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#1
Coming off a 100% strike rate in the Makybe Diva Stakes where I rated Marasco a short odds on favourite at $1.65 while everyone else laughed and had him much bigger odds, he won easily.
I also had Zipping running strongly to get a place with Apache Cat rounding off an easy trifecta.
Turnbull stakes is a race in 5 and there won't be much between them.
There will only be a fair pace with the big guns all getting back and running home in waves hitting the line together Haradasun, Zipping, Efficient, El Segundo with Marasco leading them in.
I'm giving it to Oliver to counter barrier 15. He's a winning big race jockey and rides Haradasuns last ever win here by a nose in a blanket finish.
Zipping's jockey Nikolic is injured with a sprained ankle, he's not in the same league as Oliver or even Arnold, but the value still lies with Zipping at $4.50+ to run a place. Devil Moon is silly odds with TAB at $7, she is up in class by 3-4 lengths.
True odds:
Haradasun 3.80
Marasco 4.70
Zipping 4.70
El Segundo 5.30
Efficient 8.00
==========
Eskimo Queen 20
Devil Moon 25
Rest between 50/1 and 150/1
Compare those true odds to TAB's false fixed odds unders market.
P/L: +746.5
Best Bets:
Haradasun 15 units eachway
Zipping to place 20 units @ 4+
I also had Zipping running strongly to get a place with Apache Cat rounding off an easy trifecta.
Turnbull stakes is a race in 5 and there won't be much between them.
There will only be a fair pace with the big guns all getting back and running home in waves hitting the line together Haradasun, Zipping, Efficient, El Segundo with Marasco leading them in.
I'm giving it to Oliver to counter barrier 15. He's a winning big race jockey and rides Haradasuns last ever win here by a nose in a blanket finish.
Zipping's jockey Nikolic is injured with a sprained ankle, he's not in the same league as Oliver or even Arnold, but the value still lies with Zipping at $4.50+ to run a place. Devil Moon is silly odds with TAB at $7, she is up in class by 3-4 lengths.
True odds:
Haradasun 3.80
Marasco 4.70
Zipping 4.70
El Segundo 5.30
Efficient 8.00
==========
Eskimo Queen 20
Devil Moon 25
Rest between 50/1 and 150/1
Compare those true odds to TAB's false fixed odds unders market.
TAB FIXED ODDS
EL SEGUNDO $3.60 $1.57
HARADASUN $4.20 $1.71
MARASCO $6.00 $2.11
DEVIL MOON $7.00 $2.33
ESKIMO QUEEN $10.00 $3.00
EFFICIENT $11.00 $3.22
CINQUE CENTO $12.00 $3.44
ZIPPING $17.00 $4.55
MOLOTOV $21.00 $5.44
DOURO VALLEY $35.00 $8.55
TAWQEET $51.00 $12.11
BLUTIGEROO $51.00 $12.11
BLUE MONDAY $71.00 $16.55
GALLIC $151.00 $34.33
SCENIC SHOT $151.00 $34.33
EL SEGUNDO $3.60 $1.57
HARADASUN $4.20 $1.71
MARASCO $6.00 $2.11
DEVIL MOON $7.00 $2.33
ESKIMO QUEEN $10.00 $3.00
EFFICIENT $11.00 $3.22
CINQUE CENTO $12.00 $3.44
ZIPPING $17.00 $4.55
MOLOTOV $21.00 $5.44
DOURO VALLEY $35.00 $8.55
TAWQEET $51.00 $12.11
BLUTIGEROO $51.00 $12.11
BLUE MONDAY $71.00 $16.55
GALLIC $151.00 $34.33
SCENIC SHOT $151.00 $34.33
Best Bets:
Haradasun 15 units eachway
Zipping to place 20 units @ 4+

