Round 23 upsets

[conodie05]

Hi Gang

I'm currently sitting 2nd (-5 in total margin) and I'm looking for an upset to gain traction on the leader. I am thinking that the most likely, based on ladder position, location of game and players missing, that Brisbane to beat West Coast is the most likely. Kennedy won't be back, Darling highly unlikely, and Brisbane being better than their position suggests, I think they will knock the Eagles off.

Post your most likely upset and the reasoning behind it. Or don't. Not fussed really.

 

[Macpotata]

Agreed. If there is one, that will be it.

 

[nickrebellious]

I've been reading that Collingwood will cop some scrutiny if they lose to Freo.

 

[Dirty Bird]

Hi Gang

I'm currently sitting 2nd (-5 in total margin) and I'm looking for an upset to gain traction on the leader. I am thinking that the most likely, based on ladder position, location of game and players missing, that Brisbane to beat West Coast is the most likely. Kennedy won't be back, Darling highly unlikely, and Brisbane being better than their position suggests, I think they will knock the Eagles off.

Post your most likely upset and the reasoning behind it. Or don't. Not fussed really.

Essendon over port Adelaide - port will feel relying on suns-Cats is a bridge too far and don’t come out motivated. Coupled with essendons up yours attitude they’ll smash Port.
Gold Coast over Geelong - now that it’s a dead runner. Geelong rest Hawkins, Dangerfield and ablett. Gold Coast get up over Geelong bs.
Richmond over Bulldogs
Fremantle over Collingwood - Dockers pumped up to restore some honour after last weeks diabolical result
Carlton over adelaide # tanking for Rankine
Sydney over hawthorn
Brisbane over west coast - Brisbane’s fired up, coupled with now dead rubber for eagles.
Gws over Melbourne’s - Melbourne’s can’t beat to play 8 teams (...unless injury ravaged?)
North Melbourne over St Kilda - saints let down after shit performance while north don’t tank so will be fired up either way.

 

[bungwahl]

Hi Gang

I'm currently sitting 2nd (-5 in total margin) and I'm looking for an upset to gain traction on the leader. I am thinking that the most likely, based on ladder position, location of game and players missing, that Brisbane to beat West Coast is the most likely. Kennedy won't be back, Darling highly unlikely, and Brisbane being better than their position suggests, I think they will knock the Eagles off.

Post your most likely upset and the reasoning behind it. Or don't. Not fussed really.

Hawks to beat Sydney would be the most likely upset.

 

[Isaac Cumming No 1]

I'm surprised the bookies have the Demons below $1.50 against us. What difference a loss makes.
We will field a stronger side than last week.


It depends how much you rate the six day break after weeks of finishing games without a bench, affected ability to run the game out hard last week, I guess.

Our away form is good this year and we are 9/11 in the back half if the season.

I guess people feel the Demons have broken through a barrier beating a good side to lock in finals last week, They are a very good side, ferocious in the contest.

I'd still say 50-50 at worst for us though.

 

[conodie05]

I'm surprised the bookies have the Demons below $1.50 against us. What difference a loss makes.
We will field a stronger side than last week.


It depends how much you rate the six day break after weeks of finishing games without a bench, affected ability to run the game out hard last week, I guess.

Our away form is good this year and we are 9/11 in the back half if the season.

I guess people feel the Demons have broken through a barrier beating a good side to lock in finals last week, They are a very good side, ferocious in the contest.

I'd still say 50-50 at worst for us though.

Yeah, slight favourite maybe. The pressure to make the finals is off. They do tend to put in some dodgy performances just when you think they're on fire.

 

[conodie05]

I've been reading that Collingwood will cop some scrutiny if they lose to Freo.

Rightly so.

 

[hoianbulldog]

Dogs over Tigers.

In 1973 dogs beat tigers in last round by a point at the G. Left Richmond on 17 wins and they went on to be premiers.

In 1974 dogs beat tigers at western oval by 7 points. Left Richmond on 17 wins and they went back to back.

Get on a dogs win with Richmond premiership double.

And remember to gamble responsibly.

 

[Scroater]

Dogs over Tigers.

In 1973 dogs beat tigers in last round by a point at the G. Left Richmond on 17 wins and they went on to be premiers.

In 1974 dogs beat tigers at western oval by 7 points. Left Richmond on 17 wins and they went back to back.

Get on a dogs win with Richmond premiership double.

And remember to gamble responsibly.

Richmond couldn't beat Bulldogs in Bulldogs Premiership year.
Richmond couldn't beat Bulldogs in Tigers Premiership year.

Richmond don't need to beat Bulldogs. If Bulldogs play the same way they did against Carlton, Richmond won't know what to do, because that shit looked nothing like football.

 

[Duskfire]

Hawks to beat Sydney would be the most likely upset.

Would that be an upset? Sydney have struggled at the scg all year and only got up last time against hawks because Ronke kicked 7 goals. Looks like the hardest tip of the round.

Eagles vs Brisbane most likely. Followed by Essendon over Port. Hard yo see Gold Coast, freo or bulldogs winning really.

 

[bungwahl]

Would that be an upset? Sydney have struggled at the scg all year and only got up last time against hawks because Ronke kicked 7 goals. Looks like the hardest tip of the round.

Eagles vs Brisbane most likely. Followed by Essendon over Port. Hard yo see Gold Coast, freo or bulldogs winning really.

Swans $1.60 favourites in the betting. Personally I think the Hawks should probably be favourites, but I guess Sydney has won 8/10 against the top 8.

That's why I said it was the most likely upset though. Brisbane beating West Coast would be a bigger upset, but less likely.

 

[kaiserchief13]

It's always the one you don't think it'll be eg. Carlton, Bulldogs and/or St Kilda

 

[dean33]

Bank on the giants getting over Melbourne. This has a Melbourne loss written all over it especially if the giants get kelly and a few others back. Lions a big chance while hawks will beat Sydney as they always do up there.

 

[Farang83150]

Hi Gang

I'm currently sitting 2nd (-5 in total margin) and I'm looking for an upset to gain traction on the leader. I am thinking that the most likely, based on ladder position, location of game and players missing, that Brisbane to beat West Coast is the most likely. Kennedy won't be back, Darling highly unlikely, and Brisbane being better than their position suggests, I think they will knock the Eagles off.

Post your most likely upset and the reasoning behind it. Or don't. Not fussed really.

Darling will play.

 

[dean33]

I'm surprised the bookies have the Demons below $1.50 against us. What difference a loss makes.
We will field a stronger side than last week.


It depends how much you rate the six day break after weeks of finishing games without a bench, affected ability to run the game out hard last week, I guess.

Our away form is good this year and we are 9/11 in the back half if the season.

I guess people feel the Demons have broken through a barrier beating a good side to lock in finals last week, They are a very good side, ferocious in the contest.

I'd still say 50-50 at worst for us though.

Who is back for the giants?

 

[Isaac Cumming No 1]

Who is back for the giants?

Rehab report just out not quite as positive as I hoped.

Suggests Kelly, Griffen, Reid and possibly Taylor.

We may well choose Taylor over Finlayson if we can. He's a great scrapper. I was hoping for Corr but not to be.

Davis and Griffen likely to play.

 

[Frank Gallagher]

Richmond will possibly rest half their team, nothing to gain from going flat out.

 

[iGNITER]

Freo a chance against Collingwood over there.

 

[dean33]

Richmond will possibly rest half their team, nothing to gain from going flat out.

No chance. Will get a few back and no one will be rested unless injured. We will hit this week like a final, tigers by plenty.

 

[conodie05]

Darling will play.

I can't think of any player this year whom has backed up after a concussion.

 

[Frank Gallagher]

I can't think of any player this year whom has backed up after a concussion.

And having to jump on a plane.

 

[Isaac Cumming No 1]

I can't think of any player this year whom has backed up after a concussion.

Robbie Gray in our Port game a few weeks ago. There's a compulsory testing protocol through the week, that's pretty stringent as I understand. Good thing too.

 

[Sketi]

Tip Brisbane at your peril. Eagles will be very motivated to sew up top 2, Brisbane coming off a physical close derby. Will get pumped imo.

Plenty of opportunity in the other games however. Hawks, Giants, Bombers all attractive outsiders.

 

[caloschwaby]

I've been reading that Collingwood will cop some scrutiny if they lose to Freo.