Preview Round 13, Dreamtime in Darwin: Essendon vs Richmond, Marrara, Saturday 22/08/2020, 7:40 AEST

Chicken Dinner?


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Observations

Essendon: Were s**t. No two ways about it. Langford was good on a wing. Saad good off half back. Ridley also good off half back. The rest was crap

Richmond:


Head to Head (last 5)

Essendon 0-5 Richmond


Form Guide

Essendon: 1W 3L 1D
Richmond: 2W 2L


Sportsbet odds

Essendon: $
Richmond: $
Line: .5 ($1.90)


Possible sides

Essendon vs Richmond

FB: Aaron Francis - Brandon Zerk-Thatcher - Adam Saad
FF: Mabior Chol - Tom J Lynch - Jason Castagna
HB: Martin Gleeson - Michael Hurley - Jordan Ridley
HF: Jake Aarts - Jack Riewoldt - Kane Lambert
MF: Kyle Langford - Zachary Merrett - Kobe Mutch
MF: Kamdyn McIntosh - Dustin Martin - Marlion Pickett
HF: Devon Smith - James Stewart - Conor McKenna
HB: Nick Vlaustin - Noah Balta - Jayden Short
FF: Anthony McDonald-Tipungwuti - Cale Hooker - Josh Begley
FB: Derek Eggmollesse-Smith - Dylan Grimes - Nathan Broad
OB: Samuel Draper - Darcy Parish - Dylan Shiel
OB: Ivan Soldo - Shai Bolton - Trent Cotchin
IC: Andrew McGrath - William Snelling - Mason Redman - Dylan Clarke
IC: Jack Ross - Josh Caddy - Sydney Stack - Liam Baker

Essendon in: Cale Hooker, Mason Redman, Devon Smith, Aaron Francis; Out: Matthew Guelfi, Shaun McKernan, Jacob Townsend, Tom Cutler (all omit)
Richmond in: N/A; Out: N/A

Richmond defence vs Essendon forward line

So far this season Essendon averaged 20.6% in terms of goals/inside 50, which has slipped to the bottom 6 of the AFL after starting off around the top 4. Richmond are very strong in this area, conceding a goal only 20.2% of the time it enters their defensive 50, top 4 in the AFL. Essendon seemingly have troops finally coming back into their forward line, James Stewart found a bit of form against Gold Coast and may be partnered by the strong marking Cale Hooker up front, the pair likely to be taken by Nathan Broad and Noah Balta, which gives them a nice height advantage. Anthony McDonald-Tipungwuti is the main small forward, and I really hope we see him and Derek Eggmollesse-Smith go head to head as the two longest names in footy history, whilst Conor McKenna's move to half foward has excited many of the Essendon faithful, likely to get looked after by Liam Baker


Midfield/rucks battle

Neither side have shown that winning clearances or contested possessions is a priority, Essendon being 11th and 14th for clearance and contested possession differential respectively whilst Richmond aree 17th and 16th in those particular stats. Essendon will be hoping that their speed through the middle in Dylan Shiel and Andrew McGrath can capitalise against a slightly slower Richmond one, the latter likely to go head to head with the much improved Shai Bolton, who is spending significant time in the middle now. Dustin Martin may be the key to this, when he plays in the middle he often monsters midfields like Essendon so Dylan Clarke might have to try to tag him and lock him out of the game. On the outside of the contest, Essendon will be hoping that Kobe Mutch can show some form to keep his chances of staying on the list alive, going head to head with mature aged recruit Marlion Pickett whilst Kyle Langford spends time opposed to Kamdyn McIntosh as well. Rucks wise, Sam Draper and Ivan Soldo have played against each other a few times in the VFL, Draper getting the chocolates more often than Soldo, although the Tigers ruck AFL experience could balance it out.


Richmond forward line vs Essendon defence

Richmond's forward line is a touch under the AFL average in terms of goals/inside 50, converting 22.1% of the time it enters. Essendon have been really good at restricting the opposition in this area, conceding a goal 21.2% of the time it enters defensive 50, 6th overall in the AFL. Tom Lynch is the focal point of Richmond's attack, and he hasn't had a fantastic year by his standards but expect him to back himself in against the inexperienced Brandon Zerk-Thatcher, whilst Michael Hurley and Jack Riewoldt will renew acquaintances, the pair having many fantastic battles over the years. Jason Castagna seems to be the main small forward for Richmond, and Adam Saad will be backing himself to have a good day against the Italian, having previously held him well over the past few years, whilst impressive intercept defender Jordan Ridley will go up against Jake Aarts, former Bendigo Bomber.


X-Factor Player

Josh Begley is big, has decent speed and is a good kick for goal. This could be his chance to cement his spot on the list ahead of Jacob Townsend and Jayden Laverde as that medium forward who rotates through the middle


Key stat

Essendon: Clearances. When they win, they're +20 in clearance differential so far this season, when they lose they're -17.

Richmond: Offensive conversion. Richmond can lock down any side but they need to be able to score against a very good Essendon defence


Tip

Richmond are Essendon's bogey team, and I expect that to continue this game. Richmond by 57
 
Jul 16, 2013
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Essendon
Out: McKernan, Stewart and Guelfi.

In: Hooker, Francis and Smith

Hooker and Hurley forward. Run anybody as the second ruck as they will do it better than McKernan. Hell. Let Snelling do it and he would bemore effective than Smack.

Time to go crazy Sheedy.
 

Halftimehero

Cancelled
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IN Daniher, Hooker, Smith, Fantasia, Francis

OUT Mckernan, Zerk-Thatcher, Begley, Cutler, Mutch

Mckenna stays if he’s played back, if played forward we might as well put Caracella in.

Francis Hurley Gleeson
Saad Hooker Ridley
Merrett McGrath Fantasia
Langford Daniher Tippa
Smith Stewart Townsend
Draper Shiel Parish
Guelfi McKenna Clarke Snelling
 

TheWeapon

Club Legend
May 20, 2012
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Out: McKernan, Stewart and Guelfi.

In: Hooker, Francis and Smith

Hooker and Hurley forward. Run anybody as the second ruck as they will do it better than McKernan. Hell. Let Snelling do it and he would bemore effective than Smack.

Time to go crazy Sheedy.
This may have been a troll but I honestly would prefer this to getting the same as last week. We have some decent young defenders let them take over. Hooker and Hurley are definitely slowing down with age but their footy nous and leadership could help the forward line structure
 
Its dreamtime and we have nothing to play for surely we are debuting Irving Mosquito.

In: Hooker, Mosquito, Redman, Francis, Smith

Out: Mckernan, Cutler, Townsend, Guelfi, Snelling (rest)
Not really sure what Moz did wrong to get punished by being asked to spend time in the forwardline vs Richmond.
 
IN. Brains.
8efbcb78872b3ccc-friends-fart-gif-find-share-on-giphy.gif
 

Saintsone

Team Captain
May 23, 2015
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In Daniher, hooker, Smith, Francis, Redman, moz, hibberd, Philips
out, Townsend, smack, cutler, Clarke, Mutch, Zerk-Thatcher, Stewart, begley

mckeena. Francis, hooker
saad, Hurley, ridley
merret Sheil parish
tippa philips smith
moz Daniher, snelling
drapher Langford mcrath
bench. Redman, Gleason, hibberd, Guelfi
 

Bombers_95

Team Captain
Jul 5, 2015
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Season looks all but shot so may as well try and take a few risks at selection. Hooker and Fantasia should be fit, Redman Smith and Francis after the rest should be fresh and I would just take the punt on Daniher. I'd rather he break down in an actual game than a 14v14 practice match, plus if hes going anyway lets try and get his value up. Worst case he breaks down and we still get a first round comp pick and lose a guy that may not play again.

Out: McKernan (couldn't catch coronoa in Wuhan with his marking today), Mutch (vanilla mid, offers little), Begley (had a crack but other players coming back that offer more value), Cutler (is athletic but resembles nothing of an AFL footballer), BZT (will be a player but has looked out of his depth the last two weeks),

In: Daniher, Hooker, Fantasia, Smith, Redman

Guelfi, Dylan Clarke and Snelling could come under fire but can't see more than 4-5 changes.

Hurley Hooker Gleeson
Saad Ridley McKenna
Langford Shiel Redman
Fantasia Daniher Smith
Townsend Stewart Walla
Draper Merrett McGrath
Parish Snelling Guelfi D.Clarke

The good news is both Rutten and Cara will have a good insight into how to break down Richmond given they have both spent years there. No doubt contested footy, lowering our eyes and locking the ball in our front half after doing so will be crucial. Nothing more sure if the game is played predominantly in richmonds half we're royally done as we are struggling to the move the footy from our back half and if we bomb it long as we have been doing they will intercept everything.
 

Halftimehero

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Seeing a lot of Gleeson out but I thought he was quite solid today, he was really clean with his disposal(which really stands out in our team) and intercepted well, was better than anything Redman has served up this year and he’d be the only logical replacement.
 
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