beams to cogs.....
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Round 3 Trades
- Thread starter OhhhhhCyril
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beams to cogs.....
stevebbb
Brownlow Medallist
doubt it, depth player at best
We're in the season proper.... They time for speculating on mid priced, non-keepers is passed. It's GNR or nothing moving fwd.
If you started with Bonner, Taranto, Fisher, Christensen, great. If not, now is not the time to bring them in. You're either going up or down, NOT sideways. Otherwise, you're wasting a trade.
The ONLY exception is if you think they're a keeper.
If you started with Bonner, Taranto, Fisher, Christensen, great. If not, now is not the time to bring them in. You're either going up or down, NOT sideways. Otherwise, you're wasting a trade.
The ONLY exception is if you think they're a keeper.
- Nov 29, 2016
- 1,219
- 2,154
- AFL Club
- Collingwood
The magic number during season is about x5.1, not x5.4. Prices converge on average * 5.1 if you look forward enough games. If the calculator says otherwise it is mistaken. x5.4 is the start of season price based on last season's average.
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Changa10
Norm Smith Medallist
I'm holding, but only because I have Ryder and my spud POD (J Trengove) to deal with this week.
Will loop Clark with Brayshaw this week, as I also have M Crouch!
What can I say, 2018 could have started somewhat better.......
Thinking Ryder to NicNat and Trengove to Boak/T Taranto/J Martin/McLean.
- Jun 21, 2009
- 26,776
- 33,454
- AFL Club
- Hawthorn
Marlowe
𝓤𝓷𝓽𝓸𝓾𝓬𝓱𝓪𝓫𝓵𝓮
- Mar 12, 2012
- 29,985
- 53,551
- AFL Club
- Melbourne
- Other Teams
- Gold City Royals
True. Formula for breakevens that I have is:
((current price/5100) x 3) - last 2 scores
For price change it's:
(last round score - breakeven) x 450
Plug this into excel for a more accurate calculator than tooserious.
- Jun 21, 2009
- 26,776
- 33,454
- AFL Club
- Hawthorn
My life is over, so i will be going Taranto and Ryan in.
Taranto at F2 is ****ed
Taranto at F2 is ****ed
SC Gold shows it dropping to $696k by round 9 based on a 133 avg for the next 7 games. Danger will only drop to $660k if he has a few stinkers along the way. But I'm hoping for a few 200s
- Nov 29, 2016
- 1,219
- 2,154
- AFL Club
- Collingwood
Calculator looks bugged, 3 round average is frozen at 146.
Easy example to check is to look at 2017 Dangerfield where his price barely moved after 3 rounds. Since price changes are determined entirely by comparing last 3 round average to current price, this tells us how the system would price him if he kept getting the same average (138.7).
The price was $717k. 717 / 138.7 = 5.17, not 5.4.
You can also see for yourself tooserious is bugged since it lists his BE at that point as 148, he didn't hit the BE but his price remained the same.
- Nov 29, 2016
- 1,219
- 2,154
- AFL Club
- Collingwood
SC Gold shows it dropping to $696k by round 9 based on a 133 avg for the next 7 games. Danger will only drop to $660k if he has a few stinkers along the way. But I'm hoping for a few 200s
View attachment 479223
Does not help us much either way with this issue as there are score variations... the last 3 round average is what determines the price changes.
- Dec 3, 2017
- 17,116
- 56,439
- AFL Club
- Melbourne
Hopper to come back in, probably this week. He and Taranto might be rotated between midfield & half forward like they were last year.
Marlowe
𝓤𝓷𝓽𝓸𝓾𝓬𝓱𝓪𝓫𝓵𝓮
- Mar 12, 2012
- 29,985
- 53,551
- AFL Club
- Melbourne
- Other Teams
- Gold City Royals
No Greene or ZGL either though, so Hooper probably doesn't impact Taranto that significantly.
- Dec 3, 2017
- 17,116
- 56,439
- AFL Club
- Melbourne
Impacts him more so IMO. Taranto probably a better forward than Hopper. Hopper could get Taranto's mid minutes (in the short term) while Taranto covers for Greene & ZGL at HF
That is exactly what im thinking, Taranto would play the forward pressure and tackling role a lot better than Hopper would
- Jul 5, 2017
- 2,615
- 3,287
- AFL Club
- Essendon
This is exactly what I've been thinking of late.
Was really looking at bringing in Fisher or Bonner for underwhelming rookies. But with the risk of them averaging the same as I rookie being quite high, I'm thinking money might be better spent on actual rookies and extra cash for upgrades (like Danger!)
Ollie1981
Team Captain
- May 3, 2016
- 443
- 146
- AFL Club
- Hawthorn
Wish I could but not enough coin
Agreed. Just pointing out H2TYW price prediction isn’t that far off.
Have gone with:
Bontempelli > Coniglio
Hibberd > Bonner
First trades of the year which should allow me to go Naughton > Simpson next week.
Bontempelli > Coniglio
Hibberd > Bonner
First trades of the year which should allow me to go Naughton > Simpson next week.
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WaynesWorld19
Post-Human
Will be interesting as to where RICH play Higgins ? .....if it's midfield
....apparently has a super tank, with elite 3km time trials
WaynesWorld19
Post-Human
Just bear in mind re fwrd's that Ahern and Higgins are back in the frame for selection .....this may alleviate the need to bat as deep with the Forwards ?You two both make great points and was exactly the trade off I was making in my head.
The trade you've suggested lets me field a better balanced team, not have an injured rookie, hold an extra 17k, but takes Parker over Oliver. I rate Parker this year but think Oliver is likely to average 5-10 more across the year.
I didn't want to be making such tough calls R2
Given the likelihood I challenge for top 100 this year already looks shot I'll have to play for cash league, and that makes me more likely to take this route...
I'd love to jump on Conigs who looks a cheap keeper, but I'll just have to let him go. No way of doing it without trading fit players and using 2 trades. Got to concentrate on getting to Mitchell and Danger as soon as practical before my season is gone!
Hibberd will survive in my backline until end of year or he's injured. Can't believe he won't bust out the odd big ton here and there to minimise the damage.
I think your two will feel great this week, and a regrettable mistake by about round 18. I usually run out of trades before I run out of ideas or money.
Seymour Skinner
Norm Smith Medallist
Sicily getting a week and ZGL being hurt have killed my plan to get Coniglio.
Don't want to get stuck playing Fritsch, Ryan and Venables this week, I'd rather field Murphy against the Saints, so Hibberd out, Sicily swings back, Robbie Gray comes in.
Wasn't keen at Gray before last week, but when he had the second most CBAs I quickly changed my mind.
Hunter Clark out for Barry too.
Don't want to get stuck playing Fritsch, Ryan and Venables this week, I'd rather field Murphy against the Saints, so Hibberd out, Sicily swings back, Robbie Gray comes in.
Wasn't keen at Gray before last week, but when he had the second most CBAs I quickly changed my mind.
Hunter Clark out for Barry too.
Port bye doesnt piss you off?
- Jun 21, 2009
- 26,776
- 33,454
- AFL Club
- Hawthorn
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