Preview Round 3: Essendon vs St. Kilda, Docklands, Saturday 03/04/2020 @ 4:35 PM

Chicken dinner?

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eth-dog

eth-dog

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Jan 11, 2007
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Essendon
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Coburg Lions, All Boston sides
Observations

Essendon: The Dons were never really in the contest against Port Adelaide, losing in the end by 54 points. Jordan Ridley was a general down back, collecting 32 disposals and 12 rebound 50's, Zach Merrett having 28 in the midfield as well. Cale Hooker and Anthony McDonald-Tipungwuti kicked three goals apiece up front.

St. Kilda: The Saints had a tight match gainst Melbourne, the teams never getting more than 4 goals ahead of each other at Docklands. Jade Gresham was the pick of the midfielders for St. Kilda, picking up 29 disposals and 10 inside 50's, whilst Dougal Howard mostly controlled the back line with 29 disposals and 9 interceptions, as Jack Steele was the leading goal scorer with 3 goals.


Head to Head (last 5)

Essendon 2-3 St. Kilda


Form Guide

Essendon: 0-2
St. Kilda: 1-1


Sportsbet odds

Essendon: $3.36
St. Kilda: $1.33
Line: 19.5 ($1.90)


Possible sides

Essendon vs St. Kilda

FB: Jayden Laverde - Brandon Zerk-Thatcher - Nick Hind
FF: Jake Carlisle - Max King - Daniel Butler
HB: Jordan Ridley - Aaron Francis - Dyson Heppell
HF: Josh Battle - Tim Membrey - Jack Higgins
MF: Kyle Langford - Andrew McGrath - Zachary Merrett
MF: Jack Billings - Seb Ross - Brad Hill
HF: Will Snelling - Harrison Jones - Alec Waterman
HB: Ben Long - Tom Highmore - Nick Coffield
FF: Peter Wright - Cale Hooker - Anthony McDonald-Tipungwuti
FB: Callum Wilkie - Dougal Howard - Hunter Clark
OB: Nick Bryan - Darcy Parish - Jake Stringer
OB: Shaun McKernan - Jack Steele - Jade Gresham
IC: Nikolas Cox - Archie Perkins - Mason Redman - Brayden Ham
IC: Jack Bytel - Brad Crouch - Jack Sinclair - Zak Jones
IS: Martin Gleeson
IS: Jack Lonie

Essendon in: Dyson Heppell, Jake Stringer, Archie Perkins, Nick Bryan, Brandon Zerk-Thatcher, Alec Waterman; out: Dylan Shiel (knee), Sam Draper (ankle), Jye Caldwell (hamstring), Devon Smith, Ned Cahill, Tom Cutler (all omit)
St. Kilda in: Jake Carlisle, Brad Crouch; Out: Paul Hunter (omit), Jimmy Webster (inj)

St. Kilda defence vs Essendon forward line

Essendon's forward line has struggled a bit this year, kicking a goal only 21.3% of the time it's entered their forward 50 so far. St. Kilda's defence has held up reasonably well, conceding a goal only 18.9% of the time it enters their back 50. There are really only 2 interesting match-ups at this end of the field, Cale Hooker against Dougal Howard, the latter starting extremely well so far this season whilst Hooker has been in good touch so far as well, at least in terms of his marking. The second one is the battle between Anthony McDonald-Tipungwuti and probably Ben Long, the Bomber averaging 2 goals/game against the Saints since moving forward but only kicking 1 goal in his last two against the Saints.


Midfield/rucks battle

In terms of the inside midfield battle, St. Kilda average 4 more clearances than their opponents so far this year, whilst the Bombers average 7.5 less than their opponents. In terms of contested possessions, both have struggled in the opening couple of games this season with the Saints having 44 less than their opponent, Essendon having 28 fewer. St. Kilda will be boosted by the addition of boom recruit Brad Crouch on the inside to play alongside the likes of Jade Gresham, Jack Steele and Seb Ross; whilst Essendon's midfield has been pretty much decimated by injury, the line will be lead by Andrew McGrath and Darcy Parish, with support likely coming from Jake Stringer, debutant Archie Perkins and Kyle Langford. On the outside, Brad Hill and Jack Billings look good for the Saints so far this season, whilst Essendon will be hoping Nik Cox and Zach Merrett start well out wide. In the ruck, Shaun McKernan will play against the Bombers for the first time ever, likely to be against senior football debutant (having never played VFL) Nick Bryan after Sam Draper's injury.


Essendon defence vs St Kilda forward line

St. Kilda's forward line hasn't been at full strength so far this year, kicking a goal only 21.6% of the time it enters their forward 50. However, Essendon's defence has been very leaky at the start of this year, conceding a goal 27.8% of the time it enters their defensive 50. Max King is the big match-up for the Bombers, with Brandon Zerk-Thatcher the only one who can possibly play on him, whilst Tim Membrey has always cut Essendon to shreds will probably get a match-up against Aaron Francis whilst Mason Redman will try to combat one of the premier small forwards in the AFL in Daniel Butler, who has only kicked 3 goals in 2 games against Essendon so far, so he'll be looking to improve that record.


X-Factor Player

Nick Hind got drafted to St. Kilda after playing for Essendon in the VFL, but left at the end of last season to come back home. His speed has been important for Essendon so far and he will be keen to impress against his former club


Key stat

Essendon: Centre clearance difference. The Bombers will need all the chances they can get and the best way to do that is to get the ball out of the middle.

St Kilda: Forward conversion. Realistically, these guys are heavy favourites for a reason. Converting their chances could make it a big win


Tip

An Easter miracle? Unlikely. St. Kilda by 47
 
Last edited:
WE WILL WIN

HARRISON TO KICK 4

PERKINS TO DEBUT KICKING 2 RUNNING THROUGH THE MIDFIELD

OH BOY WOWEE
 

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JayJ20 said:
Out: Draper, Shiel, Caldwell, Gleeson, Cahill and Ham
In: Bryan, Stringer, Perkins, BZT, Heppell (if fit), Waterman

Guelfi the medical emergency.
Click to expand...
Cutler?
 
Cutler rucking!
 
We need a big body and some leadership... What's David Myers doing?

Is he ready?
 
JayJ20 said:
Guelfi took his place as a medical emergency.
Click to expand...
As long as he's nowhere near the team.

I think Guelfi is a good replacement for Cahill.
 
Saints looking like they'll give us another bath next week.
 

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sameolds33 said:
Saints looking like they'll give us another bath next week.
Click to expand...
Maybe not....Saints looking very similar to us v Hawks since just before half time. Dees with last 5 goals.
 
DallasCrane316 said:
Correction on Blitz. Looks like Bryan will be okay to play next week.

You’d think Bryan and Perkins debut.
Click to expand...

I’m ok with that. The enjoyment this year has to come from developing good young players. Save the stress and don’t look at the scoreboard.
 
www.essendonfc.com.au

Trio injured in loss to Power

Senior coach Ben Rutten provides an update on injured trio Dylan Shiel, Jye Caldwell and Sam Draper.
www.essendonfc.com.au www.essendonfc.com.au
 
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