Preview Round 9: Sydney vs Essendon, Sydney Cricket Ground, Saturday 14/05/2022 @ 7:25 AEST

Winner?

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eth-dog

eth-dog

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Jan 11, 2007
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Last Week

Sydney: The Swans suffered a shock loss to Gold Coast, only managing 2 behinds in the last quarter after scores were level at 3QT to lose by 14 points to send them to 5-3. Unfortunately for the Swans, no player really had much impact forward of centre with no multiple goal scorers whilst the only midfielder to get 20 touches was co-captain Callum Mills, attempting a shut down job on Touk Miller.

Essendon: The Bombers had a come-from-behind win to beat arch rivals Hawthorne, trailing by as much as 25, but rounded out as 27 point winners with 8 goals to 1 in the last quarter. Peter Wright was the main man inside 50 for the Dons as he has been all year, kicking 6 goals against Sam Frost, whilst in the middle Darcy Parish and Zach Merrett dominated on the inside with 60 disposals between them.


Head to Head (last 5)

Sydney 3-2 Essendon


Form Guide

Sydney: 3W 2L
Essendon: 2W 3L


Possible sides

Sydney vs Essendon

FB: Patrick McCartin - Tom McCartin - Jake Lloyd
FF: Nick Bryan - Peter Wright - Matthew Guelfi
HB: Braeden Campbell - Dane Rampe - Nick Blakey
HF: Ben Hobbs - Aaron Francis - Archie Perkins
MF: Justin McInerney - Callum Mills - Errol Gulden
MF: Sam Durham - Andrew McGrath - Nic Martin
HF: Ben Ronke - Lance Franklin - Will Hayward
HB: Mason Redman - Jayden Laverde - Jordan Ridley
FF: Isaac Heeney - Logan McDonald - Tom Papley
FB: Jake Kelly - Zachary Reid - Nick Hind
OB: Tom Hickey - Luke Parker - Chad Warner
OB: Sam Draper - Darcy Parish - Jye Caldwell
IC: Peter Ladhams - James Rowbottom - Oliver Florent - Dylan Stephens
IC: Kaine Baldwin - Dylan Shiel - Jayden Laverde - Zachary Merrett
MS: Josh P Kennedy
MS: Tom Cutler

Sydney in: Hickey, Stephens; out: Hayden McLean (omitted), James Bell (sub)
Essendon in: Ridley, Kelly, Guelfi, Durham; out: Devon Smith, Brayden Ham (omitted), Dyson Heppell (rested), Alastair Lord (sub)


Sydney defence vs Essendon forward line

So far Essendon have kicked a goal 23.17% of the time it enters their forward 50, 9th in the AFL. Sydney's defence has conceded a goal 21.84% of the time, which is currently 6th in the AFL so far. All eyes will be on Peter Wright against Tom McCartin inside Essendon's forward 50, the ruckman having kicked 23 goals so far this year from his 8 games, whilst McCartin has been very solid, nobody really getting ahold of him so far this season. Aaron Francis had a strong showing last game, limiting the influence of James Sicily for the Hawks and will be hoping to do something similar to Dane Rampe, whilst Patrick McCartin will be hoping to quell the influence of young key forward Kaine Baldwin as well.


Midfield/rucks battle

This is where the difference between the two teams will probably be realised, with Sydney being 6th and 7th for clearance and contested possession difference respectively, whilst Essendon are 15th and 17th for those areas respectively. Sydney's on ball brigade of Luke Parker, Callum Mills, Chad Warner and James Rowbottom have been a feature of the Swans, whilst Essendon's core of Darcy Parish, Dylan Shiel, Jye Caldwell and Zach Merrett has had an up and down season, struggling to make an impact at times on the inside, which reflects on both ladder positions and their rankings in those particular stats. On the outside, Nic Martin has been very impressive on a wing and his ability to influence the play offensively for Essendon, with his match up of Justin McInerney one of the more exciting match ups for the game.


Sydney forward line vs Essendon defence

Sydney are kicking a goal 25.81% of the time it enters their forward 50, 4th in the AFL currently. Essendon's defence has been very leaky, conceding a goal 27.26% of the time it enters defensive 50, which is dead last in the AFL currently. Most eyes will be seeing how Essendon try to tame the influence of Lance Franklin, something that they've always struggled with, and the task is most likely to go to Jayden Laverde, who has struggled at times this year after a strong 2021. The other main match up is probably between young tall prospects Zach Reid and Logan McDonald, the pairing thought of as the best key defender and forward of their draft class respectively, and could be a salivating match up for a decade.


X-Factor Player

Errol Gulden is one of the best kicks in the AFL already, his ability to find a target inside 50 in strong positions has been part of the secret behind the Swans rise the last couple of years.


Key stat

Sydney: Clearances. All three losses have coincided with losing the clearances, so a vital area of the game for the Swans.

Essendon: Goals/inside 50 conceded. This has been a huge issue for the dons, their defence is leaky and the Sydney look strong inside 50.


Tip

I don't think we win this, Swans by 22
 
Last edited:
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preparing for our yearly reaming by the umps...will be more than usual as they will want to get sydney a win following the shock loss
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Initial thoughts;-

OUT: Zerk, Ham, Smith
IN: Ridley, Durham, Guelfi

Team;-

Laverde Reid Hind
Heppell Ridley McGrath
Merrett Caldwell Cutler
Martin Francis Shiel
Baldwin 2MP Guelfi

Draper Parish Hobbs

Bench: Redman Perkins Durham Bryan
SUB: Lord
 

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maskmcgee said:
Wow we played one good quarter and everyone is going on like we just won a premiership. Let's see if we can play 1 good quarter again, or go back to 0.
Click to expand...
yeah how dare people celebrate an unexpected win against an arch rival
 
maskmcgee said:
We shouldn't have unexpected wins. Having unexpected wins means we're s**t, like we have been for the last 18 years.
Click to expand...
Enjoy wallowing then.
 
In- Ridley, Guelfi, Durham, Waterman
Out- Shiel, Smith, Zerk-Thatcher, Ham

B Hind Reid Laverde
HB McGrath Ridley Redman
C Merrett Caldwell Cutler
HF Perkins Baldwin Martin
F Guelfi Wright Francis
FOLL: Draper Hobbs Parish
INTER: Heppell, Bryan, Durham, Lord
Sub: Waterman
 
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