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Teams Team Development (Official Opening)

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too many Dogs.

Boyd, Libba, Murphy are the 3 id look at getting rid of.

Butler is yuck (dont get sucked into what Here2tellyouwhy says)

Priddis isnt the best option for that price range IMO, better for cheaper or slightly more.

id go Murphy, Butler, Priddis, Libba, Boyd, Stevens OUT
Pendles in for Priddis as my high-priced set-n-forget? Only reason I went with Priddis initially was because I thought Pendles is certain to get tagged. Bad logic?

Tom Boyd is my possible value pick to mix it up. Thinking this is his bump year. I guess he's not exactly gonna be in the guts ever.
 
Pendles in for Priddis as my high-priced set-n-forget? Only reason I went with Priddis initially was because I thought Pendles is certain to get tagged. Bad logic?

Tom Boyd is my possible value pick to mix it up. Thinking this is his bump year. I guess he's not exactly gonna be in the guts ever.
Pendles is a safe pick. bad logic indeed

Boyd had his best game in the GF and only score 99 SC. bit of a worry.
 
First time playing fantasy footy (only been following the game for 3 years), so I expect this is wank.

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I put Butler in purely because Here2tellyouwhy says he's the LOCK OF THE CENTURY. It was so oversold that I still can't tell if it was sarcastic, because I have no idea who or what Butler is.

Butler was an average player until I sponsored him.
He then turned into a classy veteran of the backline. Silky and smooth under pressure.
He actually won a flag in 06 the day after I became his sponsor.
Great man. Even better player.
 

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Butler was an average player until I sponsored him.
He then turned into a classy veteran of the backline. Silky and smooth under pressure.
He actually won a flag in 06 the day after I became his sponsor.
Great man. Even better player.

Keep this shit up and I'll keep him in. And then when I lose it can be your fault.

(but seriously though, Might swap him out for a rookie and go big somewhere else)
 
First time playing fantasy footy (only been following the game for 3 years), so I expect this is wank.

2eDJ9Nt.jpg


I put Butler in purely because Here2tellyouwhy says he's the LOCK OF THE CENTURY. It was so oversold that I still can't tell if it was sarcastic, because I have no idea who or what Butler is.
POTY contender.
 
Interesting exercise. Set a minimum av for each position imo, or manually remove the lower value non-keepers and replace with rookies, and use the cash to get some safer picks elsewhere.

I've had a play with expected rookie valuations based on the last 2 years to include rookies in the model.

Top 15 rookies by value (pts per $) over the last 2 years by starting price (sub $140k, min 7 games average rd's 1-10)

upload_2017-1-26_0-34-38.png

The positions are a rough M-M-F-D repeating assumption.

The model adds 4 rookies to the starting 22, leaving 9 for the bench totalling $967,250 if I take rookies 5-12.

To cut a long story short, I get the following

ScreenShot1537.jpg


Next exercise might be to lop 5% off my expectations on discounted players.
 
Being the magnanimous type, I'm trying to help others get at least a solid team.

How I pick my team:

1: Go with my heart over my head when picking players

2: Overload on injury prone players that were half-decent 5 years ago.

3: Fill my team with Mid-Price traps that keep my team stagnant for the whole season.

4: Pick negative PODs.

5: Pick the least valuable most expensive players

6: Awkwardly shoe-horn rookies into the side.

7: Wonder why I don't win the $50k.


That's how I do it too!!!!
 

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44K in the bank.

First crack at my team, contemplating dumping danger for Pendles as my starting captain in the hope danger falls a bit. Not sure it is worth the trades. I would use some of that cash to upgrade Heeney.

My back rookies probably need some work
upload_2017-1-26_8-55-0.png
 
44K in the bank.

First crack at my team, contemplating dumping danger for Pendles as my starting captain in the hope danger falls a bit. Not sure it is worth the trades. I would use some of that cash to upgrade Heeney.

My back rookies probably need some work
View attachment 330501
I originally had Fake Hibbo in as well. Is it looking like he's starting?
 
I've had a play with expected rookie valuations based on the last 2 years to include rookies in the model.

Top 15 rookies by value (pts per $) over the last 2 years by starting price (sub $140k, min 7 games average rd's 1-10)

View attachment 330454

The positions are a rough M-M-F-D repeating assumption.

The model adds 4 rookies to the starting 22, leaving 9 for the bench totalling $967,250 if I take rookies 5-12.

To cut a long story short, I get the following

View attachment 330456


Next exercise might be to lop 5% off my expectations on discounted players.
Pretty solid start point for a team.

4 on field cheap rooks might be a lot compared with last years R1 starters (eg Tippa Adams turned out onfield worthy by average, that's about it). Then again everyone keeps saying what a strog draft year this was. I am budgeting to have 2 onfield cheapies and 2 exp rooks (eg Weitering, Mills last year).

If you rate Hartlett at 92 I would remove him from consideration, can downgrade Doc say (overs according to your predicted) to get the cash for someone else.
 

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View attachment 330391 Opinions ladies and gentleman, i'd like to fit Bennel in but that would be at the expense of some promising rookies.
You could turn a caddy/ green into a bennel/ real premo.
Would be looking to bolster your mids first. Most would be running with 5 premos and some with Beams at m7. You will get left behind with only 4 mid premos.
 
2 Boyds, 1 Cup, Version 300 and something.
$19,000 left over.

upload_2017-1-26_12-1-2.png

I've gone with the expensive rookies because it will be easier to downsize later on. Any future savings will be used to upgrade McCarthy because the only thing uglier than my forward line is my round 11 outs.
 
G'day again everyone. Looking forward to another year of pissing my spare time up against the wall. Here's my first real crack at it this year. Like most, I know SFA about the rookies and they will obviously change. I've tried to make a multi-positional team with the ability to transfer on any line. Some of the names may change, but I'd like to keep that flexibility. I haven't considered the bye rounds either at this stage. Happy to hear thoughts.
 
Pretty solid start point for a team.

4 on field cheap rooks might be a lot compared with last years R1 starters (eg Tippa Adams turned out onfield worthy by average, that's about it). Then again everyone keeps saying what a strog draft year this was. I am budgeting to have 2 onfield cheapies and 2 exp rooks (eg Weitering, Mills last year).

If you rate Hartlett at 92 I would remove him from consideration, can downgrade Doc say (overs according to your predicted) to get the cash for someone else.


yeah, I took 5% off my returnee selection predictions, de-risking.

ScreenShot1539.jpg
 
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