a couple of those other mid-table contenders and beat the teams a bit further down then we deserve to be there, if not then we at least know where we are at as also-rans and the level we need to aim for.
It will be more like the first half of the year, 8/3 to finish 16/6 winning against weak teams will translate into beating good teams.
Not sure if its keeping it under the radar or a genuine non belief, but its getting a bit tired, that people cant see where this year is headed. Anyway their will be plenty of room on the bandwagon when the pies slay one or both of the dockers or the hawks.
The thing with Seedsman is that if you are going to play as purely outside as he plays you've got to have some serious endurance to get the footy consistently enough. He doesn't have that endurance. So what you've got is a guy with some seriously elite attributes who goes missing most of the time. I see him at the crossroads. He needs to make some serious changes in order to survive and prosper. He needs to become a gut running beast, or alternatively, he needs to learn to win contests.
I was thinking the same in that his development has been stunted by the last 2 missed preseasons. He doesn't have a good base to build on. I agree he needs one of the 2 options described and think becoming a better gut runner would be the most easily achieved if he does get a good run over the next season or two. However he doesn't have a huge amount of time to make those changesThat's a good observation. I think he needs to add gut running to his game. A bit like Stanton. I wonder how much the interrupted preseasons are impacting this? I also agree with Vankri that he needs to look for lateral options instead of only down the ground.