Poizun's Detailed Greyhound Tips (Updated Daily)

Poizun

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Thread starter #26
I am only in the early stage of recording statistics.

With regards to the forum tips, these tips arent exactly what I will bet but it definetly it how i feel about each dog I discuss. Hence, for instance, yesteday Phelan Ready was my value runner @ Tralragon, however, I didnt back it. Was only going to if it reached $8+.

As stated before, my tips and selections are more as a guide, since I study the form anyway, a few extra minutes writing about a few races for fellow followers doesn't hurt me.

Currently, I am betting only 2 types of exotics in certain races which I am keep stats for, as well as value runners. My brain works 100 mile an hour and I frame certain dog races in my head that I am confident on, and I wait till the last second to see if there are any dogs at severe overs.

i.e. Last night at Traralgon in race 9, Octane Spark was sent around $2.40, and Comatosed $2.60. Now I thought Octane Spark would find trouble and Comatosed who ran a 16.99 from the check recently would benefit the inside draw. However, that was too short for me, so I jumped on Ghaelic Rhapsody who was 25-1 as I thought ti should have only been a $9-10 shot. Now it was running third the whole way and got nailed for it on the line so I didnt collect. That doesn't bother me. To me that was good value. This form of betting tho I have not kept stats for yet, but in the last month or so has proved profitable over backing "good things".
 

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Oaksnaf

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#27
You can find a selection to bet on in every single race. And then you can find multiple ways to punt around that selection. The problem with that, is there is plenty of scope for doubt unless you understand what you are doing.

How highly did you rate Gaelic Rhapsody? Would it have been your 2nd/3rd selection?

How close to your price was Comatosed?

Whats your average return per race based on your market. If your returning less than $80 per race then your doing poorly.

For example, if you rate it $2.50... you have $40 on it. And then if it wins at $3.00..... it's $40 X 3. So your return is $120. VALUE.


--------------------





A good place strike rate for your BEST BETS. But without the tally, we can't see if your improving!


I don't understand tipping for us punters in every state to HELP US if your not backing them yourself. Surely the real benefit to us punters, would be posting the bets you make yourself. Which by the sounds things are profitable. That would be more beneficial. Rather than just tipping along with pages of useless information highlighting the few winners.

A few extra minutes might not hurt you by posting these selections. But those who are backing them might feel differently. As how are they to know what price is VALUE. Because we all get markets wrong. And why bet someones tips if they don't bet them themselves.



I'm going to play the defensive thing now. You probably know more than me about greyhound racing. AndSmithMustScore certainly does. But knowledge is useless unless you know how to PUNT.


Good luck!!!

P.S I still cheer on your selections interstate. I would hate to think, I'm just here to attack you!
 

Poizun

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Running total on Value Bets from Jan 10th - Jan 18th (STab) based on a $50W/$100P on all selections

Outlay - $4050
Return - $3880

Profit - $-170 (-4%)

*Value Bets are dogs I anticipate the market will overlook and pay a respectable price. This does not necessarily mean they are the best dog in the race, but they are what I believe will pay overs. That being said, you will see a lot of variance in profit due to this fact.


Angle Park

Lay - Diana Bale (Race 8, No.1) - Has speed to burn early which will be why this should be sent out right in the market. Very weak at the end of its racing and lead all the way recently in a far below par run of 30.86. This field is much stronger and with a quicker beginner on its outside in Nirimba Dancer will sure be tussling in the early stages and this dog does doesnt like that. ClasS from all the boes 5-8 should tell.

Best - Border Patrol (Race 7, No.2) - Has not done much wrong since coming to SA. Only failure was at Angle Park when he founds bucketloads of trouble and even then he clocked a respectable 30.59. Other wins have been impressive on the bunny and should have the pace to be prominent at the first turn and lead all the way.

Value - Brer Fox (Race 3, No.8) Racing without much luck of late. Tends to find trouble in its racing which doesn't help its cause. Concern is in over 100 starts it has not won from Box 8, but does have 4 wins from the 7. Drops slightly in class today, and with Rowland Bale who is generally a slow beginner, it could position up much closer and is a strong dog at the end of its races. Each-way ticket.


Devonport

Lay - Topline Doovee (Race 6, No.1) - Great tassie chaser who has the amazing stats of 9 starts for 7 wins and 2 placings at TRK/DIST. Won last 3 on end in brilliant fashion and even though Gardam Prince will probably start favourite, this dog will definetly be the close 2nd fav. Would not be surprised to see Gardam to start $2.20 with Topline around $2.70. I highly doubt it can hold out Gardam Prince at the first turn and with swooping runs from the middle of the track from Accounts, Cradoc Park, Shunted it is going to make the job ultra hard for him to take the cup down and at the price, I would definetly love to be a bookie!. Gardam Prince though with too much toe early to lead all the way for me.

Best - Perfect Socks (Race 10, No.7) - Looks perfectly placed in this GR5 after scoring an ultra impressive win from a similiar box in 30.02 at Launceston. Minor query is yet to win at track in 3 starts(2 minors), but over this distance it should ping, cross the field, and if it does, get in the queue.

Value - One Wheel (Race 7, No.1) - OoOoOo - This is the one I tipped to run second in the heats at monstrous odds when the lure broke down. It was vying for the lead, and had held out Akka Boy for the moment. It's numeric form is horrible. Early markets have it at 7/1. No one has it tipped it anywhere. I feel very confident of a big run. This dog has bundles of ability and when it put its all together its one slick dog. Not the best beginner in Whispering Blaze on the outside of it, is going to make its job much easier. Follow hard!

Horsham

Lay - Supreme Level (Race 7, No.8) - Layed it last week when sent around odds-on and missed a place. Today, it won't get into odds on, but you can guarantee it will be right in the market. Its form has really tappered off of late. Today, it meets a field about 10x harder than it did last start. Based on what Ive seen lately, I doubt it will even run a place in this field.

Best - Remo Rubik (Race 8, No.8) - Wow, does this look like a good thing or what. Marrok Bale is a slow railer. Box 6 is empty. Our Toyman could not come out running if its life depended on it. It is going to have not a trouble in the world leading tonight. Drops ridicuosly in class and if you get anywhere CLOSE to the $2.10 in the watchdog form, get on and get on hard.

Value - Lankan Flash (Race 5, No.8) - Looks like will start double figures and has 3 good runs back from a short spell. Races consistently being placednearly 50% of all starts and altho I have recently learnt of the bad position of box 8 at Horsham over the decent, I do believe with alot of speed drawn in the inside 4 boxes there could be some carnage and this dog can begin good.

Ipswich

Lay - Sheeza Picture (Race 8, No.7) - Quickest heat winner but from an inside draw. Not suited at all to the 7 and yet to win from Box 6 or out. Meets a field full of talent that can run similiar time and many of the dogs are drawn better. Labelled prepost favourite, I wouldnt be jumping in too hard....

Best - Crystalizaion (Race 9, No.2) - Found its distance as a stayer. Took a while to learn about racing but is now putting its best paw forward. Drawn close to the rail for once (15 starts for only 3 starts in boxes 1-4, the other 12 starts boxes 5-8), is an upcoming who meets a field where it shouldnt miss a place if it gets rolled.

Value - Royal Samba (Race 5, No.3) - Been racing with no luck at all of late. Is normally a front running greyhound who finds it tough to finish races off, but has definetly been getting stronger and stronger in racing. Found lots of trouble last week and did not get beat a long way in a slick time. Look for it to bounce back and lead tonight and run em a merry dance.
 

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Running total on Value Bets from Jan 10th - Jan 20th (STab) based on a $50W/$100P on all selections

Outlay - $4650
Return - $4510

Profit - $-140 (-3%)

Run of Lays getting beaten - 16

*Lays are 80% of the time, one of the top 3 dogs in the market and around 30-40% of the time they are favourites. Anyone can lay a 100-1 shot, but my selections are dogs either favourite or in the market!

*Value Bets are dogs I anticipate the market will overlook and pay a respectable price. This does not necessarily mean they are the best dog in the race, but they are what I believe will pay overs. That being said, you will see a lot of variance in profit due to this fact.

Bendigo

Lay - Marchell (Race 5, No.3) - Watchdog has tipped on top and looks suited here? Not even close. Virtually the entire field are handy dogs at this middle distance, where Marchell will struggle severly to not only match these dogs for early speed, but he will not be close to strong enough to hold them out. Big lay. Lucky to even run a place, look for him at the tail of the field.Sent out as third favourite and ran last. Enough said.

Best - Ashleigh Ella (Race 7, No.8) - Big class factor who blew away the super impressived Aston Trivett in 30.03 when last in week. Loves wide draws. Had no luck when first up from a spell when barely beaten in slick time by the smart Tis The One. Looks suited to this draw and class and should cover this lot well. Sizzled early sizzled home. Lead all the way in a flying 24.01

Value - Girl from Texas (Race 10. No.2) - Will without a doubt start double figures, if not in the 20's somewhere. Form looks ordinary but has been racing against the likes of Miss Martini, Cool Times and Olga Doll.. All very slick runners who would blow this field away. Only win came from this same draw and with a very ordinary field combined here, look for improvement at huge odds. Bombed the start, railed up hard but copped a check on home turn. Rebalanced up and charged into third spot. Sent out $20.40 the win, but paid $4.20 for the place.

Maitland

Lay - No lay on card. Wanted to put Seize the moment, but it does have lengths on the field. But still be wary when taking him today. He musters well but this field can squeeze him up early and alot of this dogs will run about in 22.70 or 60 with a clear go and will make it hard from him to come behind in that sort of time. Super Laurie is the main danger in that race. Sent out odds on and didn't even run a place. Enough said.

Best - No best bet on the card

Value - Devine Rise (Race 4, No.8) - In a race jammed packed with formlines and dogs putting strings of wins and 2nds together, the red based on its 22.66 win from the red looks like it will gets sent out a short favourite, but with speed in 2 and 3, I can see this dog getting cramped and chopped out early. Boxes 6 and 7 have no speed at all, so this will suit Devine Rise in the pink, as well as recording his PB from this box and the big wide track will ensure this dog gets every possible. BIG SHOW. Did not see race, just result. 2nd

Agent Maxwell (Race 10, No.6) - Really interesting dog. Has had one win at the track in a sizzling 22.64. I tell you now, if it runs this, it will win and win well. This is not a hard race. Form looks ordinary, but has been racing harder dogs than this. Gets its chance to bounce back into the winners list and as long as it handles Box 6, it goes close. Completely bombed the start and ran home just fairly into 4th.

Sandown

Lay - Pub Fund (Race 11. No.3) - Prolific provincial winner not suited to the 515m at Sandown, nor the short run to the first marker. Needs to lead clearly to have even a chance of hanging on. Bit of a speed outside of it, and as the more than likely favourite of the race, Id glad lay this then be a punter 10/10.

Best - Paragon Patch (Race 8, No.3) - Grand ole chaser who can wreck its chances by bad beginnings. If this dog has any luck in running it will win and win running away..Am glad it is drawn closer to the fence then out wide. Both dogs on its inside dont show blistering pace, so it should position up close enough to take control on the point of the home turn. Cant miss a place.

Value - Another Innings (Race 9, No.8) - No luck of late and I mean no luck at all. Not super ideally drawn in the pink at sandown but with 2 wins and 2 placings from 5 starts from outside draws, he can certainly handle it. Meets a full field of provincial chasers and recently has been racing against the ilk of Iso Octane (off the pace to 3 lengths).

Angle Park

Lay - Cyan Lorian (Race 9, No.2) - The HotDog form have this greyhound as their top pick and top rated. Not sure if this is correct, but if it is, I am a bit surprised. Even though it looks as though the trip wiil suit, stepping up ridiculously in class against the likes of Kimberely Jinx, Barely's Image and the ultra impressive Satanic Cash (who really should be winning)

Best- High Earner (Race 8, No.1) - How can you look past him after last weeks top win. Drawn ideally in the red and Dyna Lachlan and Turanza Bale drawn next to him arent the best of beginners lately so he will have every chance to lead and if he does he wins. Simple. Star chaser.

Value - Redline Elly (Race 3, No.1) - Hit n miss beginner who needs some clear room early. No doubt its motor and I always like to back dogs with big motors. Wouldnt say its ideally drawn in the red but is a class factor dog.

Albion Park

Lay - Velocity Trish (Race 5, No.3) - Boxed shocking with Long Time Mama on it's inside a notorious quick beginner and Tap and Rack who is classer type who has been racing the likes of Vociferious and Robo Raptor. Wont get any room to move early and is an on pace runner. Can't come off the pace. Leave alone.

Best - Visualisation (Race 7, No.3) - Had it last week when it ran 2nd, aim to go one better here when racing verse the odds-on in the red. Should get value because of this fact and loves Albion Park being placed 18 of 24 runs there with a slashing PB of 30.13.

Value - Carlingford Frost (Race 10, No.2) - No speed at all in the inside 4 boxes will allow this dog every possible chance to land in front over the 600m. If it does, very hard to hold out and will be huge odds. Has been out of form of late, but this race is suitable to bounce back.

Hobart

Lay - Capetown Kid (Race 3, No.3) - Slow beginner who needs everything to go right. Hotdogs top tip meets a pretty solid Maiden Semi final. Look for him to be in trouble and unwinding at the end into third.

Best - Damek (Race 5, No.1) - Not sure what this dog is doing in a maiden series in Hobart after its almost unbelievable 26.10 Heat win. To give you an idea of how dominating that is, in the 8 semi finals, the 2nd quickest dog went 26.47. The difference between him and the next best dog out of the remaining 64 dogs is 6 lengths. Thats dominating. He is short and he wins. He wins final too.

If you want another measuring stick for this greyhound, Prankster won the Hobart Cup in 26.05. Enough said for a dog having his first race start from Box 5 too lol.

Value - Spark Driver (Race 1, No.6) - Races like this distance will suit and has his solo victory from a wide draw. Favourite last time was victorious but not ultra impressive. Big odds and worth an each-way ticket.

Dapto

Lay - On Parole (Race 6, No.2) - I am probably going to regret this and this will end my streak of lays, but I have to stick with my gut. Dog has a flawless record of 5 wins and 2 seconds at 7 starts at the track. However, it meets one of the hottest fields this dog has encountered. It has no early speed anymore at all. Half these dogs can break 30 seconds and for the simple fact that he wont lead this field and he is going to need luck hugely, I am going to advise against anchoring this in exotics or backing.

Best - Snowsil (Race 9, No.1) - Again, I layed this at even money last week and it got rolled for the first time in its career. Tonight, boxed much much better it should get the cake. No luck last start, it should get a sweet ride on the rails and improve to victory.

Value - Billy Said (Race 8, No.2) - Dog is racing with not an ounce of luck. Came off the pace to run 3rd beaten 4 lengths in a SUB 30 time at Nowra. This dog is reknowned for being a front running dog. Tonight it gets it chance to lead and be veryyyy hard to roll if this happens.
 

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#31
Running total on Value Bets from Jan 10th - Jan 20th (STab) based on a $50W/$100P on all selections



Angle Park

Lay - Cyan Lorian (Race 9, No.2) - The HotDog form have this greyhound as their top pick and top rated. Not sure if this is correct, but if it is, I am a bit surprised. Even though it looks as though the trip wiil suit, stepping up ridiculously in class against the likes of Kimberely Jinx, Barely's Image and the ultra impressive Satanic Cash (who really should be winning)

Best- High Earner (Race 8, No.1) - How can you look past him after last weeks top win. Drawn ideally in the red and Dyna Lachlan and Turanza Bale drawn next to him arent the best of beginners lately so he will have every chance to lead and if he does he wins. Simple. Star chaser.

Value - Redline Elly (Race 3, No.1) - Hit n miss beginner who needs some clear room early. No doubt its motor and I always like to back dogs with big motors. Wouldnt say its ideally drawn in the red but is a class factor dog.
I have a share in this dog, he has been crying out for the extra distance. not given a hope by the watchdog but I can see him sneaking into the placings, I agree Satanic cash is far too good.

of course I will back Cyan though
 

latrell

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#32
Keep up the good work boys. I love greyhound racing. Its undoubtedly the best form to punt on because you can rate a dog on exact times, you dont have to worry about the tempo of a race etc.

Its simple really, to do well, you must watch replays. Thursday and saturday nights are great because i generally know every dog well.

ps stay away from Angle park
 

Poizun

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I have a share in this dog, he has been crying out for the extra distance. not given a hope by the watchdog but I can see him sneaking into the placings, I agree Satanic cash is far too good.

of course I will back Cyan though

Haha..Keep forgetting thewatchdog do Angle Park!!!.....Its a good upcoming sort, but boy is it stepping up in class tonight. Thats all :( GL I hope you the best of luck tonight!!
 

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Off to Sandown..GL All...

P.s. Girl from Texas at 20-1 rattled home into third as my value at Bendigo :) (tooting ur horn is fun) =)

Happy punting all!!
 

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Value - Spark Driver (Race 1, No.6) - Races like this distance will suit and has his solo victory from a wide draw. Favourite last time was victorious but not ultra impressive. Big odds and worth an each-way ticket.
Sent out a whopping $53.80 and ran second beaten along way by the $1.30 long odds on favourite, with the 2nd and 3rd favourite running 3rd and 4th, the F4 paid over 1k which is amazing...
Just for the place, it paid $7.90....... Happy days...
 

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Thread starter #36
Running total on Value Bets from Jan 10th - Jan 21st (STab) based on a $50W/$100P on all selections

Outlay - $5850
Return - $6040

Profit - $190 (+3%)

*Value Bets are dogs I anticipate the market will overlook and pay a respectable price. This does not necessarily mean they are the best dog in the race, but they are what I believe will pay overs. That being said, you will see a lot of variance in profit due to this fact.

Run of Lays getting beaten - 22

Broken Down Results of lay run
Favourite - 9
2nd Favourite - 4
3rd Favourite - 4
Other - 4

*Lays are 80% of the time, one of the top 3 dogs in the market and around 30-40% of the time they are favourites. Anyone can lay a 100-1 shot, but my selections are dogs either favourite or in the market!

Shepparton

Lay - Punk Norris (Race 9, No.3) - Talented youngster who 3 wins have all come at the Meadows in slashing times for a lightly raced dog. Of late, this dog has been a bit dicey at box rise, and today over the 390m it is very vulnerable in a field which does not necessarily have immense depth, but just about each dog can hold their own in a race like this. I say too much zip in this field for Punk and at the $2.40 watchdog have put up, leave alone.

Best - Irinka Joshua (Race 6, No.8) - Dog which I have never tipped before but stats dont lie. Blistering winner 2 starts back in BOD 22.12 and then it took a dog of the ilk of Nova Surf to blouse him in a sizzling 22.03 at Ballarat. 3 of 5 wins come from wide draws. Too many things point to good thing.

Value - Bozzco (Race 8, No.3) - Really really like this dog. Bombed it last week and ran into about 5 dead-ends until making late ground beaten a fair way into 5th. When last in work was racing against Timberland and Hayder Bale and such. He does need to begin a little better but if he does, look for improvement and each-way odds. Big big show.

Casino

Lay - Rapid Puzzle (Race 6, No.4) - Sizzling winner at Tweed Heads recently in a scorching BOD 23.43. This race is much harder and draws a horror box at the tight Casino track. Will need to be at his ultra ultra best to lead at the first turn, and again in a field which again can all hold its own, the dog that leads will probably win and I cant see this dog doing it with the speed Mystical Mandy and Grand Canyon and She Rose High have between it.

Best - Go Wild Me (Race 12, No.1) - Talented type resuming from a spell. Recorded a solid trial result recently and with Norway Miss who is reknowned slow beginner, this greyhound should get a sweet lead and recorded its 13th win.

Value - Kamikaze Magpie (Race 8, No.6) - Dog has one of the biggest motors in QLD but also has half a brain. Bounced back to its best form at Ipswich when first up from a spell recording a blistering 25.11 win over the 431m. Has been freshened up again for this assignment and awkward box should ensure it gets sent around a $6 shot and if I get that or over, Ill jump on board.

Traralgon

Lay - Dan Flack (Race 4, No.8) - Been racing consistently of late but not really recording the times to be competitive here. Comatosed won last start from an inside draw in 16.98 where as Dan lead all the way from an outside box in just 17.48. Loads of talent drawn inside and banking on one of those 3 to easily hold Dan Flack to the first turn.

Best - Sir Stackalot (Race 2, No.6) - In a race lacking any real depth, this greyhound has shown alot of consistency lately and is due to break through in this field. Only minor query for me is the 7 crashes to the fence but is a slow beginner, so it should be able to avoid the 7. If it can, it should win.

Value - Shadowlands (Race 6, No.1) - Greyhound that has loads of talent but rarely puts it together. Draws the red today which is always a case for improvement and with luck in running, this dogs numeric form should send it around double figures, and dont be surprised to see it feature.

The Gardens

Lay - Jedd Lion (Race 9, No1) - Small field suits but will be giving 2 or 3 smart dogs a decent start and cant see this dog coming from behind. Hotdogs top pick at 7/4 looks toast.

Best - Odessa Shiraz (Race 4, No.1) - Looks the class factor of her heat. As long as she takes no ill-effect from her last start tumble then this should be landing on the bunny and running them ragged as shown by her string of wins.

Value - Bogie Brave (Race 5, No.8) - Really interesting race where their looks to be a super speed battle early between the toey Octane Show and also Elite Blue Size. This should enable Bogie Brave to get a sweet cart out wide and run down the outside. Easily the strongest dog in the race, and with early carnage, look for it to swoop.

Albion Park

Lay - He'll do (Race 4, No.6) - Winner of 2 of 3 race starts over this sprint trip. Very weak last week when it was not able to lead clearly and noticably tired up the straight. Box 6 is horror over the sprint and this favourite will get polaxed early and miss a place. :)

Best - Sunlander (Race 9, No.2) - Something did not look right with Sunlander last week. Lets hope trainer has fixed it up because even if this dog is 75% it will be winning. Racing in outstanding fashion.

Value - Earth Quest (Race 8, No.6) - Slowly regaining the form which saw him winning races in the city. Lead and was run down by the smart Visualation recently. This is a super drop in class for it, but has to contend with a box 6. Great each-way show.
 

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#37
Hey Poizun & Oaks, can you guys let me know what you think of Pedra Branca's chances on Sat night at The Meadows. Race 11 No 7?!. I think he is boxed around a bit of speed and might find trouble, he really needs the inside to show his best but its not an ultra strong race.
 

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Hey Poizun & Oaks, can you guys let me know what you think of Pedra Branca's chances on Sat night at The Meadows. Race 11 No 7?!. I think he is boxed around a bit of speed and might find trouble, he really needs the inside to show his best but its not an ultra strong race.

Definetly a winnable race. For a city meet, this quite an ordinary field with no disrespect to any of the dogs in it. Pedra has a few things going for it. Firstly, it has raced at the track and won from a wide draw. Thats a huge plus. From what I have seen of the pink it wont crash left so you are safe there and same with Days of Steam. I have watched his last few and ran straight both times so thats a positive also.

The main negative things for me are its wins. 30.78 @ Meadows and then leading all the way at Sandown but only running 30.54. Yes, all you can is win but if you want to keep moving up in grade, you have to keep improving. The other concern are the two beginners out wide. Even though, they run relatively straight, their split times are ok. For instance, Barelan has been going 5.20s 5.25s to the first market of late. Pedra went 5.24 and its hard to compare Days of Steam but he goes alright early too.

Those are the 2 minor concerns for me. With that being said, if she is going to win a race in the city this is it. Pedra will definetly be in my top 3, and I am hoping that it is an improving type and if it can, it should definetly run you guys a good race!! Hopefully a win!!

GLGLGL
 
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#41
Will you be putting up tips tomorrow?. I wouldnt mind having a quaddie at the meadows but im afraid i dont know my face from my arse at anywhere but wentworth Park!.

My best at Wentworth is Laura's Lagacy in the 720m race.

:thumbsu: Good luck & Go Pedra!.
 

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Will you be putting up tips tomorrow?. I wouldnt mind having a quaddie at the meadows but im afraid i dont know my face from my arse at anywhere but wentworth Park!.

My best at Wentworth is Laura's Lagacy in the 720m race.

:thumbsu: Good luck & Go Pedra!.
Sure will... I hope Pedra wins for you... and Laura's Legacy is one of my favourite Sydney dogs too....Only problem I have with her is when she decides to get 30 lengths back instead of around 8 lol
 

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Thread starter #43
Ran out of time for tips today. Sorry guys.

Watch out for Franquin in Race 8. I really think its well suited in this race and draw. Had no luck of late and is a very strong type. Watch it's last 4 runs on thewatchdog.com.au. Looking to break through at some big odds tonight...
 
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#44
Ran out of time for tips today. Sorry guys.

Watch out for Franquin in Race 8. I really think its well suited in this race and draw. Had no luck of late and is a very strong type. Watch it's last 4 runs on thewatchdog.com.au. Looking to break through at some big odds tonight...
He ran .01 slower than Pedra Branca did at the meadows in his last start :D:D:D:D:D.

If there is any money in the account left by then ill have a dip each way!.

Thanks Poiz!. Good luck!.
 

Poizun

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He ran .01 slower than Pedra Branca did at the meadows in his last start :D:D:D:D:D.

If there is any money in the account left by then ill have a dip each way!.

Thanks Poiz!. Good luck!.

Haha..True..Unfortunately for both of us Pedra and Franquin were unplaced. I missed both runs but listened to them both so I will watch the replays when put up today.

With regards to Franquin got beat 9 lengths and the stewards say he lost 11 in the run. Unforutnatley, thats the case with him most runs. Look for him to drop in class soon and when he does unload. He has been racing against the likes of Prankster, Dentax Bale, Fedex etc and its very hard with his pattern of racing to take ground off those dogs.

I have a question for any other avid dog followers last night. How in the hell did Make the Magic not only bomb the start, but use up tons of gas in the first 100 metres or so to find the lead and hold off the entire field over 525m. Dog can barely run out 350m when on the bunny..sheeeeeeeesh... Was so sick.

P.S. Laura's Legacy was back to her usual tricks of giving away far too much of a start and rattling when its all over =\
 
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#46
Geez Pedra was smashed like a hooker on speed 10 minutes after the sailors docked. He got himself in a winning position , ive never seen a dog go from chance to 20 lengths last so quick!. Shame it was in such a big race, would have been nice to see what he could do with only fair luck. But he does tend to find trouble in his races from out wide. It will be a different story next time he draws in.
Laura's Legacy was dissapointing, you were right it was a night she decided to give them a 20 length start. :thumbsdown:
 

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Was always going to be the worry out wide when all the speed is even..If they all run the same to the first marker your screwed cuz of the box, so yeah :(. Hopefully they persist with city runs and draw a similiar field and closer to the fence..

And agreed on Laura's Legacy.. I dont like when I have to guess if she is going to tack on soon or early. Makes selecting the exotics straight very hard. You knew Miss Content would be able to lead or land close to the speed and take control, and I believe one on one Laura would beat her but a field is what racing is about...
 

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Running total on Value Bets from Jan 10th - Jan 24th (STab) based on a $50W/$100P on all selections

Outlay - $6300
Return - $6260

Profit - -$40 (-0.6%)

*Value Bets are dogs I anticipate the market will overlook and pay a respectable price. This does not necessarily mean they are the best dog in the race, but they are what I believe will pay overs. That being said, you will see a lot of variance in profit due to this fact.

Run of Lays getting beaten - 27

Broken Down Results of lay run
Favourite - 10
2nd Favourite - 8
3rd Favourite - 4
Other - 5

*Lays are 80% of the time, one of the top 3 dogs in the market and around 30-40% of the time they are favourites. Anyone can lay a 100-1 shot, but my selections are dogs either favourite or in the market!

Geelong

Full Maiden meeting means very little exposed form as well as alot of first starter's so will not even attempt an analysis of the meeting.

With that being said, Pipczak has a talented Maiden running in the 4th race at Geelong known as Metropolis. Has not had much luck to date after firing out of boxes and getting run down over the 450m at Ballarat in the VBIS series. 347m suits and has been freshened right up for this assignment. Look for vast improvement if he has kept it this long. Longest price sent out in his 8 starts is $6.90 reflects his ability which he has not been able to showcase yet. Look for a similiar price today.

Shepparton

Lay - Joseph Bale (Race 8, No.1) - Highly talented greyhound who bounced back to winning form when taking out a decent Horsham race defeating Remo Rubik. Was gifted the race with the way the box draw panned out and alot of slow beginners around. Tends to get a long way back and pounds home, which suited at the long straight up the Horsham track. Different here at Shepparton with alot of speed early and see it getting way too far and rattling home when the race is over.

Best - Whistling Drive (Race 4, No.1) - Dropping massively in class from racing against the likes of Aint Workin, Next Top Model, Mantra Lad and Jean Jeannie. Tends to bomb the start at alot of his races but when he decides to wind up he has a sickening explosive burst at the end of the races and with lack of talent in this field, even his box skills should not get him beat. Couple him all up with Flash of Light.

Flash of Light (Race 7, No.1) - Absolutely no luck at all in recent runs in much harder company than it meets here. From the red, will jump in front and run them a merry dance. Far far too classy here and the price will reflect. For multi players, I would be looking at BENJI MAGIC to find some form and claim a placing behind the winner.

Value - Viva Las Vegas (Race 8, No.7) - Anticipating money will come fast and hard for Batesy red runner giving us something to work with, with this greyhound. Boxed perfectly out wide and two slow beginners in 6 and 8 means this greyhound should find the lead comfortably and whilst it can carve out 25.30 running out in front, doubt much will get near it.

Richmond

Lay - Velocity Gem (Race.8, No.5) - Superior numeric form (1,2,1,3,1) around the Bathurst sprint circuit and recently the 400m Richmond trip. Both runs around the 400m track has seen it round around 23.20. That is DEFINETLY not quick enough to even come close to winning this race. Combine that with a bad box and a pretty hot field. Easy lay.

Best - Moonshine Party (Race 7, No.1) - Drawn to perfection. Small field. Has dazzling early and mid race accelleration but finds it tough to run the full 535m out. With the field its in today though, should be able to easily set up a winnable lead and hold off any challengers.

Value - Killarney Babe (Race 3, No.8) - I really have a good feeling about this dog this afternoon and will have be having a sizeable crack. It has not won lately, but has been thereabouts in super company. Placed last week off the red in sizzling 22.61. Prior to that 4th behind Marko Polo, and the super impressive Seize the Moment. Its form is first class and it gets it chance to improve.
 

Schmucta

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#49
Haha..True..Unfortunately for both of us Pedra and Franquin were unplaced. I missed both runs but listened to them both so I will watch the replays when put up today.

With regards to Franquin got beat 9 lengths and the stewards say he lost 11 in the run. Unforutnatley, thats the case with him most runs. Look for him to drop in class soon and when he does unload. He has been racing against the likes of Prankster, Dentax Bale, Fedex etc and its very hard with his pattern of racing to take ground off those dogs.

I have a question for any other avid dog followers last night. How in the hell did Make the Magic not only bomb the start, but use up tons of gas in the first 100 metres or so to find the lead and hold off the entire field over 525m. Dog can barely run out 350m when on the bunny..sheeeeeeeesh... Was so sick.

P.S. Laura's Legacy was back to her usual tricks of giving away far too much of a start and rattling when its all over =\
I actually had my last hard earned on this one, I thought I was gone when missed the kick. I think a bigger query would be how Mid City Ace leads, and leads clearly, but get's run down, missing a place??

Now that was sick.
 

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I actually had my last hard earned on this one, I thought I was gone when missed the kick. I think a bigger query would be how Mid City Ace leads, and leads clearly, but get's run down, missing a place??

Now that was sick.

Mid City Ace has always been a query when having to WORK for the lead. She was in a similiar boat to Make the Magic when she didnt come out running but did muster so by the first turn she managed to work around the field and lead. With that being said, she definetly stopped much much quicker than most people would have thought, and I dont know if she pulled up sore or not, but that definetly was unexpected.
 
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