SBYM
Fish, chips, cup o' tea, Mary @#? Poppins. London!
Carlton v Doggies
Sunday 9th July, 3.20PM @ MCG
Sunday 9th July, 3.20PM @ MCG
Same bat-time, same bat-channel, Sundee arvo at the 'G...
This time it is against the reigning premiers but...the Doggies...
Last 5 games
Carl def GWS by 1
Carl def GCS by 10
Carl lost to Rich by 26
Carl lost to Adel by 12
Carl lost to Mel by 8
WB lost to Syd by 46
WB lost to Mel by 57
WB def NM by 1
WB lost to WCE by 7
WB lost to Adel by 59
Pretty clear we have the better form coming in, the Dogs' last loss to Adelaide...embarrassing for a team that just won a flag...prompted their coach to say it was one of the worst in his time at the club.
We had a real goddamn dip against Melbourne, but our second qtr showed just how far we have to go...let them kick six, had we been a bit better at that moment, who knows...
At the very least...
Injuries
Looks like Ed, Marchbank, Phillips, Rowe and maybe Cripps and White are the players on our injury list that won't be involved.
For them it's Adams, TBoyd, Crameri, Dunkley, Jong, and Murphy that will be absent (Doggies fans please correct as necessary)...
Where it will be won/lost...(note this does not include our latest game...will update later)
I haven't seen much at all of the Pups this year, so please correct as required. They are a high tackling team that likes to apply a lot of pressure. We're not far behind ranked 6th in the comp, so hopefully we can break even or better in this area.
Their scoring is down a bit this year from 84.4 points per game to 80.6. We're well behind them with 72.6 points per game, up from 71.3 last year. As far as defence is concerned, the Dogs are haemorrhaging 87.3 after 73.1 last year. We conceded 89.9 last year, down to 88.5 this year. Gross...(headed in the right direction but...) Point is, I don't think this is gonna be a shoot-out.
The Doggies are ranked 15th for hitouts per game, so perhaps we can get on top there given MK is in career best form. Much of that depends on how Crippa pulls up, of course. If our young gun is out then Murph and Gibba are gonna have to shoulder that much more.
Jack played well up forward against Melbourne, as did Curnow the Younger, so that is another area that maybe we can get on top, although the Dogs have Easton Wood down back marshalling the troops, and given his ability to intercept, I would perhaps consider a defensive forward...the perfect job for White...
I'll leave the really detailed in/outs discussion to the forty odd-pages to come, however, Jones to Redpath, I reckon our defence can cover Stringer (though he is always a risk of getting hold of you), defensive forward on Wood/Johanissen maybe...and it's gonna have to be a team effort to deal with a midfield that includes McLean, Macrae, Hunter...and some guy named Bontempelli (haven't heard much about him, is he any good??)...
As the above makes clear, I am no student of the game. IMO, the most insightful analysis I've ever seen belongs to our very own Stig O'Hara...something about a pumped up pig's arse and some sticks in the ground...perhaps he'd care to elaborate??
In any case, this should be a good contest. They are quick and they use their handball very well. Melbourne's quick handball seemed to me to be something we couldn't really deal with...I saw plenty of passages where they worked us over in close with quick hands.
However, we have fight in us. If BB has done anything it is instil an ability to get back into games, or hang in there in ones that a year ago would have been well beyond us. Take this new-found mongrel and add it to the Doggies' post-premiership woes (it was clearly a mistake by WB management to let Libba organise the post-GF celebrations) and this game should be pretty close...
For those of you paying attention, I am yet to tip a Carlton victory this year. Since you can't argue with mathematics and science, I am tipping the Dogs by 2 goals, which actually means a 15 point win to the Baggers.
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