Saturday Racing & the return of the p/l challenge

starz

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Thread starter #1
Continuing on from my p/l comp from a few months ago with the total profit standing at +670 units.
I will nominate odds I am willing to take (not getting) with a + symbol, and updating what I got later.
Please note, I will deliberately nominate lower odds or in this case fixed odds that are already available to make sure I get under the starting odds. All tips subject to scratchings obviously.
By the way (F) = Fixed Odds currently available. Nearly all these races are available fixed odds.
If you followed my last comp it may seem like I am staking a lot of units here but there are a lot of selections, all I see as value.
P/L: +670 units
Selection ............Race/No.............To win.................To place
Westicaro............Rosehill R2........12 units @ 2.8........25 units @ 1.4+
Hanna Rossa .......Caulfield R2........5 @ 6+ (F) ...........15 @ 1.8+ (F)
Pluto Pup............Rosehill R3...........................................1.8+
Wily Carol...........Caulfield R3....................................7 @ 3.5+(F)
Haradasun..........Caulfield R4.........20 @ 1.6+(F).....................
Efficient.............Caulfield R4.........8 @ 4.5+(F)...........7 @ 1.7+(F)
BLUE DIAMOND
Sleek Chassis.......Caulfield R6.........8 @ 8+(F)...........12 @ 2.75+ (F)
Cecconi ..............Caulfield R6........7 @ 6.5+(F).........7 @ 2.2+ (F)
Press The Button.....Caulfield R6.......3 @ 12+ (F)........5 @ 3.8+ (F)
Victory Chant.......Caulfield R6..........7 @ 4+ (F)..........7 @ 1.8+ (F)
Chinamora............Caulfield R6........3 @ 21+(F)..........5 @ 6+ (F)

Miss Watagan........Rosehill R6........5 @ 6+ (F)...........10 @ 2+ (F)
Solo Flyer............Rosehill R6..........5 @ 9+ (F)..........10 @ 2.8+ (F)
Tesbury Jack.......Caulfield R7.........5 @ 14+ (F).........12 @ 4.2+ (F)
Sniper's Bullet......Rosehill R7..........10 @ 5.5+ (F).......15 @ 1.65+ (F)
Gold Edition..........Rosehill R7.........20 @ 1.75+ (F)..................
Timeless Spirit......Rosehill R8..........5 @ 15+(F)..........10 @ 4.1+ (F)
Spinners Magic......Rosehill R8.........7 @ 2.8+ (F).....................
 

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starz

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Thread starter #2
*Should read 5 @ 1.8+ Pluto Pup

Overview of selections:

The Blue Diamond:
Ok i've taken all of Hayes runners, purely coincidence though.
Press The Button - Impressive first up win, sure no lead up race for today but had a barrier trial last week which it won easily in quick time. Dangerous at long odds.

ChinaMora - 12/1+ showed it's got a lot of talent first up, has really struggled in its last 2 races seemed to shake its head around and look really uncomfortable, slow out of the gates and will go back early, if it can settle down and get off to a decent start, who knows what it could do, Oliver rode her in track work and was really impressed and asked to ride her in future, a good value place bet.

Cecconi - Was almost thinking about leaving Cecconi out but Hayes said it’s slightly his best chance, so I’ve got to have him. Same thing with victory chant, showed a bit last start and taken him for cover.

Sleek Chassis - Should be favourite imo and is definitely overs. If it gets any space it won’t be run down. If it doesn’t win it will be a close second or third.
--------------------

Westicaro - One to keep an eye on.
Hasn’t raced in 3 months but has been in work for the last month.
I’m not sure why Hoystar is so short.. odds-on? ok Beadman, weight advantage and in form but Westicaro has the better record and has trialled well recently. 4+ & 1.65+ to place represents good value.

Hanna Rossa - Runs it out really strong, 1400m is about her limit. I give it a big chance at good value, in-form.

Tesbury Jack - broke the course record last start and flew home. Magnus, shadoways and Fast n Famous dominate the betting leaving Tesbury Jack at top value @ 14+ & 4.0+ to place.

Hobartville
Gold Edition - In hindsight it's hard to believe Gold Edition was 3.7+ for the Magic Millions, only won by the length of the straight. Can run out the 1400m as we've seen.
1.80 here may seem short to some, looks great to me.
I’m taking a little cover with
Sniper’s Bullet @ 5.5+ but more for the place bet.

Timeless Spirit - The top weights dominate the market, I can see Timeless Spirit leading them around and pinching a break, will be hard to run down. Similar odds as Tesbury Jack.

Solo Flyer & Miss Watagan - Both have good speed, wouldn’t read anything into SF’s MM run, drew a dud barrier on a biased track. Miss Watagan Brissie horse, 3 from 3 in good races a chance but overly confident away from Qld.

Schweppervescence
Cover on Haradasun but can't see Efficient losing by much.
Backing them as a team.
 

starz

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Thread starter #3
A tough day if you were on the superstars Haradasun, Gold Edition and Efficient. Lost but not too bad considering.

Selection ............Race/No.............To win.................To place
Hanna Rossa .......Caulfield R2........5 @ 6+ ........…..15 @ 1.8+ -20
Westicaro............Rosehill R2........12 @ 4.50...……..25 @ 1.50 +56
Smooth sailing at this stage

Pluto Pup............Rosehill R3......................................5 @1.8+ -5
Wily Carol...........Caulfield R3...................................7 @ 3.5+
VOID 2.6 max, No fixed odds up on plc.

Haradasun..........Caulfield R4.........20 @ 1.6+............. ........-20
Efficient.............Caulfield R4.........8 @ 4.5+........…..7 @ 1.7+ ........-15
At this point I was a little p-o‘d, that huge upset wiped out my profit for the day.

BLUE DIAMOND
Sleek Chassis.......Caulfield R6.........8 @ 9+...........12 @ 2.75+ +85
Cecconi ..............Caulfield R6......…7 @ 6.5+.........7 @ 2.2+ -14
Press The Button....Caulfield R6.......3 @ 12+ ........5 @ 3.8+ -8
Victory Chant.......Caulfield R6..........7 @ 4+ ..........7 @ 1.8+ -14
Chinamora............Caulfield R6........3 @ 21+..........5 @ 6+ -8
Went to plan.

Miss Watagan........Rosehill R6........5 @ 6+ ...........10 @ 2+ -15
Solo Flyer............Rosehill R6..........5 @ 9+ ..........10 @ 2.8+ -15
Both started 10+. I had a bad feeling about it.

Tesbury Jack.......Caulfield R7.........5 @ 14+ .........12 @ 4.2+ -17
Poor effort, couldn’t run it out.

Sniper's Bullet......Rosehill R7..........10 @ 5.5+ .......15 @ 1.65+
Gold Edition..........Rosehill R7.........20 @ 1.75+ ...................... 1.85
-45
Ouch. See Haradasun/Efficient.

Timeless Spirit......Rosehill R8..........5 @ 15+..........10 @ 4.1+ -15
Spinners Magic......Rosehill R8.........7 @ 2.8+ ..................... -7
Spinner's surprisingly ended up odds on, i didn't back it but....

LOST -77
P/L: +593
 
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#5
A tough day if you were on the superstars Haradasun, Gold Edition and Efficient. Lost but not too bad considering.

Selection ............Race/No.............To win.................To place
Hanna Rossa .......Caulfield R2........5 @ 6+ ........…..15 @ 1.8+ -20
Westicaro............Rosehill R2........12 @ 4.50...……..25 @ 1.50 +56
Smooth sailing at this stage

Pluto Pup............Rosehill R3......................................5 @1.8+ -5
Wily Carol...........Caulfield R3...................................7 @ 3.5+
VOID 2.6 max, No fixed odds up on plc.
Haradasun..........Caulfield R4.........20 @ 1.6+............. ........-20
Efficient.............Caulfield R4.........8 @ 4.5+........…..7 @ 1.7+ ........-15
At this point I was a little p-o‘d, that huge upset wiped out my profit for the day.

BLUE DIAMOND
Sleek Chassis.......Caulfield R6.........8 @ 9+...........12 @ 2.75+ +85
Cecconi ..............Caulfield R6......…7 @ 6.5+.........7 @ 2.2+ -14
Press The Button....Caulfield R6.......3 @ 12+ ........5 @ 3.8+ -8
Victory Chant.......Caulfield R6..........7 @ 4+ ..........7 @ 1.8+ -14
Chinamora............Caulfield R6........3 @ 21+..........5 @ 6+ -8
Went to plan.

Miss Watagan........Rosehill R6........5 @ 6+ ...........10 @ 2+ -15
Solo Flyer............Rosehill R6..........5 @ 9+ ..........10 @ 2.8+ -15
Both started 10+. I had a bad feeling about it.

Tesbury Jack.......Caulfield R7.........5 @ 14+ .........12 @ 4.2+ -17
Poor effort, couldn’t run it out.

Sniper's Bullet......Rosehill R7..........10 @ 5.5+ .......15 @ 1.65+
Gold Edition..........Rosehill R7.........20 @ 1.75+ ...................... 1.85 -45
Ouch. See Haradasun/Efficient.

Timeless Spirit......Rosehill R8..........5 @ 15+..........10 @ 4.1+ -15
Spinners Magic......Rosehill R8.........7 @ 2.8+ ..................... -7
Spinner's surprisingly ended up odds on, i didn't back it but....

LOST -77
P/L: +593
mate i love a bet but if i had to try and understand all that crap it would cure me of my gambling problem .
 

starz

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Thread starter #7
aftertiming...

:D
I was talking about odds not selections, I already nominated the cut-off odds.
And there’s no aftertiming here, if you want to see that check Helmies posts.

mate i love a bet but if i had to try and understand all that crap it would cure me of my gambling problem .
Sorry if some of you can’t understand it, it’s pretty straight forward really.

LMFAO.....

One of the greatest posts ive read on this board...
Seriously, any chance you could grow up a little.
 
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