Preview Round 10 - Carlton v St Kilda, Sunday 26 May 2019, 3.20pm @ Marvel Stadium - Final Team - Post #828

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Nov 11, 2005
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:carlton: V :stkilda:


Carlton V St Kilda

Sunday 26 May 2019 @ 3.20pm

Marvel Stadium


Head to Head:

Played 219 – Carlton 162 wins, St Kilda 55 wins, 2 draws

Last Time They Met: St Kilda 16.20.116 def Carlton 7.10.52

Last Round: Carlton Belted severely

St Kilda 10.11.71 def by Collingwood 17.10.112

The eagerly anticipated Carlton v St Kilda clash (there has to be someone eagerly anticipating this clash). Carlton still holds a huge advantage in the overall head to head battle between the 2 teams however the Saints have held sway for much of the last 15 years. Carlton have a clear picture of where they are heading with the accent being on getting games into the youngsters on the list whereas St Kilda look to be torn between looking towards the future & staying competitive in the present.

Key Players

Carlton

Paddy Cripps – Has now taken his game to a whole new level with many indicators pointing to him being the best player in the competition.

Jacob Weitering & Liam Jones – The 2 KPDs have developed a very good understanding & complement each other really well. With Membrey & Bruce both capable of kicking a bag, the Carlton duo will need to be at their best.

Sam Petrevski-Seton – As he demonstrated against the Bulldogs, if he gets huge numbers his impact on the game is massive. A fantastic user of the ball who the Carlton forwards will be hoping can give them pinpoint delivery

Matty Kreuzer – When Kreuzer is fit & healthy, chances are Carlton is up & running. His work in the ruck against an undermanned St Kilda ruck division could go a long way towards deciding the result.

Harry McKay – Despite the Carlton forward line also containing Charlie Curnow & Mitch McGovern, Harry is the forward who is really capable of worrying the opposition. When he is in a good headspace he is extremely hard to stop.

St Kilda

Jack Billings – The Carlton faithful witnessed first hand in 2017 the match winning capabilities of Billings when he had 30 disposals, took 12 marks & kicked 5 goals. He will need to be checked closely to prevent a repeat of this sort of game.

Tim Membrey – Has been an important cog in the Saints’ forward line over the last few seasons & has kicked 18 goals so far this season. He also has performed well against Carlton in the past so he must not be allowed too many looks at the goals.

Shane Savage – Continues to be a consistent accumulator & provides plenty of run for the Saints. He is the type of player who can break the lines, making defences nervous as he delivers inside 50.

Jack Steele – In the absence of Jack Steven, who has hurt Carlton in the past, Steele will need to find a lot of the ball, along with the aforementioned Billings & Luke Dunstan.

Josh Bruce – Another Saint who is capable of kicking multiple goals. He is the type of player who is inclined to bring their best against Carlton.

Who Will Win & Why

St Kilda defied expectations at the start of the season, winning 4 of their first 5 games, the only loss being a 5 point defeat by Fremantle. They have subsequently lost their last 4 games by an average of 33 points. The absence of key players is really testing their depth.

Carlton has been in winning positions in 4 games, but has only managed to bring home the bacon in one of these games. Inconsistency of effort within some games has been a significant contributing factor to the overall win/loss results.

After being smashed by the Giants, Carlton must come out & make it very clear that in no way is such a performance acceptable at any level. With this in mind, I am expecting Carlton to get over the line in a closely fought battle by 12 points.
 

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We're due for a response, I reckon.

In: Jones, Cuningham, Plowman, Simpson, Lang, Kennedy
Out: Casboult, Gibbons, Macreadie, O'Brien, Murphy, Setterfield

Jones for Casboult is obvious.
Cuningham for Gibbons is obvious.
Plowman for Macreadie is obvious.
Simpson for O'Brien is obvious.
Lang for Murphy if unable to get up.

Kennedy for Setterfield is the difficult one. Someone has to go out for a bigger body through the midfield. Setterfield is a player for the future but he is extremely ineffective as a midfielder right now. If Kennedy doesn't throw the body in, he is straight out of the team.
 
Would love it if we could get up for this one. Work with a Saints supporter who will be smug as heck this week. Response from the mids will be where it starts.
 
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We're due for a response, I reckon.

In: Jones, Cuningham, Plowman, Simpson, Lang, Kennedy
Out: Casboult, Gibbons, Macreadie, O'Brien, Murphy, Setterfield

Jones for Casboult is obvious.
Cuningham for Gibbons is obvious.
Plowman for Macreadie is obvious.
Simpson for O'Brien is obvious.
Lang for Murphy if unable to get up.

Kennedy for Setterfield is the difficult one. Someone has to go out for a bigger body through the midfield. Setterfield is a player for the future but he is extremely ineffective as a midfielder right now. If Kennedy doesn't throw the body in, he is straight out of the team.

Only issue with that is it actually equates to one less midfield rotation and too many defenders.

I would keep Gibbons in and take Stocker out instead. We don't need him with Simmo coming back in.

Overall these INS should make our team far stronger, certainly our 22's average age and games played goes up a decent amount.
 
What we saw today was a team that has hit 24-25yo's at their peak. Will be a very rare occurrence in 2020.

With so many players in the team today 22 and under, we're basically GWS in their formative years...plenty of young talent, but get bullied by the more mature teams physically that can lead to blow outs.

But in a few years when most of our talent is 20-24 instead of 18-22, we'll (hopefully) be like GWS is now.
 
Only issue with that is it actually equates to one less midfield rotation and too many defenders.

I would keep Gibbons in and take Stocker out instead. We don't need him with Simmo coming back in.

Overall these INS should make our team far stronger, certainly our 22's average age and games played goes up a decent amount.

I'd play Stocker as the HFF/mid for a few weeks.
 
We will beat St Kilda if we play this team.

In: Cuningham, Jones, Kennedy, Garlett, Simpson
Out: Gibbons, Casboult, Murphy, Macreadie, E.Curnow

B: Marchbank---------------Jones----------------Simpson

H: Thomas-----------------Weitering-------------Newman

C: C.Curnow----------------Cripps----------------O'Brien

H: SPS---------------------McGovern------------Cuningham

F: Garlett-------------------McKay-----------------Fisher

Foll: Kreuzer, Setterfield, Kennedy

Bench: Stocker, Dow, Walsh, Silvagni
 
Nah, we've heard plenty about his lack of a tank...and a lack of running power is something that's hurting us right now. Plus playing lots of inexperienced players.

We have far more mature guys who could come in and help us in this regard Stocker can make way for.

The value of raw running power is overstated, particularly when one cannot win a contest in isolation. Stocker wins contests and loose/hard balls.

Running power isn't our issue, we chase well. We've just got no idea how to spread and use the ball.
 
People with red lines through their name aren't taken as travelling emergency.

He either plays in AFL or VFL - this emergency caper is BS for a developing kid- total waste ot everyone's time - only underlined by the obvious on display ( again) today.
 
In Kennedy, Plowman, Jones, Simmo and cunners

Murphy (inj) LOB, Cas, Macreadie, and...Gibbo?

Plow - Jones - Thomas
Simmo - Weitering- Marchbank
Newman - Cripps - Ed.Curow
Dow - Charlie - McGovern
Jsos - McKay - Cunningham
Kruz - Kennedy - SPS
Setterfield- Walsh - Fisher - Stocker

Play Dow and Fisher off the half forward line.
Defence 100% more capable with the ins.

I’d play Newman further up the ground as he uses the ball better the most in our side



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