Predict the results of the 2019 Federal Election

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So why are some media saying that LNP will now win because of Clive Palmer ?
For the life of me I don't understand why Palmer is a chance, he was an abject failure as an MP first time around and yet all of a sudden he's a big chance for the Senate because he can pony up $30 mil. It's not even value for money, it only cost Turnbull $1 million to remain as PM.
 

Tiges1229

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For the life of me I don't understand why Palmer is a chance, he was an abject failure as an MP first time around and yet all of a sudden he's a big chance for the Senate because he can pony up $30 mil. It's not even value for money, it only cost Turnbull $1 million to remain as PM.

Yeah Crazy the amount of adverts he has had here in Melbourne , been going like 5 months . Thing i find funny though is his China scare campaign advert but yet his merchandise is all made in China. lol The prick wouldn't even pay royalties to twister sister for using there song on his ads, bloke is just another low life , unbelievable what gets elected into our parliament.
 

SBD Gonzalez

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Kidding, right?
For the life of me I don't understand why Palmer is a chance, he was an abject failure as an MP first time around and yet all of a sudden he's a big chance for the Senate because he can pony up $30 mil. It's not even value for money, it only cost Turnbull $1 million to remain as PM.
The vast majority of intelligent Australians* know that Palmer is a complete idiot.

*Just not sure how readily we can include Queenslanders under that umbrella, given it’s them that would be helping him into a Senate seat.
 

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Rupert's spin-doctors hard at work then...
To an extent, as noted earlier its filler content. Its like listening to Derwayne pumping up a goal when your team is 10 goals down. Because football and politics dont sell so well when the lead is so big
 

Jascave

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To an extent, as noted earlier its filler content. Its like listening to Derwayne pumping up a goal when your team is 10 goals down. Because football and politics dont sell so well when the lead is so big
Expect to see the Sky News team spin the results (ie Scott Morrison has saved the furniture when in reality Labor won by a landslide) on election night.


On iPad using BigFooty.com mobile app
 

Badesumofu

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Senate preferences aren’t what they used to be. Palmer would also still need to get above LNP#3 to actually get any (if the LNP elect 3 Senators in QLD then there probably aren’t any unexhausted votes left for preferences to flow from).

To what extent this helps Liberals in the lower house remains to be seen. Most UAP first preference votes are coming from LNP-leaning voters anyway, so then the question is how many Labor leaning UAP voters are there, and how likely are they to put the LNP above Labor just because Clive’s HTV cards tell them to.

Then you have to factor in potential damage to UAP by being seen as too aligned with the Libs.

All in all I think the likely effect of this preference deal is probably not very much.
 
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So why are some media saying that LNP will now win because of Clive Palmer ?
Limit on Greens stories as the owners get stroppy.

Coverage Greens get is shocking for the third largest party.
 
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For the life of me I don't understand why Palmer is a chance, he was an abject failure as an MP first time around and yet all of a sudden he's a big chance for the Senate because he can pony up $30 mil. It's not even value for money, it only cost Turnbull $1 million to remain as PM.
Palmer has an appeal to people who think advertising doesn't work on them.
 

Tiges1229

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To an extent, as noted earlier its filler content. Its like listening to Derwayne pumping up a goal when your team is 10 goals down. Because football and politics dont sell so well when the lead is so big

“ From the paint” lol worst commentator in the history of Football .
 

nobbyiscool

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Yeah Crazy the amount of adverts he has had here in Melbourne , been going like 5 months . Thing i find funny though is his China scare campaign advert but yet his merchandise is all made in China. lol The prick wouldn't even pay royalties to twister sister for using there song on his ads, bloke is just another low life , unbelievable what gets elected into our parliament.
The bit I find funny is his obvious lack of knowledge of Melbourne. He's clearly just bought the biggest pieces of ad space he can find without even consulting the candidates he has down here.

He's got one on the corner of Alexandria Parade and Nicholson St in Fitzroy, and he's got one on High St in the southern part of Northcote.

If you drew a circle with a 1km radius around each of those billboards, I doubt you'd find more progressive leaning areas in all of Australia.

(The one in Northcote has been graffitied - someone painted over the "G" and "R", and the bottom of the "E". So "MAKE AUSTRALIA GREAT" becomes "MAKE AUSTRALIA FAT." Being a fat bastard myself, I'm not big on the fat shaming. But being a hypocrite, I did laugh the first time I saw it.)
 
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Bomberboyokay

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Let's hope this compulsory voting thing works on them.
Young people might be enrolling more for a couple reasons. 1) Coalition Government is ******* them, and 2) Social media is telling them how they're specifically getting ******. 1999 this stuff was limited to 'boring' newspapers, charisma-free ABC, and presented in a way that's laughably diplomatic compared to now.
 
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Bomberboyokay

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That would be best case for the LNP. Dutton and Abbott gone, hopefully Turnbull shuts up, LNP has a chance to reform and a margin they can make up.
Liberals won't reform. Far right took over and they're going nowhere. Labor will get enough baggage after 6-9 years and the Liberals will pick a trim 38-year-old as leader.
 
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