10-12 wins is too much for Adelaide (unless they have a great injury run and hit sides in the middle of s**t ones. They've had that Midas run before). 6 - 8 is likely. They'll score a couple of wins away out of Sydney, North, Hawks, Essendon and Melbourne (North and one other, whichever is having a s**t day at the wrong time). They still have Suns, Dockers, North, Melbourne, Hawks at home. With crowds back the AFL won't want 30k or less at Adelaide games so they'll ensure they get even more than their usual Home ground umpiring run against these poor sides.
I'm ok with them given every advantage to get to get out of the bottom 2. It ensures no chance of a priority pick. I'd be happy for them to get to 10 wins and get in that 9 - 12 zone. A year of average picks and they'd be likely to hold onto Senior players another year so they don't plummet straight back down. Where as bottom 4 and they'll be more willing to cut the past it players we want to see stay on there forever, plus get good players in (some who may even stay beyond two years ).
I'm ok with them given every advantage to get to get out of the bottom 2. It ensures no chance of a priority pick. I'd be happy for them to get to 10 wins and get in that 9 - 12 zone. A year of average picks and they'd be likely to hold onto Senior players another year so they don't plummet straight back down. Where as bottom 4 and they'll be more willing to cut the past it players we want to see stay on there forever, plus get good players in (some who may even stay beyond two years ).