Politics Betting Thread

[Chism]

thought this was the punting thread not the conspiracy thread?

This and the next post that is not punting related is getting deleted and the offender is getting a thread ban regardless if you are replying to someone that may have quoted you etc.

Take it to other boards that are discussing the election and it is not like it is not being discussed anywhere!

 

[maskmcgee]

yep the issue as with last time is 2 thirds senate requirement which won't happen unless a heap of republicans vote against party lines.

Got nothing to do with the market being discussed

This market concerns whether the US House of Representatives will vote, by simple majority, to approve or pass any articles of impeachment on President Donald Trump

 

[NYRB]

As it stands, Trump is a 77% chance of getting impeached again.

 

[CHuggySera]

If anyone wants a small bit of guaranteed return. You can still bet on which year Trump will be out of office.

Either get 1% now or wait to get matched at 2%.

Pretty much lock up your money for 8 days to capture the profit. Worth it if you just got money sitting around in the bank or other betting accounts. 2% in 8 days is an effective annual rate of 143% haha.

 

[NYRB]

According to Smarkets Exchange:

What next for Trump?

"Our markets: Convicted by Senate – 31% chance Become 2024 Republican nominee – 17% Win 2024 presidential election – 8%"

 

[NYRB]

From the Smarkets Betting Exchange

Biden's first international country he will visit after inauguration?

UK $1.75
Ireland $2.98
Germany $5.10
France $7
China $15
Ukraine $100

 

[NYRB]

someone lucky enough to get a bit matched on France and China at 99/1

 

[NYRB]

Like how Mark McGowan and the current Premier has handled Covid19?(from the Exchange)

Labor $1.03
Liberal $21
Greens $190
Any Other Party $270

 

[NYRB]

UK Politics

 

[NYRB]

few interesting seats in Labor v Liberal in WA election I have my eye in:

Churchlands:
Liberal 1.65
Labor 2.10
Greens, Independent 34
Australian Christians 101

Nedlands:
Liberal 1.75
Labor 2.00
Independent (Argyle) 15
Indepdendent (Mangano) 51
Green 51

South Perth:
Liberal 1.82
Labor 1.90
Green 34
Liberal Democrats 51
No Mandatory Vaccination 101

Cottesloe :

Liberal 1.25
Labor 4.50
Green 10
Independent (Tony Parker) 34
No Mandatory Vaccination 91
WAxit Party 101


id be interested in the odds of the Liberals in a multi in the 'Golden Triangle of Perth'? e.g Nedlands-Churchlands & Nedlands-Churchlands-South Perth.

 

[NYRB]

another interesting I'll throw up is Carine, in the WA election - 3 days out of polls

Liberal 1.25
Labor 3.70
Green 34
WAXit Party 91
No Mandatory Vaccination 101

 

[HeathySure]

w

another interesting I'll throw up is Carine, in the WA election - 3 days out of polls

Liberal 1.25
Labor 3.70
Green 34
WAXit Party 91
No Mandatory Vaccination 101

what the hell is a Waxit party? something to do with Brazilians?

 

[iluvparis]

w

what the hell is a Waxit party? something to do with Brazilians?

Secessionists

 

[freo_leo29]

w

what the hell is a Waxit party? something to do with Brazilians?

When I voted and read the 8 parties half of them felt like a bad joke, Waxit, No mandatory Vac, Australian Christians, One Nation.

Somehow one of those got a 5 from me, was pretty damn bad

 

[iluvparis]

When I voted and read the 8 parties half of them felt like a bad joke, Waxit, No mandatory Vac, Australian Christians, One Nation.

Somehow one of those got a 5 from me, was pretty damn bad

Takes me back to the time I voted for the 'fix the escalators in the Menzies building' party at uni elections.

 

[NYRB]

w

what the hell is a Waxit party? something to do with Brazilians?

Quote from their website:

"

There is a pressing need for a re-write of the political landscape of Western Australia.

For too long Western Australia has been the Cinderella State, taken advantage of by the three ugly sisters and the wicked stepmother of the eastern seaboard.

Federation has resulted in the State being bled dry of assets that are sold at lowest-value prices, principally for the benefit of governments, businesses, and residents of other jurisdictions.

Western Australia comprises about one third (2.5 million square kilometers) of the total geographical area of Australia, yet is represented by only 16 (and soon to be reduced to 15) members in the Federal House of Representatives – less than 10% of the total number of 151 lower house seats. The largest part of the country has little power to influence the democratic process under the current arrangements. Its people are severely disadvantaged by this, despite being the economic powerhouse of Australia.

Western Australia must leave the Federation, stand on its own feet as an independent state free from the shackles of the Federation. Western Australians need to become masters of their own destiny and set their own course to a better future.

"


A lot of disgruntled Western Australian's and how they are treated by the East Coast.

 

[NYRB]

if the WA was to succede, would the AFL ever abolish the Dockers and the Eagles?

 

[HeathySure]

Quote from their website:

"

There is a pressing need for a re-write of the political landscape of Western Australia.

For too long Western Australia has been the Cinderella State, taken advantage of by the three ugly sisters and the wicked stepmother of the eastern seaboard.

Federation has resulted in the State being bled dry of assets that are sold at lowest-value prices, principally for the benefit of governments, businesses, and residents of other jurisdictions.

Western Australia comprises about one third (2.5 million square kilometers) of the total geographical area of Australia, yet is represented by only 16 (and soon to be reduced to 15) members in the Federal House of Representatives – less than 10% of the total number of 151 lower house seats. The largest part of the country has little power to influence the democratic process under the current arrangements. Its people are severely disadvantaged by this, despite being the economic powerhouse of Australia.

Western Australia must leave the Federation, stand on its own feet as an independent state free from the shackles of the Federation. Western Australians need to become masters of their own destiny and set their own course to a better future.

"


A lot of disgruntled Western Australian's and how they are treated by the East Coast.

See Ya wouldnt want to be ya!

 

[ricardogp]

So much to chuckle at in that statement... And I lived in Perth for nearly 20 years!

Sent using Tapatalk

 

[NYRB]

It's always was hard for me to speak about the political situation. The only moment was when they tried to prohibit gambling in my region. I am a big gambler so for me was a problem with their political statements about gambling.

may I ask which country your from?

 

[maskmcgee]

Gov. Newsom to not be recalled $1.44

 

[NYRB]

Following Donald Trump's speech today

he is a 20% chance of being Republican nominee in 2024 and a 10% chance of winning the election.

 

[maskmcgee]

Following Donald Trump's speech today

he is a 20% chance of being Republican nominee in 2024 and a 10% chance of winning the election.

If Trump decides to run, is is 100% certain to win the nomination. IF he dosen't run, whoever he endorses is 100% certain to win it.

 

[54Dogs]

Is it a case of decides to run or allowed to run?

They are lining up with law suits

 

[NYRB]

2024 US President Election Winner

Donald Trump favourite edging out Biden right now on Smarkets

Trump $4.80 v $5.10 Biden

 

[HeathySure]

2024 US President Election Winner

Donald Trump favourite edging out Biden right now on Smarkets

Trump $4.80 v $5.10 Biden

Biden ran on the basis of being a 1 term president. Trump will be in jail
it will be someone else