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Round 9

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It seems pointless trying to predict the weather considering that professional meteorologists themselves often can't get it right. If you want to base your punts around it, at least wait until a few minutes before the bounce and take some of the guessing out of play...
 
Ok so my bets for this round at this stage

Richmond over essendon 1u @ 3

Brisbane over north 1u @ 2.05

west coast over bulldogs 1u @ 1.81

2u Geelong vs Carlton over 178.5 @1.9

geelong and saints win 1u @ 2.22

friday night crowd < 51000 2u @ 1.95

kelly over corey in DT 2u @ 1.83

Sylvia over goddard in DT 2u @ 1.95

armitage over frawley in possessions 1u @ 1.8

nahas over howlett in DT 1u @ 1.8

adcock over swallow in DT 1u @ 1.8

boak over broughton in DT 2u @ 1.7

also added during this thread
1u port vs freo under 187.5 @1.9

I have now looked over the dream team markets for tomorrow and I am adding the following

1u sidebottom over ball in DT @ 1.95
sidebottom wins this 5/7 this year, also the same matchup on centrebet has sidebottom the favourite

1u goodes over hodge in DT @ 1.82
goodes in superior form this year, hodge has only had the 1 good game, this was last week so may be a bit risky, but I cant say hodge is back yet.

1u mumford over okeefe in DT @ 1.95
mumford should dominate against the hawks ruck stocks, averages less than okeefe and is 3-4 h2h but feel its worth a play due to the opposition.

1u sewell over kennedy in DT @ 1.75
decent average gap between the two and sewell is very consistant wiht a low of 81. kennedy only has 3 scores above sewells lowest

1u scott selwood over ward and gilbee in DT @ 2.75
gilbee has only had the 1 good week, he wont kick 6 goals again. ward is a threat, just a gut feel for selwood over him and since im going well will go with the gut.
 
Gee/Carl Either U39.5
STK >15.5
Bris H2H
Rich/Ess Either U39.5
Coll 25+
Syd/Haw Either U39.5
WCE/Dogs Either U39.5

@ 13.23


Gee 1-39
STK >15.5
Bris >15.5
Ess 1-39
Coll 25+
Syd 1-39
WCE 1-39

@ 175.76

Got on both of these, looking good so far. Nervous day ahead. Thanks for the tip Forthwrite!
 

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Oops I decided to take Ess out of the 2nd one. Ended up getting odds @64. Still a fair way to go though getting syd and wce under 39.

The first one feels safe although im a little bit worried about WCE tbh. If dogs are not switched on, (which has happened all year) they could get smashed. Hopefully it's a close one!

Cheers!
 
Strange day yesterday with all teams I liked winning but I break-even yet again? X2 badly timed 4THQ PLAYS cost. Will have today's plays up shorty
 
1ST H - MAGPIES -24.5 (x1)
MARGIN - SWANS 1-39 (x1.5)
DOUBLE - SWANS 1-39 / EAGLE 1-39 (x7)
 
Oops I decided to take Ess out of the 2nd one. Ended up getting odds @64. Still a fair way to go though getting syd and wce under 39.

The first one feels safe although im a little bit worried about WCE tbh. If dogs are not switched on, (which has happened all year) they could get smashed. Hopefully it's a close one!

Cheers!


The second one has BL > 15.5. They won by 14. It loses anyway
 
A very frustrating round so far been down units despite leaning Freo, Richmond and the Lions before the round started. Jack missing the FG last night by bad bounce and Clarke spraying early shot have compounded this frustration. For today I have Dangerfield (19) and Sidebottom (21) for FGS.

Adding:
2.2U WCE ML @1.74 (Sportsbet)
2U COLL/ADEL 1H <89.5 (Centrebt)
 
You have probably already seen it Lenny, but Burgoyne to kick more goals than Goodes @$3.50 with centerbet is value if you think Burgs is going to have a good day.

Goodes always smashes the Hawks.

We have no good match up for him and he averages just under 3 goals a game in his last 4.
 
It seems pointless trying to predict the weather considering that professional meteorologists themselves often can't get it right. If you want to base your punts around it, at least wait until a few minutes before the bounce and take some of the guessing out of play...

When i took the over bet in NM/Bris it was sat morning & there was no indication from any weather site that there would be heavy rain, only one had any chance of rain & it was listed as 0.4mm so i took the punt & lost--but i clearly wasn't the only one, when i got over 177.5 it then ended up going out to 183.5 before coming back in late, some bad luck & some bad judgement to not wait a bit longer.

Today i reckon Sydney is a very nice bet @ $1.80
 

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agree with TBW, sydney is a cracking bet.

should win easily.

110-80

50% winners bonus on sporting for the HT/FT on this game when you input the following code - SCG50

2 units - Syd/Syd @2.30 (plus bonus)
[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif][/FONT]
 
Had a good night apart from the Rockliff injury only have one for the Collingwood game

Tipster: The Oracle
Event: Collingwood V Adelaide (ES)
Date of Event: 22-05-2011
Time of Event: 13:10
Sport: AFL
Tip: Heath Shaw to have under 110.5
Odds: $1.67
Units: 4
Sportsbook: Luxbet
Comments: I think Adelaide will try and lock him down. 110 is a big score even in a blow out game.
 

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Round 9

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