Preview R18: Melbourne vs Essendon, the Melksham-Hibberd-Brown trophy, Carrara, 19/09/2020, 2:10PM

Remove this Banner Ad

Status
Not open for further replies.

eth-dog

Premium Platinum
Jan 11, 2007
91,207
47,645
Melbourne
AFL Club
Essendon
Other Teams
Coburg Lions, All Boston sides
Observations

Essendon: The Bombers won the first quarter. Nothing happened after that. Literally nothing. What? You don't believe me? Fine, the Dons were hammered after that, going down by 50 points. Devon Smith had 26 disposals and 7 tackles whilst star defender Jordan Ridley had 20 disposals and 5 intercept possessions across half back.

Melbourne: Melbourne kept their finals hopes alive for at least one more round by defeating the Giants by 5 points. Ed Langdon's two way running was a feature, having 23 disposals on a wing, whilst the smalls did the damage inside 50 for the Demons with Oskar Baker, Charlie Spargo and half back Trent Rivers kicking 2 apiece, including the match winner from Rivers.


Head to Head (last 5)

Essendon 2-3 Melbourne


Form Guide

Essendon: 1W 3L
Melbourne: 1W 3L


Sportsbet odds

Essendon: $
Melbourne: $
Line: .5 ($1.90)


Possible sides

Essendon vs Melbourne

FB: Jordan Ridley - Cale Hooker - Martin Gleeson
FF: Jake Melksham - Mitchell Brown - Charlie Spargo
HB: Devon Smith - Brandon Zerk-Thatcher - Adam Saad
HF: Bayley Fritsch - Sam Weideman - Aaron vandenBerg
MF: Kyle Langford - Mitchell Hibberd - Zachary Merrett
MF: Ed Langdon - Jack Viney - Oskar Baker
HF: William Snelling - James Stewart - Brayden Ham
HB: Christian Salem - Adam Tomlinson - Trent Rivers
FF: Anthony McDonald-Tipungwuti - Joe Daniher - Jake Stringer
FB: Michael Hibberd - Steven May - Jake Lever
OB: Samuel Draper - Darcy Parish - Dylan Shiel
OB: Max Gawn - Christian Petracca - Clayton Oliver
IC: Matthew Guelfi - Dylan Clarke - Tom Bellchambers - Ross McQuillan
IC: Jayden Hunt - Alex Neal-Bullen - Kysaiah Pickett - Neville Jetta

Essendon in: Tom Bellchambers, Cale Hooker, Ross McQuillan; Out: Andrew Phillips (cos farewell game), Jacob Townsend (omit), Tom Cutler (omit)
Melbourne in: Michael Hibberd; Out: Joel Smith (omit)


Melbourne defence vs Essendon forward line

This season Essendon averaged 21.6% in terms of goals/inside 50 this season, a little below the AFL average. Melbourne's defence has held up well this season, conceding a goal only 21.1% of the time. Joe Daniher is Essendon's star forward and he will be playing against Steven May inside 50, the Melbourne defender being in All Australian contention so far this season, whilst former teammates James Stewart and Adam Tomlinson will likely renew acquaintances as the secondary key forward match ups. Neville Jetta has had an up and down season, but he has a good record against Anthony McDonald-Tipungwuti and will try to keep that going whilst Jake Lever will go head to head with Jake Lever, the two former All Australians having mixed seasons in terms of goals.


Midfield/rucks battle

Essendon and Melbourne are 7th and 8th in clearance differential respectively so far this season, but the big difference is the pair being 15th and 3rd in contested possession differential respectively, and given Melbourne's much larger inside brigade it isn't any surprise at that. Christian Petracca has been fantastic as the main ball winner for the Demons so far this season, whilst Jack Viney, Clayton Oliver and Aaron vandenBerg have been good support for him inside this season. Essendon are significantly smaller with Dylan Shiel as the main man but the size improves with Mitchell Hibberd having significant midfield minutes last week and Zach Merrett, Darcy Parish and Dylan Clarke playing well on the inside the past couple of games. On the outside Kyle Langford is having a career best year on a wing, whilst Brayden Ham has improved on his debut season, Melbourne bringing inthe hard working Ed Langdon to improve their two way running on the outside. Rucks wise, Max Gawn is awesome but Essendon are excited about big kid Sam Draper and Tom Bellchambers may get a farewe game as the Dons can't make finals from here.


Melbourne forward line vs Essendon defence

Melbourne kidck a goal 20.7% of the time it enters their forward 50 this season, around the bottom of the pack in this stat. Essendon have been good at restricting the opposition in this area, conceding a goal 22.2% of the time it enters defensive 50, around the AFL average. The main match up will be Sam Weideman against Cale Hooker, the young key forward having a career best year, averaging 2 goals a game this season, whilst Hooker may come back from being a shock omission against Port Adelaide, whilst young defender Brandon Zerk-Thatcher will likely go head to head with former don Mitchell Brown. Jake Melksham is Melbourne's best small forward and he loves playying his former side, will be likely to play out of a pocket against star 3rd tall Jordan Ridley, which will be a fascinating match up for neutral viewers.


X-Factor Player

Michael Hibberd may be retiring at the end of the season, will want to put in a good effort against his former side in what may be his last game.


Key stat

Essendon: Defensive conversion. Should be able to contain an average Melbourne forward line.

Melbourne: Clearances. Win this, they win the game.


Tip

Melbourne need a win to make finals. Essendon are playing for nothing. Dees by 45
 
Last edited:

Log in to remove this ad.

(Log in to remove this ad.)

Bunk Moreland

Hall of Famer
Sep 22, 2011
35,043
70,882
Your girlfriend's dreams
AFL Club
Essendon
I wouldn’t play Bellchambers. Call me a prick. But he can’t compete. And there’s no fans there to farewell him anyway, it’s hardly a farewell game. Have a big function after the game for him then do a farewell at our next home game in Melbourne, whenever that is.
 

eth-dog

Premium Platinum
Jan 11, 2007
91,207
47,645
Melbourne
AFL Club
Essendon
Other Teams
Coburg Lions, All Boston sides
I wouldn’t play Bellchambers. Call me a prick. But he can’t compete. And there’s no fans there to farewell him anyway, it’s hardly a farewell game. Have a big function after the game for him then do a farewell at our next home game in Melbourne, whenever that is.
So? It's not as if it's a must win game to make finals. There is literally no reason not to. There are fans there. No it isn't 50k at the MCG but give him this. He deserves it.
 

Albertross

Team Captain
Feb 26, 2015
569
1,161
North of the border
AFL Club
Essendon
So many games fixtured for us up here this year, yet have not gone to as many games as I would have liked to due to fixturing times.

Will be going to this one, not because I expect us to win, but because I ******* love this club, despite the pain they cause me week after week, year after year.

Expect more than one of the boys will be getting a farewell game, so would like to be there to applaud their service to this once great club.

Make no mistake though, despite the shitty times now, we will be great again! (Just hope I'm alive to see it) Go Dons!!!
 
Last edited:

Bunk Moreland

Hall of Famer
Sep 22, 2011
35,043
70,882
Your girlfriend's dreams
AFL Club
Essendon
So? It's not as if it's a must win game to make finals. There is literally no reason not to. There are fans there. No it isn't 50k at the MCG but give him this. He deserves it.
Of course there is, we could play a kid instead. Or one of the blokes who’s in the gun for delisting. That’s what these games are for. Trying things out at AFL level. That’s why we played Stewart in defence today.

I get it for stars and clubs greats. I’ve got nothing against him but let’s not pretend he’s some significant player. He’s played 130 games, has been finished for two years and what... maybe has one top 10 B&F finish in his whole career? He’s never been a top player for us. He showed some promise early, then played VFL/backup to Ryder, had maybe one or two good years around being suspended, and then was physically cooked.
 

Bombers36

Club Legend
Jul 15, 2008
2,837
1,112
Essendon
AFL Club
Essendon
Surely Hooker and Bellcho get farewell games - have combined for a total of 337 games between them some respect people...

OUT: Hibberd, Townsend, Phillips, Cutler, Stringer
IN: Redman, Hurley, Bellcho, Laverde, Hooker

Team;-

Hurley Zerk Saad
Gleeson Ridley Smith
Langford Shiel Redman
Clarke Stewart Snelling
Daniher Hooker Tippa

Draper Parish Merrett

Bench: Guelfi Ham Laverde Bellcho
 

JT_the_Man

Brownlow Medallist
Dec 23, 2014
13,543
13,583
Wonders
AFL Club
Essendon
Other Teams
LCFC, LAL, Stars, 49ers, Canadiens
In - Bellchambers, Laverde, Hooker (I think those saying he’s done are overreacting - he’s probably got a year left in him, and he’s contracted, but just in case this is it, he plays)
Out - Phillips, Townsend, Cutler

B Saad - Hooker - Ridley
HB Gleeson - BZT - Smith
C Langford - Shiel - Snelling
HF Laverde - Stewart - Clarke
F Tippa - Daniher - Stringer
R Draper - Parish - Merrett
Int. Bellchambers - Hibberd - Ham - Guelfi

Wouldn’t mind bringing in Francis, Redman and a debutant or two as well.
 

BrunoV

Brownlow Medallist
May 5, 2009
17,669
22,170
AFL Club
Essendon
fu** this season
Standard operating procedure.

Player is in a run of form when clear opportunity opens up. We pick old cloggers instead because we're building our finals brand and there is too much risk we'll lose if we dont (which is an unironic position the club takes). Player gets injured and we then lament our luck as though that's the reason we fail to develop teams.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.

Remove this Banner Ad