Certified Legendary Thread Race for the flag, in squiggly lines

[GreyCrow]

 

[Gralin]

Squiggle loves a thrashing since it's more indicative of attacking teams and attacking teams win grand finals, not defensive teams *cough* 2005, 2012 *cough*

*cough* 12% strike rate since 2000 says attacking teams win grand finals *cough*

 

[Gydafud]

With the Hawks playing the bombers this week, could there be a chance that they will sit in 8th of the ladder predictor but at the top of the flagpole? Surely that would be a first.

 

[Sirlemsip]

With the Hawks playing the bombers this week, could there be a chance that they will sit in 8th of the ladder predictor but at the top of the flagpole? Surely that would be a first.

I think if we win by enough, and keep the bombers to a low enough score, that the predictor will have us higher than 8th.

I will be very interested to see what our squiggle overlord indicates this time next week.

 

[Tippett2Goal]

I think if we win by enough, and keep the bombers to a low enough score, that the predictor will have us higher than 8th.

I will be very interested to see what our squiggle overlord indicates this time next week.

It will be interesting to see what the squiggle predicts you'll win by, would suspect it will be a lot.

 

[MWPP]

It will be interesting to see what the squiggle predicts you'll win by, would suspect it will be a lot.

Squiggle predicts a 58-118 margin
Not as lopsided as many are predicting, probably because most of us think Hawthorn are still better than their current squiggle position suggests

 

[The Swans Blog]

Squiggle predicts a 58-118 margin
Not as lopsided as many are predicting, probably because most of us think Hawthorn are still better than their current squiggle position suggests

And a lot of us don't think that the Swans are as defensive as the Squiggles suggest, but since we've had 3 very wet slogs so far this season (almost every team in Melbourne hasn't had one), it's a bit hard to really gauge the Swans.

Hawks are sitting where they should be. It's just that they're still good enough to beat the teams around them.

 

[Happy_Hawker]

Squiggle predicts a 58-118 margin
Not as lopsided as many are predicting, probably because most of us think Hawthorn are still better than their current squiggle position suggests

That seems about right, in fact, won't be surprised if it's another 3 or so goal win for us. We're just doing enough to win games at this stage. not interested in blowing teams off the park as in previous years. I expect we'll continue to decline down and left as the season progresses. Still should make top 8, though! (Hopefully!)

 

[Tippett2Goal]

Squiggle predicts a 58-118 margin
Not as lopsided as many are predicting, probably because most of us think Hawthorn are still better than their current squiggle position suggests

So hawks will have to outperform that to move anywhere on the squiggle, reckon theyll keep them to less tbh.

 

[Roobs321]

I think this could be one of those rare seasons where the fixture ACTUALLY decides final eight positions. I just can't see teams going on big winning streaks against fellow contenders, nor lots of away upsets against fellow contenders.

I'm always one to talk down umpiring and fixture hysteria, but I suspect the fixture will shape the eventual September, it's too evenly matched at present. That's no knock against the people behind the fixture, but those most fortunate based on how opponents are performing against expectations are going to best situated before the cage fight kicks off (and I would argue home finals will be the difference as well).

 

[djpaulydemon]

1 point loss for Melbourne this week against the pies. With the Pies getting belted and Melbourne's admirable effort I think the media and the so-called experts will get carried away with their predictions and rate us too highly (which then usually equals a questionable performance).

The benefits of being a squiggler is if we win I get to see some movement and if we lose at least the squiggle gave me a heads up and tempered my expectations.

 

[cryptor]

So hawks will have to outperform that to move anywhere on the squiggle, reckon theyll keep them to less tbh.

Our defense has been pretty leaky this year. Could see us moving either directly up, or up and slightly left.

 

[Final Siren]

Bonus squiggle! How each team has fared under its current coach.

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I had to adjust the axes to fit in GWS and Melbourne's starting positions.

 

[A Swallow]

Bonus squiggle! How each team has fared under its current coach.

​

I had to adjust the axes to fit in GWS and Melbourne's starting positions.

Oh Collingwood. Ouch.

 

[Millky95]

Bonus squiggle! How each team has fared under its current coach.

​

I had to adjust the axes to fit in GWS and Melbourne's starting positions.

This from their first season to where they are now?

 

[Gralin]

Bonus squiggle! How each team has fared under its current coach.

​

I had to adjust the axes to fit in GWS and Melbourne's starting positions.

This Squiggle shows some coaches have done better or worse with their lists than public perception, some are pretty spot on good stuff

 

[Final Siren]

This from their first season to where they are now?

Yes, if I have this right, every current coach got the job in between seasons. So it's from their starting point in that season to today.

 

[Millky95]

Yes, if I have this right, every current coach got the job in between seasons. So it's from their starting point in that season to today.

Cool, explains why Freo's doesn't look so healthy

 

[Final Siren]

This Squiggle shows some coaches have done better or worse with their lists than public perception, some are pretty spot on good stuff

The two that surprised me were Brisbane and Sydney. I'd kinda thought of Brisbane already being bad before Leppitsch and Sydney already being good before Longmire, but those teams weren't so far apart. Brisbane won 10 games the year before Leppitsch; Sydney won 13 before Longmire.

 

[Billy ray]

the suns made the 8!
with their squiggle movements of course.
not in real life!

 

[the_big_sav]

where do you guys go to see the predictions for each round?

 

[Final Siren]

Cool, explains why Freo's doesn't look so healthy

Right... Ross Lyon's entire fabulous journey looks more like this:

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It is actually kinda interesting how Fremantle camped out in their current location for a while before surging in 2012. Must be Ross's base camp.

 

[Old_Man_James]

Bonus squiggle! How each team has fared under its current coach.

​

I had to adjust the axes to fit in GWS and Melbourne's starting positions.

Interesting that Chris Scott is the only coach with mixed results.

12 coaches have improved both defence and attack, while the other 5 have declined both offensively and defensively.

 

[Gralin]

The two that surprised me were Brisbane and Sydney. I'd kinda thought of Brisbane already being bad before Leppitsch and Sydney already being good before Longmire, but those teams weren't so far apart. Brisbane won 10 games the year before Leppitsch; Sydney won 13 before Longmire.

It's also interesting that some coaches in a short time have had a big impact, others not so much. Look at the Eagles movement and the Doggies, if Carlton continue their trend Bolts will have done the same

Hawks have obviously been higher but Clarko over an 11 year period has had a lot of success. How much of North's improvement under Scott is from previous years as it's a pretty good indication that he has helped that club a lot

 

[ShanDog]

Tips for this week have the Saints just edging us out by something like 2 points.

Subjectively, I think that prediction is going to be proven fairly wrong, though of course I can see the meta-future and the squiggle cant, i.e. I know that the Saints have lost key defensive spots, have other injury concerns and are in relatively poor form at the moment, while Carlton are in relatively good form and will get a couple of players back (albeit not crucial names). Should see the Blues head upwards and right on the squiggle next round.