melbournemartin
Brownlow Medallist
Essendon getting Scott Lucas and Matthew Lloyd instead of Fremantle. I doubt Essendon was winning 2000 without them.
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Probably biggest one for the Swans is renegging on the Wallace contract to sign Roos as coach at the end of 2002.
Roos was really just the absolute perfect person to come in and take over that group at that time. You had a player group who had just put up with years and years of Rodney Eade being an absolute massive jerk and just generally being a horrible person (go have a listen to the JunkTime podcast with Ryan Fitzgerald to see what I'm talking about here), and Roos comes in very much as a players' coach, makes a prelim, and from then on we've made the finals 14 years out of 15, 5 grand finals, 2 flags.
On the other hand, we could have had a Terry Wallace five year rebuild which is what would have been on the cards since we missed the finals in 2002 and were widely tipped for a bottom four or even spoon finish in 2003. Who knows what that does to the club?
Excellent post. I watched the 2013 prelim with keen interest, having been looking forward to it all week. But until I read that, I hadn't realised just how significant those few minutes of football in the 4th quarter were.2013 Prelim final.
Prior to this moment the Hawthorn side had a reputation of underperforming in comparison to the vast amount of talent that was in the side. We choked a big lead in the prelim in 2011, and we choked in the 2012 Grand Final. We were now facing a third straight year of no success at 3 quarter time, and a twelvth straight defeat against our archnemesis of the decade.
Two pivotal moments of the game.
1) Enter Shaun Burgoyne. Wills the team over the line all over the ground. Forward, midfield and in defense he was the master on the night. Almost singlehandedly carries the Hawks over the line in the fourth quarter, and getting us into another Grand Final.
Without this moment will there be a threepeat?
Without his performance, would we have been too mentally burned out to go again?
How would players like Hodge, Mitchell, Roughead, Burgyone and their legacy be perceived without a threepeat.
The question of the 2001 Draft #1 pick will still remain. Was Hodge the right decision (in hindsight 100% yes).
Would we have been known as chokers?
What will be Clarkson's legacy? Will he achieve potential GOAT status that he has now?
Without this moment, the Hawthorn side of 2013-2015 would never have been known as one of the greatest sides of all time.
2) Varcoe's miss. Had he kicked the goal it would have forced the game into a draw and extra-time making it quite likely the greatest final/game in the history of football. Hawthorn had a steam of momentum but this was a champion Geelong side who knew how to step up when it mattered. Hawthorn's reputation did not match them at this point. If Geelong won they would challenge Fremantle who had humiliated them at Kardinia Park in a game with a lot of bad blood and venom.
Fremantle would have gone into the match with a heap of confidence and possibly set themselves up for their first flag, or Geelong bent on revenge could have cemented them as without a doubt the greatest team of all time, with Chris Scott being a 2x Premiership coach.
Jimmy Stynes doesn't go over the mark at the end of the 87 preliminary
North doesn't get Carey and Longmire off the Swans in the late 80s.
History of both clubs dramatically different. North almost certainly merged in early 90s.
November 2008, Melbourne decide to select the consensus number 1 pick, Nic Naitanui, instead of bolter Jack Watts.
West Coast go for local boy Daniel Rich at pick 2, Fremantle stick with their preferred choice Stephen Hill at three, and so on and so on. Watts slips down to Brisbane at pick 7. He gets to develop at his own pace alongside Jono Brown and Daniel Bradshaw, outside of the glare of the Victorian football spotlight and without the pressure of being the top pick.
I think you're overlooking/discounting how highly rated Watts was at the time. He wasn't a "bolter" or a "surprise" #1. He was MVP of the U/18 Championships as a bottom-ager, who was a year younger than most of the other top talents in his draft year. He was expected to be a superstar.
I still don't think it was necessarily a bad pick, but he came into the absolute worst environment possible for his development, and didn't have tge maturity and drive to overcome it, and suffered for it.
Essendon getting Scott Lucas and Matthew Lloyd instead of Fremantle. I doubt Essendon was winning 2000 without them.
Not a sliding door, there was no door for Lucas & Lloyd to come through.
It wasn't a straight swap, but (much as I hate to say it) it was a sliding door. If Freo had not given up Pick 4 and the Compo Pick, they could have used pick 4 on Scott Lucas, and Matthew Lloyd would have been available at (Freo's) Pick 1 the next year. Of course, that would have meant no Clive.
It wasn't a straight swap, but (much as I hate to say it) it was a sliding door. If Freo had not given up Pick 4 and the Compo Pick, they could have used pick 4 on Scott Lucas, and Matthew Lloyd would have been available at (Freo's) Pick 1 the next year. Of course, that would have meant no Clive.
They would have had to avoid signing any uncontracted players. Lloyd was just the first of seven compo picks - Steven King and Chad Morrison were others.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1994_AFL_draft#1995_uncontracted_and_concession_player_selections
Might not have been a bad idea...
Yep, he's pretty accurate with this.Pretty sure you don't understand what the term "sliding doors moment" means. Please learn from this guy who is employed to write for a living.
http://www.afl.com.au/news/2018-06-15/sliding-doors-round-13
Would've left you without Ben Allan, Peter Mann, Steven O'Reilly and Andrew Wills.
If Phil Krakouer hadn't kicked a bag against the Bombers in the mid 80s, would Kevin Sheedy have invented Aboriginal players a few years later?
How about Jack Anthony doesn't get paid the free kick in the 2009 Semi against the Crows and the greatest moment is AFL/VFL history never happens...
-The AFL and Ross Oakley grow a spine and actually move on s**t house Victorian clubs like North and St Kilda to accommodate areas like Tassie and potentially Canberra.
At the time, League and Union were a complete shambles so you bring Canberra Kangas in or whatever then it's entirely feasible that we have a successful ACT AFL side right now.
Also doesn't **** up future expansion down the line because of too many teams. And instead of bringing in the Bears, just relocate Fitzroy to Brisbane and that saves us from ever seeing Skaise or Corona in the game.