Preview Potential Milestones 2020

[eth-dog]

There are 20 potential milestones next year (some of which require 3 finals minimum). My rankings on whether they'll get there are based on best 22, injury history, etc. A relative guide is:

1-5 games: Highly likely
6-10 games: Likely
11-15 games: Probable
16-20 games: Improbable
21-26 games: Unlikely

Although it can interchange based on above factors

200 games:

Cale Hooker (193) - Likely
Michael Hurley (179) - Improbable


150 games:

Devon Smith (138) - Probable
Tom Bellchambers (129) - Unlikely
Jake Stringer (128) - Improbable
Zach Merrett (126) - Unlikely

100 games:

Adam Saad (92) - Likely
Anthony McDonald-Tipungwuti (89) - Likely
Patrick Ambrose (87) - Probable
Martin Gleeson (78) - Unlikely
Shaun McKernan (78) - Unlikely
Darcy Parish (76) - Unlikely
Orazio Fantasia (75) - Unlikely

50 games:

Jacob Townsend (48) - Likely
James Stewart (45) - Likely
Andrew Phillips (41) - Probable
Jayden Laverde (40) - Probable
Matt Guelfi (32) - Improbable
Aaron Francis (27) - Unlikely
Mason Redman (25) - Unlikely

 

[ghostdog]

There are 20 potential milestones next year (some of which require 3 finals minimum). My rankings on whether they'll get there are based on best 22, injury history, etc. A relative guide is:

1-5 games: Highly likely
6-10 games: Likely
11-15 games: Probable
16-20 games: Improbable
21-26 games: Unlikely

Although it can interchange based on above factors

200 games:

Cale Hooker (193) - Likely
Michael Hurley (179) - Improbable


150 games:

Devon Smith (138) - Probable
Tom Bellchambers (129) - Unlikely
Jake Stringer (128) - Improbable
Zach Merrett (126) - Unlikely

100 games:

Adam Saad (92) - Likely
Anthony McDonald-Tipungwuti (89) - Likely
Patrick Ambrose (87) - Probable
Martin Gleeson (78) - Unlikely
Shaun McKernan (78) - Unlikely
Darcy Parish (76) - Unlikely
Orazio Fantasia (75) - Unlikely

50 games:

Jacob Townsend (48) - Likely
James Stewart (45) - Likely
Andrew Phillips (41) - Probable
Jayden Laverde (40) - Probable
Matt Guelfi (32) - Improbable
Aaron Francis (27) - Unlikely
Mason Redman (25) - Unlikely

McKernan on 78. Talk about late bloomers.

 

[eth-dog]

McKernan on 78. Talk about late bloomers.

Only Sam Reid (Giants), Mitch Brown and Sam Lloyd are older without playing 100 games

 

[Doss]

Can't wait for Fantasia's 100th on the last day in September! 17!!!!!

 

[jmoo wan]

16-20 games: Improbable
21-26 games: Unlikely

200 games:
Michael Hurley (179) - Improbable

c’mon mate - you are better than this.

 

[eth-dog]

c’mon mate - you are better than this.

Look where I say it adjusts from player to player.

 

[jmoo wan]

Look where I say it adjusts from player to player.

haha- fair point!

 

[Howard Moon]

haha- fair point!

Ethan to admit defeat in an argument

after 16-20 posts: Improbable
after 21-26 posts: Unlikely

keep plugging away jmoo

 

[freddy mercury]

Reckon we will a final?

 

[blitzer]

I wonder what the odds of Fantasia reaching 100 games this season would be?
1000 to 1? 10000 to 1? Its really tough to quantify such an unlikely event.