- Thread starter
- #126
I mean if the crowd is doing enough to affect decisions then we’re doing our job surely? Not our fault if the umpires get intimidated, just like it’s not your fault when they let countless FAs go unnoticed. Also we’ve been fairly sh*t away from home this year, especially with our attack on the ball, so I’d imagine this would also sway our free kick stats slightly.
Quite a few clubs with similar stats there too. Port, Freo, WC, Geelong (would be interested to see the specific GMHBA stats here).. and what do they all have in common? One sided crowds. To me that’s saying the umpires are incompetent and easily swayed by external pressure, which is also potentially understandable given the thousands of rules and interpretations running through their head at any given moment.
But there’s definitely not some preconceived bias of “Oh Richmond’s playing, let’s remember to not pay too many their way”. I think it’s just a mixture of some umpires being sub par and the complexity of the rules and interpretations.
Frees Against is easily explainable imo but I’m not sure why you’d be ranked last for Frees For other than perhaps a lack of marking contests in comparison to other sides? I’d imagine that’s where we’d get most of ours, along with the ruck.. and conversely we wouldnt give away many their either due to the talls being our strength.
TL;DR. It’s swing and roundabouts. There’s incompetence not bias. Something which Richmond benefits from as well. Non issue imo, other than the sh*t standards of this competition.
There are no shortage of people prepared to make off-handed statements to the effect the cause of Richmond’s historically significantly high free kick deficit isn’t umpiring bias. As you have in your first post on this thread C7.
But then you(and others) come out with statements to the effect you think umpires are biased in certain ways, such as the one I have highlighted in your post above. This is not to embarrass or pick on you as I think a lot of what you have said has made sense.
This is what I struggle with, you(and others) are acknowledging umpires can be biased in certain ways, by pressure from crowds, by players drawing attention to infringements etc. This make perfect sense to me, they are human afterall. But you are now saying they belong to a class of human beings who are susceptible to these types of suggestive conditioning….while at the same time stomping on any suggestion of a possibility they could be selectively conditioned in other ways. All people are vulnerable to this at all times, so i don’t see how it could be safely ruled out as a possibility.
To my knowledge, nobody here is seriously suggesting that Gil and Hocking and the Ump’s Advisor and all the umpires conduct big anti-Richmond planning meetings to try to work out how to screw us out of free kicks etc. So it is rather tilting at windmills to respond here as if that is the case. Collective biases can be formed much more subtly than that.
Have the Tigers got an all time significantly negative relative free kick differential? Yes, in 2021 they are in the top few if not top of the last 700 AFL individual teams’ seasons. So this isn’t like your average “someone has to be the worst in the AFL for free kicks” scenario, it is way more pronounced than that.
Do we as Richmond supporters perceive that we have had a raw deal with umpires especially this year? Yes, I would say so, that is my perception for sure, and I know the perception of many others on here. Not all games, I think the particular focus has been on the 6 losing games and maybe only 1-2 of the 7 winning games. There have been games like v Essendon where a lot of us thought we had the benefit of the umps. And v Adelaide where the umpiring seemed as broad as it was long but probably favoured us overall as well.
Do we think there is a massive organised conspiracy against Richmond by the AFL, media and umpires? I don’t think so. My perception is most posters on here don’t believe that to be the case. It would not be impossible, but it is implausible. I certainly don’t believe it.
Do we think there are more subtle forces at play or more simple and believable explanations for certain things running against Richmond in 2021 and the last half of 2020? Yes, I think a few of us suspect this to be the case. Plenty in the media seem to be invested in Richmond’s demise. We have had a bit of a disappointing 12 months in MRO deliberations. One particular match our players copped 3 fines. All appealed, all overturned on appeal. Seemingly insignificant but i see strange things no matter how insignificant as needing to be explained so that particular sequence of events really caught my eye.
What are the odds of the MRO making 3 incorrect adverse decisions in one match against players from one team, without being biased for some reason against that team? At the time my initial reaction was to scream for Michael Christian’s head. Subsequent revelations have shown I likely had the wrong man...
Due to that sparking my interest I delved a little deeper to find Steven Hocking is effectively the final decision maker in all MRO cases. Steven Hocking has the umpiring department under him. He is also the biggest single influence on rule changes. He is the person who sets directions for the umpires it seems on an ever changing basis. Rules of the week, new interpretations….all Hocking. Hocking briefs the media, likely leaks information to members of the media(these would be standard practices for someone in his position.) Hocking has effectively nobody to answer to in his role. So who knows if this might be the answer or not, but it would sure make a few things add up if it was. I would certainly love to see the effect on Richmond and the competition in general if Hocking were to be removed from his role or a much better governance structure put in place around his role to make it less conflicted and more accountable.
I don’t think the umpires are bent. I don’t think they are deliberately biased. But I don’t think they have umpired a lot of Richmond games entirely fairly in 2021 and I would sure like to know if there is a reason other than random incompetence for this. I also think they have umpired more poorly than in recent seasons and I am pretty sure this is due to the wildly different interpretations they are now being asked to make.
If you watched all those Richmond losses in full, and noted all the obvious errors or line ball decisions from a fair and neutral viewpoint, I am pretty sure you would see that the 14-24 average free kick differential in those games wasn’t caused solely by our game style. At least some of it is due to non randomly distributed incorrect umpiring.