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Preview Sydney Swans vs The Non-Finalist Dons

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Well the time has come for a matchup between two sides and you can say what a bludger of a match this could be. Two sides decimated with injury but at least one knows how to play a final it’s been over 7000 days since Essendon won a final. Hey even North have won once in that time!



Form line Essendon



Weirdly before last week their form has been solid with improvements from the young kids especially, with the electric buzz of Issac Kako up forward one of them, Roberts across half back/mid too. However has the dam split now, they keep copping significant injuries they are down to the skeleton of Goldstein trying to be a ruck arrh that brings us back memories boys and girls with our rucks.



The key Men



  • Zach Merrett- if he’s not winning the Brownlow he’s top 3 this year, the bloke has been sensational for Essendon all season long, it’s a shame he won’t get to play many if any finals in his career, never know he can leave to greener pastures Geelong seem to fit everyone under their cap.
  • Archie Roberts- having a sensational debut year and he’s a guy that floats in and around HB to the midfield and uses it sensationally.
  • Nate Caddy- If Essendon kick a score he’s the X Factor up forward, can be a bit wayward at times with his kicking but watch him over the next few years as he fills out
  • Will Setterfield- their designated defensive mid who has been getting the ball more this season, you’d assume he goes to Chad Warner
  • Issac Kako- the magician as I call him, it’s a shame he was tied to the NGA we’ve all seen how ridiculously good he is, only a matter of time where he has some 4 goal game


Form line Sydney Swans



Before last week we had bottom 4 form, so the question is going to be is that an outlier or are we going back to the previous 3 weeks. The pressure rating was much higher last week after being beyond poor the weeks prior where we tapered off massively the last quarter. Getting Chad into the season last week was crucial as it took some pressure off Heeney to do utterly everything. Furthermore for the first time this season our forwardline functioned decently .



The Key Men



  • Issac Heeney- no shock here our best and most important player by the length of the Flemington Straight. One of the players that are so hard to tag, tag him in the middle he’ll go forward and hurt you. You would assume a close check is in place for him but Settlefield can only go to one of them. It will be interesting to see the matchup here
  • Chad Warner- back to form last week after being on holidays for 6 weeks while he decided his future. Likely to cop the Setterfield tag this week, so must work his way through it and bring others into the game.
  • James Jordan- literally is the most underrated player on our list still, can get the ball, can tag. You can lock in the Merrett role this week for JJ. Shut Merrett down will go a long way to winning the game
  • Brodie Grundy- with the corpse of Goldstein in the ruck it should allow Grundy to get first use and continue what has been his best season with us
  • Riley Bice- hey you all know I was going to put Bicey in! Hopefully he has a belter off a game setting up plenty of our goals.


Who Wins and Who Loses



Overall I feel Sydney have less disruptions which is weird although Melican is copping 3 weeks for his action last weekend that’s a loss. The KPP losses for Essendon are starting to really stack up and unfortunately if they are honest, they’d rather Goldstein to be nowhere near the side and yet he’s starting ruck!



Tip: Sydney Swans by 24 points



... Shout out to LukeParkerno1 for writing this preview!
 
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2 Archies, 2 Zachs - and a Goldstein. We need more characters from dystopian fiction.

Syd-Essendon games have reputation of being close and/or weird. I think most of the weird or sensational ones were a few years back. But 2019-22 we had five games in a row decided by 10pts or less

2024 - W 30pts W 39pts
2023 - W 2pts
2022 - W 58pts L 9pts
2021 - W 3pts W 7 pts
2020 - L 6pts
2019 - L 10pts
2018 - L 43 pts
2017 - W 1pt W 65pts (EF)
 

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This is a genuine 50/50 Essendon can either be brilliant or awful but they can move the back quickly and Merrett is in AA form.

Positives no Stringer.

Merrett is probably behind Daicos i (just) in the Brownlow count, the bloke is an utter gun.

Depends which version of us turn up, last weeks one or the two weeks prior one...

Put it this way we start lazy we will get our pants pulled down
 
This is a genuine 50/50 Essendon can either be brilliant or awful but they can move the back quickly and Merrett is in AA form.

Positives no Stringer.

Don’t agree that Essendon can be brilliant.

They range between “meh” and “meh”.

Conversely, this year we range between “omg, flag chance!” and “what‘ll we do with pick 3?”

Melican out is a massive blow.

Our defence has looked utterly dysfunctional without him.

Danger game. Somehow.
 
Good effort LP1.

TBH tho, surprised you didn't mention the clear advantage the Francis Factor provides us. ;)

Francis scoring goals just to send Essendon fans postal could be the comedy of the year
 
With no Melican, seems to me there are two main options to pick from to replace him.

1. Hamling moves into defence as a like for like swap; he then either gets replaced up forward with Ladhams or Buller as a tall or we go small with Hanily or even Sheldrick as a HF/mid type. Seems that Jordan Ridley being out might makes us think we can go smaller particularly if they replace him with Lewis Hayes which would leave the Bombers with three 2m tall defenders that we could try to exploit on the ground. We also don’t have as much of a need for the role Hamling played against GWS because the Bombers don’t have the same type of dominant interceptor who changes games; McKay intercepts but is hardly a game changer.

2. Replace Melican with Will Edwards. This one excites me the most and I think there’s a good rationale for it - Essendon have two tall forwards in Wright and Caddy. McCartin takes Wright and Edwards can have first crack at Caddy who is clearly exceptionally talented but still a kid himself. If Caddy is beating Edwards he can be subbed off and Rampe or Blakey can switch over onto him. Seems like an opportune game to blood a young guy who has been playing good footy for some time. Hamling stays forward probably taking McKay for a similar sort of job on him to what he did with Taylor.
 

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I find the running narrative of Essendon not winning a final such a poor dig to make. You just know it’s going to be the Swans responsible for breaking that drought.

Pretty childish considering we are the laughing stock for Grand Final performances and I can have some empathy for Bombers fans in that respect with the constant jibes.

What is relevant though is the history of close matches or controversial ends to games which seem to be par for the course between these clubs every other match. Like us they are a hard team to get a gauge on this year. I’m expecting a hard at the man pressured game from Essendon, which this year could put us off our game quite easily but if we can negate that early charge we’re in with a chance. I hope we match it but settle into our game quicker.
 
I find the running narrative of Essendon not winning a final such a poor dig to make. You just know it’s going to be the Swans responsible for breaking that drought.

Pretty childish considering we are the laughing stock for Grand Final performances and I can have some empathy for Bombers fans in that respect with the constant jibes.

What is relevant though is the history of close matches or controversial ends to games which seem to be par for the course between these clubs every other match. Like us they are a hard team to get a gauge on this year. I’m expecting a hard at the man pressured game from Essendon, which this year could put us off our game quite easily but if we can negate that early charge we’re in with a chance. I hope we match it but settle into our game quicker.

Honestly on GF day i think any top 12 side would fancy their chances against us.
 
With no Melican, seems to me there are two main options to pick from to replace him.

1. Hamling moves into defence as a like for like swap; he then either gets replaced up forward with Ladhams or Buller as a tall or we go small with Hanily or even Sheldrick as a HF/mid type. Seems that Jordan Ridley being out might makes us think we can go smaller particularly if they replace him with Lewis Hayes which would leave the Bombers with three 2m tall defenders that we could try to exploit on the ground. We also don’t have as much of a need for the role Hamling played against GWS because the Bombers don’t have the same type of dominant interceptor who changes games; McKay intercepts but is hardly a game changer.

2. Replace Melican with Will Edwards. This one excites me the most and I think there’s a good rationale for it - Essendon have two tall forwards in Wright and Caddy. McCartin takes Wright and Edwards can have first crack at Caddy who is clearly exceptionally talented but still a kid himself. If Caddy is beating Edwards he can be subbed off and Rampe or Blakey can switch over onto him. Seems like an opportune game to blood a young guy who has been playing good footy for some time. Hamling stays forward probably taking McKay for a similar sort of job on him to what he did with Taylor.

I just can’t see Edwards being in the frame based on VFL form.

I’d think Snell would be ahead in the queue.
 

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Callum completed two football sessions last week. He is aiming to complete match play in our main training session this week, where his progression will then be determined based on his recovery. Week to week upon reassessment.
 
Callum completed two football sessions last week. He is aiming to complete match play in our main training session this week, where his progression will then be determined based on his recovery. Week to week upon reassessment.
Week to week reassessment. Sounds like they have no idea if his body is ready to go yet.
 
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