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Stats observations

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Most team changes in a season:
Rich (BB code):
Chg Cb  Year Ma
---------------
104 NM  1978 25
 98 GWS 2012 20
 98 Co  1976 22
 96 Me  1986 22
 95 Ri  1986 22
 95 NM  1981 22
 95 Me  1906 17
 95 Me  1979 22
 94 St  1982 22
 93 St  1898 17
 93 NM  1984 22
 93 St  1980 22
 91 St  1983 22
 91 Es  1978 22
 91 Fi  1974 22
 91 Co  1981 26
 90 St  1945 20
 90 Co  1974 24
 90 Co  1982 22
 
under60.png
The last time each club has had 12 or more scores under 60 points in a season.​
(Not listed have never had 12 or more scores under 60 points in a season.)​
 

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Most team changes in a season:
Rich (BB code):
Chg Cb  Year Ma
---------------
104 NM  1978 25
 98 GWS 2012 20
98 Co  1976 22
96 Me  1986 22
95 Ri  1986 22
95 NM  1981 22
95 Me  1906 17
95 Me  1979 22
94 St  1982 22
93 St  1898 17
93 NM  1984 22
93 St  1980 22
91 St  1983 22
91 Es  1978 22
91 Fi  1974 22
91 Co  1981 26
90 St  1945 20
90 Co  1974 24
90 Co  1982 22

What did Gold Coast have last year?

Did North Melbourne have a large number of injuries in 1978? Amzaing they made the Grand Final while making so many changes. Most of the others look like they are teams near the bottom
 
NB I've re-calculated the list to exclude the first game of the season, as it distorts the figures due to list changes.
Rich (BB code):
Ch Cb  Year Ma
--------------
99 NM  1978 24
98 GWS 2012 18
92 Co  1976 21
90 NM  1981 21
89 Fr  1995 21
88 Me  1979 21
86 Ri  1986 21
86 GC  2011 22
85 Me  1906 16
85 NM  1984 21
85 Me  1986 21
84 St  1980 21
84 Co  1981 25
84 Co  1982 21
84 St  1982 21
83 Co  1974 24
83 Fi  1974 21
83 Ri  1976 21
83 Sy  1981 21
83 Ge  1982 21

What did Gold Coast have last year?

Did North Melbourne have a large number of injuries in 1978? Amzaing they made the Grand Final while making so many changes. Most of the others look like they are teams near the bottom

GC are shown in the new list. They've had 72 this year, plus up to 8 this round, pending final selections.

Don't know about North. They had a lot of changes leading up to the GF:

R21 - 6
R22 - 8
SF - 7
PF - 7

Only three other teams have made as many changes for a final:

Hawthorn, 2011 Qualifying Final, 8 changes, lost by 31 (after resting players against the Suns)
Essendon, 1990 Semi Final, 7 changes, lost by 63
Geelong, 1921 Semi Final, 7 changes, lost by 61
 
Observed in Round 21 2012
  • A scoring event that has only happened once before (60 years ago.).
  • Carlton did something to Essendon they have only done to them once before.
  • GWS have a record that hasn't been surpassed since 1905.
  • Fremantle have played exactly half their matches at Subiaco Oval.
  • The 100th match lost by Collingwood in a particular category.
  • Adelaide's biggest first quarter lead in a match that they lost.
  • The lowest AFL attendance at Football Park.
  • The Swans equal a record they needed a whole season to set.
  • Hawthorn equal a record they needed a whole season to set.

    Details and More
 
and they promptly went and lost every quarter vs Freo.
Must be frustrating for Tiger fans - steps forward then steps backward.
Of teams that have competed 1995-2012, Fremantle have had the second lowest percentage of matches being wins in all 4 quarters - ahead of Melbourne and just behind Richmond. How close it is between Fremantle and Richmond can be seen below.
4q1995.png
Number and percentage of matches played that were wins in all 4 quarters - 1995-2012 R21​
 
What is the record for the most home and away wins across six consecutive seasons?
I have the calculation based on match/win percentage - so it includes finals as well.

Collingwood 1925-30 81.56%
Geelong 2007-2012 R21 is currently on 81.38%

Geelong have won 106 home and away matches 2007-2012 R21
Collingwood 1925-30 won 90 home and home (as they were called then) matches.
Hawthorn 1984-1989 won 105 home and away matches. (78.33% of all matches.)

Now you have bought this to the attention of the Football Gods!

Match/win percentage is neck and neck between Collingwood 1925-1930 and Geelong 2007-2012
Home and Away matches won in 6 consecutive seasons, Geelong is unassailable.
 

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Observed in round 22 2012

  • A first for Richmond v Essendon
  • Something Richmond haven't done since the 1973 Grand Final.
  • GWS have a chance next week of equaling a record set in 1897.
  • Brisbane stuck in a scoring rut v Port Adelaide.
  • A new club record for Hawthorn.
  • Hawthorn also now have the best particular stat from all matches from 1951 to now.
  • A worst by Collingwood since 1954.
  • A first for the Gold Coast.
  • WB/Footscray have a current streak that is now their longest since 1968.
  • A first and three new records for Fremantle.
  • Two new records for Adelaide.

    Details and more:

    Footnote: Port Adelaide and University each won 22, lost 19 and drew 2 of their first 43 matches. (University had a higher percentage.)
 
If the scores this weekend are Sydney 92 defeat Geelong 88, Fremantle 100 defeat Melbourne 49, and North Melbourne 138 defeat GWS 60, then there will be a three-way tie for sixth on 56 points and precisely 115% (23:20 ratio in all three teams' for vs against). Those margins will all be within a couple of goals of the bookies' lines I'm guessing ...
 
If the scores this weekend are Sydney 92 defeat Geelong 88, Fremantle 100 defeat Melbourne 49, and North Melbourne 138 defeat GWS 60, then there will be a three-way tie for sixth on 56 points and precisely 115% (23:20 ratio in all three teams' for vs against). Those margins will all be within a couple of goals of the bookies' lines I'm guessing ...

Hahahaha. I think they toss a coin in that situation. Seriously.
 
If the scores this weekend are Sydney 92 defeat Geelong 88, Fremantle 100 defeat Melbourne 49, and North Melbourne 138 defeat GWS 60, then there will be a three-way tie for sixth on 56 points and precisely 115% (23:20 ratio in all three teams' for vs against). Those margins will all be within a couple of goals of the bookies' lines I'm guessing ...

Geebus....That sort of scenario is entirely possible, and certainly would be highly interesting for the AFL to work out! Ron's idea might be the best suggestion, or maybe Rock, Paper Scissors?
 

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Geebus....That sort of scenario is entirely possible, and certainly would be highly interesting for the AFL to work out! Ron's idea might be the best suggestion, or maybe Rock, Paper Scissors?

I would guess it would then go by points scored
 
Some statistical trivia associated with the Hawthorn v West Coast game on Friday night I'm pretty sure is right (anyone confirm?) -

It'll be the 14,000th match won or lost in the V/AFL or it'll be the 150th draw.
 
Actually if two teams are tied, I think it comes down to results of matches between those two teams. If, for example, they met once and it was a draw, then they toss a coin.
Correct. And Fremantle has beaten both North & Geelong the only time they met this year.
Geebus....That sort of scenario is entirely possible, and certainly would be highly interesting for the AFL to work out!
Just to let the air out of the tyres, in my 25 years of simulating AFL seasons I usually see an exact tie for final positions at a rate of one every 150,000 seasons or so. Even this week, it's about one in 20,000 for a two-way tie and astronomical for three-way, more than 100 million to one against even though I can easily construct a dozen sets of credible scores that do it.
 
1897-2012 R22 there have been 27,040 individual team results after a completed round of matches.
The latest two teams have been on equal match points and equal percentage has been round 4 of 1940.
Essendon and Geelong each had two wins and two losses and each had scored 353 points and each had conceded 381 points. (Not realised at the time because published progressive ladders had Essendon with 382 points against.)

After round 5 they were each on three wins but Geelong had now scored 3 more points than Essendon and conceded 1 fewer putting them 0.87% ahead.

It is commonly believed that in the highly unlikely event that after 22 rounds that two teams still be tied on match points and percentage that their ladder positions would be decided on results between the two teams and finally if still not separable, by lot. Has any anyone actually seen this in print somewhere - in an official League publication?

Would a club actually give up a place in the finals on the toss of a coin or a 'draw out of a hat'?

I would think the arrangements are not locked in and there would be some ad hoc decision to sort out the situation. A mid-week 'lightning' match?
 

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Stats observations

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