- Aug 18, 2009
- AFL Club
Nope, I haven't looked much at finals specifically. This is just the same model used in home & away games. I'd be interested in seeing what you've got, though.Just on the "Home" factor, i previously did some analysis and the home advantage in finals was massively correlated to victory, is there any evidence in your model to suggest the home factor is more prevalent in finals?
I know home sides do win a lot in finals, but of course you expect them to, since the higher-ranked teams get home finals. Does it happen even more than you should expect? That's probably hard to know for sure, since the sample size is fairly small (or else fairly old). But you could certainly crunch some numbers.