Certified Legendary Thread Race for the flag, in squiggly lines

[Final Siren]

loved the squiggle last year. This year its just a reminder of how far weve dropped off :/

It's funny how the waves of different supporters wash in and out of this thread. I met lots of new Adelaide people this year and haven't seen anyone from Fremantle for ages. Hawthorn are a constant.

 

[Hobbes]

loved the squiggle last year. This year its just a reminder of how far weve dropped off :/

Yes, last year the squiggle was on the West Coast bandwagon before most of the pundits.

 

[Billy ray]

It's funny how the waves of different supporters wash in and out of this thread. I met lots of new Adelaide people this year and haven't seen anyone from Fremantle for ages. Hawthorn are a constant.

I hope that one day , for the love of god , that some of my suns mates and i get to talk up ourselves in this thread...

 

[Crankyhawk]

yep, definitely one of the big problems with the 18 team/22 round system... playing two of the worst sides in recent memory twice is a definite leg up on every other team - but thats the system, geelong finished 10th last year and someone had to get them both. what can you do?

Well no one had to get them both - but draw done before CAS (so dons not expected to be as toxic). Those who got Fremantle twice are the ones with the big bonus.

 

[barmy44]

Well no one had to get them both - but draw done before CAS (so dons not expected to be as toxic). Those who got Fremantle twice are the ones with the big bonus.

ok, im not really familiar with all the possible permutations of the draw. anyway, i agree its a bonus for geelong playing them both... but at the start of the year playing carlton, collingwood and st kilda didnt look like losses, and things looked pretty bleak against the bombers until 3/4 time earlier this season, so...

 

[Jonts]

Don't know what you did to the tower of power but it looks better

 

[Here2tellyouwhy]

Wherever the servers are.
Let's hope Adelaide...

Nursing homes aren't cities.

 

[Here2tellyouwhy]

I struggle to see why Adelaide are rated above the Hawks, Geelong, Sydney on the flagpole.

If i separate my bias i can see us making a prelim if we can finish top 4 but not good enough to take out the premiership.

Spine.

Talia (AA) Lever (young gun)
Smith Laird (gun ball use from back 50)
Jacobs (Better than Hawks, Cats, Dogs, Swans, = to GWS, AA squad) Sloane (absolute gun, AA incoming)
Lynch (last years most score assists) Jenkins (40+ goals and very handy back up ruck)
Tex (takes the best defender and can break open a game) Betts (Best small forward of the last 10-20 years)

Add Thompson, Crouch Bros, MacKay, Lyons, Douglas, Cameron, McGovern, Seedsman, Cheeney etc

 

[Here2tellyouwhy]

 

[GreyCrow]

I've never rated it actually.

I quoted this post for a variety of reasons. Lols was the main one , but also with Finals coming up ( yes 5 weeks but it will take some of us that long to read it again ) I went back and had a look at last years Finals Squiggles , as I hadn't seen them before. Interesting.

A quick glance shows how accurate it forecasts , well forecasts. It had Hawks and Eagles as the outstanding teams and they went on to play the GF.

I rate it. Oh and page 195/96 if you want to go back and start reading. Thanks Squiggle

 

[Rotayjay]

That's a strange case, although to be honest it's a very small sample size. Only four prelims of 32 under the current system have been won by the away team - Brisbane over Sydney in 03, Sydney over St. Kilda in 05, West Coast over Adelaide in 06 and Hawthorn over Fremantle in 15. As it turns out all four of those winners went on to win the GF against the side they lost the QF to, although for Sydney and West Coast that was another interstate side (each other). For Brisbane they smashed a fairly ordinary Collingwood team so it's a bit hard to draw conclusions from that.

One thing the Squiggle currently tells us is that home-ground advantage is going to be crucial. The five sides most people think can win it (Geelong, Sydney, Hawthorn, Adelaide, GWS) would be predicted to beat any of the other four at home but lose away. The percentage battle for top 2/4 is going be fascinating as each of those teams will be favourite in all of their remaining games.

Tiny sample size, but perhaps it's because of this: if you're good enough to win an away prelim with the odds stacked against you, you're good enough to win the flag the next week.

 

[GreyCrow]

Fremantle will start 2016 as the squiggle's 9th ranked team! With a top-4 fixture, they'll be tipped to miss the finals.

From Sep 26 2015

 

[replicant]

Don't mind me. I'm just here for the squiggling.

 

[Seeds]

Yes, last year the squiggle was on the West Coast bandwagon before most of the pundits.

It was also on the west coast bandwagon for much of this year and that turned out to be rubbish.

 

[Matele]

It was also on the west coast bandwagon for much of this year and that turned out to be rubbish.

That's West Coasts fault more than the squiggle's. It plotted out our season had we actually developed instead of shriveling up to 2013 levels of shitness.

 

[cryptor]

Well Hawthorn are suddenly in a very precarious position.

 

[Glenno23]

Well Hawthorn are suddenly in a very precarious position.

Drop 1 more game and you could finish 5th

Crazy season be crazy

 

[Adz]

Swans in the box seat.

 

[cryptor]

Drop 1 more game and you could finish 5th

Crazy season be crazy

We've looked very uninspired and disinterested since we beat Sydney. If this loss doesn't give us the kick up the ass to win our remaining games then we'd never have win it all anyway either from 1st or 5th.

 

[STP18]

It's actually a massive loss in the context of the season. Their percentage is so far behind Adealide, GWS, Sydney and Geelong that it is impossible to make up, so if they drop just 1 more game for the year top 4 is legit all but gone. They have a trip to Perth coming up soon as well.

 

[cryptor]

It's actually a massive loss in the context of the season. Their percentage is so far behind Adealide, GWS, Sydney and Geelong that it is impossible to make up, so if they drop just 1 more game for the year top 4 is legit all but gone. They have a trip to Perth coming up soon as well.

We don't deserve top spot if we can't win our next 3. Would question our top 4 credentials too.

 

[Pessimistic]

It's actually a massive loss in the context of the season. Their percentage is so far behind Adealide, GWS, Sydney and Geelong that it is impossible to make up, so if they drop just 1 more game for the year top 4 is legit all but gone. They have a trip to Perth coming up soon as well.

Starting to think injuries and fitness which is behind the scenes makes the outlook for a fourpete a bit dim

 

[Hobbes]

It's actually a massive loss in the context of the season. Their percentage is so far behind Adealide, GWS, Sydney and Geelong that it is impossible to make up, so if they drop just 1 more game for the year top 4 is legit all but gone. They have a trip to Perth coming up soon as well.

Any of Adelaide, Sydney, Geelong or GWS could drop a game and leave them safe. Heck, GWS are looking a chance to lost to Gold Coast.

 

[RW]

The one thing I can say about the squiggle at the moment is that because the top 5 teams are so close on the ladder, the season predictor and flagpole mean very little as the predictions will change from week to week. I prefer to stick to the classic squiggle as a more reliable guide of where teams are relative to where they need to be. The Crows remain the standout offensive team and the Swans the standout defensive team but the Giants, Hawks and Cats are all near enough to the 'premiership zone' to be able to be considered contenders.

 

[ep2018]

It's actually a massive loss in the context of the season. Their percentage is so far behind Adealide, GWS, Sydney and Geelong that it is impossible to make up, so if they drop just 1 more game for the year top 4 is legit all but gone. They have a trip to Perth coming up soon as well.

Our form is so shockingly bad right now that we wont get close to them, unfortunately.