It turns out that home state advantage doesn't apply as much in the grand final, so the squiggle discounts it.
Also, it doesn't treat a grand finalist's prior GF performances any differently from other games in predicting the result.
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Certified Legendary Thread Race for the flag, in squiggly lines
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It turns out that home state advantage doesn't apply as much in the grand final, so the squiggle discounts it.
Also, it doesn't treat a grand finalist's prior GF performances any differently from other games in predicting the result.
It's based on form. West Coast have better form according to Squiggles and Hawks lost while Eagles belted Lions and scored heavily.
TedDougChris
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Also love that the current end of season predication has North playing Richmond in the Elimination Final again and winning by two points. Punt Road would be burnt down!!
Not sure I could cope with another PF heartbreak...
Millky95
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Rather lose the prelim than the Grand Final any day of the week
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Dannnnnnnnnn
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We wouldn't know
Millky95
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Take it from experience thenWe wouldn't know
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Final Siren , just checking the site http://maxbarry.com/squiggle/2016.html for some more indepth reading and I see it has the Cats winning 98-86.
Anomaly?
Anomaly?
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I dunno, we lost a grand final and it wasn't so bad
YippeeYiYeo
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Dockers have fallen right off on the squiggle.
Posted in another thread: The Dockers will try to be the first team in 25 years to win the premiership after losing in the opening round by more than 10 goals. Hawthorn won the cup back in 1991 after losing to Adelaide in round 1 by 86 points.
Posted in another thread: The Dockers will try to be the first team in 25 years to win the premiership after losing in the opening round by more than 10 goals. Hawthorn won the cup back in 1991 after losing to Adelaide in round 1 by 86 points.
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Thanks for that. Each week the squiggle checks its numbers against afltables.com, but for some reason that site has wrong results! The Cats one seems fixed now but they still have Carlton on 82 points instead of 83.
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I was a bit surprised by that, too. I'm so used to the squiggle being a Freo hater, I thought it might rate Gold Coast's chances. But it's actually being consistent in scoring them as a mid-tier team, which is still significantly better than it rates the Suns, and with a home state advantage to boot.
SJ
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Final Siren I like that you've had the drag & drop feature for a while to recalculate the predicted outcomes. It would be nice if you had a round predictor for the next round so you could see how the changes go. For instance, I would tip Melbourne to win by at least 30, Swans by at least 50, Port by at least 20 and North by at least 50, so there would be a number of changes in the predictions. It's hard to gauge just how much you have to move each team based on predicted performance, whereas you could do it quickly with a round predictor. AFL all the stats used to have something similar.
Also, do you cache the tips anywhere?
Also, do you cache the tips anywhere?
- Aug 18, 2009
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Hmm, interesting idea.
Yep, on the live squiggle click TIPS and there's a "History" link at the bottom.
Heh, not with the results going the way they have so far this weekend!
Sweet!
threenewpadlocks
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I don't care that we're on top of the ladder and our percentage is over 250%.
We're moving in the wrong squiggle direction! Our flagpole isn't actually improving!
We're moving in the wrong squiggle direction! Our flagpole isn't actually improving!
catstorm
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No that's a pretty good move, it brings you in line with the correct defensive level.
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put a line through them, there is no way they will win the flag.
wont play finals.
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I've watched both the Freo games. Both times I thought of Squiggle and how it predicted them to finish outside the 8 before the season began. It's still early but so far Freo have done little to disprove the Squiggle's prediction.
Mepeyep
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Squiggle is best predictor.
Predicting a Hawks Dogs GF :O
We can score. Goals wins matches. Logic.
cryptor
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I'd watch that.
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