Prediction Round 10 Changes vs. Essendon

[Docker82]

Considering the weather is getting worse and worse and now looks like a wet weather game, I'd steer very clear of selecting Sharp.

Caldwell in and Young out in these conditions is definitely not ideal.

I've seen us lose to Essendon in Melbourne far too many times. Aren't we 0-4 at the G' against them?

With no Pearce and Young, add in the wet weather, I smell a danger game.

Still expecting a win, but like I said against the doggies, this will be far closer than people expect.

Three of four of those MCG games are from before 2000. The record is basically irrelevant IMO

We've beaten them there quite a few times in Melbourne just on the other side of town.

 

[Grape Bear]

Serious question - When dod we last play Essendon at the MCG?

Feel like we mostly play them at Marvel and have beaten them there quite a few times.

If the games we've played Essendon at MCG were 10+ years what relevance does it actually have?

2024, lost by a point after leading all game, and lost our chance
to play finals

 

[Docker82]

2024, lost by a point after leading all game, and lost our chance
to play finals

Yea I've edited my post.

The other three games we played Essendon at the MCG were before 2000.

Feel like we play the MCG okay generally.

 

[swanny1234]

2024, lost by a point after leading all game, and lost our chance
to play finals

That was at Marvel though, but still, that is the game that sits in the back of my mind and makes me nervous.

 

[Grape Bear]

That was at Marvel though, but still, that is the game that sits in the back of my mind and makes me nervous.

i thought that was at the G

 

[swanny1234]

Feel like we play the MCG okay generally.

Glad it's at the G - we should be using this as great opportunity to get a result as we don't play there often at all. When was the last time? 1 point win v the Pies last year I think? We did lose to the Dees there last year.

 

[Taylor]

Serious question - When dod we last play Essendon at the MCG?

2024, lost by a point. You'll remember it. It's the one where we were up by heaps and lost Treacy then they charged back, we were missing Pearce too.

 

[bone2468]

Got dogga as my captain in fantasy

 

[Docker82]

2024, lost by a point. You'll remember it. It's the one where we were up by heaps and lost Treacy then they charged back, we were missing Pearce too.

Most. Frustrating. Game. Ever.

We missed finals basically because that game too. Pretty sure I was calling for us to sack JL after that game - like just because of that game.

And yes, I've been critical of slow ball movement under JL and said we needed to move him on but that day was a level I barely get to. Generally keep comments like that on here for Monday to Friday when my emotions are more in check.

 

[mike91]

Three of four of those MCG games are from before 2000. The record is basically irrelevant IMO

We've beaten them there quite a few times in Melbourne just on the other side of town.

True, but that was also a long time ago.

• Essendon then won six straight Victorian meetings from 2010–2021.
• Fremantle broke that streak with a 48-point win at Docklands in 2022.
• Essendon won the latest Victorian clash by 1 point at the MCG in 2024.

I've been to lots of freo losses against Essendon where we've been favourites.

Bombers somehow smashed Melbourne and got extremely close to Suns on their deck and GWS on their deck. Getting smashed by Brisbane isn't a surprise, lions will do that to most non finalists, but the Collingwood smashing was unforgivable.

Our biggest margin away from home is 12 points, which was supposed to be against an injured doggies team that we supposedly were going to smash.

In no way am I talking us down, just saying this will be a lot closer than people think.

 

[Taylor]

Most. Frustrating. Game. Ever.

We missed finals basically because that game too.

Really just needed to not lose that last stoppage to allow the behind to put them up by 1 and we would have made finals on percentage.

That Fyfe suspension was very poorly timed in hindsight.

 

[Docker82]

True, but that was also a long time ago.

• Essendon then won six straight Victorian meetings from 2010–2021.
• Fremantle broke that streak with a 48-point win at Docklands in 2022.
• Essendon won the latest Victorian clash by 1 point at the MCG in 2024.

I've been to lots of freo losses against Essendon where we've been favourites.

Bombers somehow smashed Melbourne and got extremely close to Suns on their deck and GWS on their deck. Getting smashed by Brisbane isn't a surprise, lions will do that to most non finalists, but the Collingwood smashing was unforgivable.

Our biggest margin away from home is 12 points, which was supposed to be against an injured doggies team that we supposedly were going to smash.

In no way am I talking us down, just saying this will be a lot closer than people think.

Absolutely I agree with all of this - They're capable of decent footy.

Still I think there's a few people overreacting to a few injuries mainly but then also bringing the MCG factor into when IMO it isn't really an issue at all.

If we lose it's because we played poorly not due to the above.

 

[Snuffaluphagus]

Yeah put me down for wont be a smashing but that's mainly because of the weather. Will still be a comfortable win

 

[Purple Suit]

Yeah put me down for wont be a smashing but that's mainly because of the weather. Will still be a comfortable win

With a 5 day break, even if it's looking like a smashing we will put the cue in the rack. Weather will really bring us back to their level a bit though as their skills are one of their biggest problems.

 

[Orange crush]

Can Scerri put a hard tag on Archie Seagull? Asking for a friend

 

[swanny1234]

Can Scerri put a hard tag on Archie Seagull? Asking for a friend

Please no, he's my fantasy captain!

 

[mike91]

Can Scerri put a hard tag on Archie Seagull? Asking for a friend

Eh, don't worry about him. He'll get his 30+ irrelevant touches that leads to minimal score involvements. Glorified stat junkie. Handy for supercoach and multis though.

 

[Purple Suit]

Can Scerri put a hard tag on Archie Seagull? Asking for a friend

Playing against him in Supercoach?

It would be an interesting tactic. I can't say I watch too many Essendon games regularly so unsure how damaging all his stats are. He averages 4 score involvements and 33 disposals this year but it might have more to do with what's going on up the ground.

 

[Orange crush]

Playing against him in Supercoach?

It would be an interesting tactic. I can't say I watch too many Essendon games regularly so unsure how damaging all his stats are. He averages 4 score involvements and 33 disposals this year but it might have more to do with what's going on up the ground.

Yeah, he's not damaging at all .... but do a friend a supercoach solid

 

[Purple Suit]

Yeah, he's not damaging at all .... but do a friend a supercoach solid

I've sent Jlo at text

 

[swanny1234]

I've sent Jlo at text

If JLo lets him run free and get 50 infeffective touches and we still win, i'll declare my love for him on the J-Lo thread. I need Roberts fantasy points this week.

 

[go_the_dockers]

Please no, he's my fantasy captain!

He is killing my fantasy team, I need him to get a very hard tag.

 

[malpaso]

That was at Marvel though, but still, that is the game that sits in the back of my mind and makes me nervous.

No it was not at Marvel

 

[malpaso]

If JLo lets him run free and get 50 infeffective touches and we still win, i'll declare my love for him on the J-Lo thread. I need Roberts fantasy points this week.

Every other team is letting Roberts go free and winning..

 

[oldgoat]

No that’s dreadful thinking. Dropping this one would be completely unacceptable for a side that has designs on a flag.
They’re a bottom 4 side - anything less than an 8 goal win would be underwhelming.

Another shitwin coming up then?