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Unofficial Preview QF1 crows vs pies Thursday night 4th September

  • Thread starter Thread starter FR0GGY
  • Start date Start date
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What are your thoughts on Max Michalanney playing forward vs Collingwood?


  • Total voters
    54
  • Poll closed .

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Last edited:
"If"?

'When' Froggy, When.
If we win tomorrow night and can avoid injury we will win the flag. Although, I’m not confident about tomorrows game. IMO Collingwood are clear favourites. They will be a hardened beast in finals.
 

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One of the worst goal umpires in the league.
Oh My God Omg GIF by Jackson-Triggs
 
If we win tomorrow, we have a very good chance of winning the flag. Due to the potential change in pathway, if we lose, our flag chances become slim.

Estimating the cumulative probability (I'll assume the granny is 50/50 as we have no clue who we would face):

Win QF
Home prelim 70%
Grand final 50%
0.7 x 0.5 = 0.35 or 35%

Lose QF
Home semi 70%
Away prelim 30%
Grand final 50%
0.7 x 0.3 x 0.5 = 0.11 or 11%.
 
If we win tomorrow, we have a very good chance of winning the flag. Due to the potential change in pathway, if we lose, our flag chances become slim.

Estimating the cumulative probability (I'll assume the granny is 50/50 as we have no clue who we would face):

Win QF
Home prelim 70%
Grand final 50%
0.7 x 0.5 = 0.35 or 35%

Lose QF
Home semi 70%
Away prelim 30%
Grand final 50%
0.7 x 0.3 x 0.5 = 0.11 or 11%.
Putting each game at 50/50 gives us an 18.75% chance of winning the premiership. I think this reflects the 'true' odds the best.
 
Apparently Ben Keays has never kicked a goal against Collingwood??? That's a crazy stat!
 
Google images, my kids love KPOP Demon Hunters at the moment, they have no interest in football :eek:
"KPOP Demon Hunters", huh ... ? :rolleyesv1:

Lemme guess; that'd be a mixed-gender group of Korean pop stars who break into song before and/or after they hunt and kill Demons who threaten the world ...?
I'm an old fart, kind of a traditionalist in many ways, but you seem to be a reasonable and thoughtful bloke.

Does their fascination with KPOPDH build strong young minds or is it a peer pressure thing?
 

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"KPOP Demon Hunters", huh ... ? :rolleyesv1:

Lemme guess; that'd be a mixed-gender group of Korean pop stars who break into song before and/or after they hunt and kill Demons who threaten the world ...?
I'm an old fart, kind of a traditionalist in many ways, but you seem to be a reasonable and thoughtful bloke.

Does their fascination with KPOPDH build strong young minds or is it a peer pressure thing?
I watched 6 foot Turtles doing martial arts after being taught to do so by a mutant rat when I was growing up.

It didn't damage me in any way :D

Its very good, the soundtrack is top shelf and its not idiots on Youtube reacting to things at least.
 
If we win tomorrow night and can avoid injury we will win the flag. Although, I’m not confident about tomorrows game. IMO Collingwood are clear favourites. They will be a hardened beast in finals.
Crows v Lions in the GF, I reckon. Dodgy Pies out in straight sets :-D
 

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We are at the 11th hour and Rory Sloane still hasn't told us how we should be supporting the team at the ground tomorrow night. C'mon Rory, we await your wisdom.
Didn't your mother ever teach the most important thing in life?

Don't be a dick.
 

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