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I've always thought it'd be very unlikely that Oakeshott or Windsor would side with the Coalition- that was very apparent to me even before I saw this SMH article.
They'd be mugs if they did, and would be acting against their own interests.
The policy perspective espoused by these two independent MPs seems to be poles apart from so much of what the Liberals advocate in their policy platform, most strikingly so in Oakeshott's case.
In fact, I'd say they're both closer in their thinking to the Greens in many respects. As I've said before, Oakeshott reminds me a lot of Peter Andren (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peter_Andren) - and Windsor is also cut from similar cloth.
And like Andren did, both of them have an unshakeable hold on their seat- Oakeshott has a 25% margin in Lyne, and Windsor has a 43% margin in New England.
Their personal support is enormously high, and their voters would certainly be sufficiently cognisant of what they represent, so I don't see either of them being particularly endangered by rejecting Abbott and the Coalition.
Moreover, their parliamentary records show they've both voted with the ALP substantially more often than not, up to this point.
They'd be mugs if they did, and would be acting against their own interests.
The policy perspective espoused by these two independent MPs seems to be poles apart from so much of what the Liberals advocate in their policy platform, most strikingly so in Oakeshott's case.
In fact, I'd say they're both closer in their thinking to the Greens in many respects. As I've said before, Oakeshott reminds me a lot of Peter Andren (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peter_Andren) - and Windsor is also cut from similar cloth.
And like Andren did, both of them have an unshakeable hold on their seat- Oakeshott has a 25% margin in Lyne, and Windsor has a 43% margin in New England.
Their personal support is enormously high, and their voters would certainly be sufficiently cognisant of what they represent, so I don't see either of them being particularly endangered by rejecting Abbott and the Coalition.
Moreover, their parliamentary records show they've both voted with the ALP substantially more often than not, up to this point.

