Analysis Team rankings 2018 - Maths at work

[grumbleguts]

Like last year, I have started the team rankings for this season, unlike the squiggle, my system only uses data from the current season.

Last year's ranking had us just missing the 8 for a fair while, this years makes for much more pleasant viewing. I must add it is early days and rankings swing and sway early before settling down....

If anyone wants to read how it works the maths is explained here:
https://www.bigfooty.com/forum/threads/team-rankings-2017.1161683/

It takes a while for enough teams to play each other to get fixes on where everyone is, so 7 rounds is usually a good measure but here are the cumulative rankings for the first four rounds:
(I've done things differently this season, in that I have used a win and a loss matrix so there are negative rankings, also I have made each round relative to the highest ranked team being ranked 100.
And round 1 will just look exactly like the ladder for round one, then it starts to deviate from the ladder.


SO:
Round 1
GWS 100
Port Adelaide 57.9
Hawthorn 37.95
Gold Coast 31.52
Sydney 26.5
St Kilda 24.21
Richmond 21.96
Essendon 11.65
Geelong 2.83
Melbourne -2.83
Adelaide -11.65
Carlton -21.96
Brisbane -24.21
West Coast -26.5
North Melbourne -31.52
Collingwood -37.95
Fremantle -57.9
Western Bulldogs -100

Round 2
Port Adelaide 100
Gold Coast 88.14
GWS 75.66
North Melbourne 61.65
Hawthorn 43.79
Sydney 29.2
Geelong 18.54
Adelaide 14
Melbourne 11.58
Essendon -7.05
West Coast -7.3
Fremantle -22.13
Richmond -25.41
Collingwood -26.31
Carlton -51.75
St Kilda -70.3
Brisbane -82.73
Western Bulldogs -151.95

Round 4
Richmond 100
Hawthorn 84.46
GWS 67.27
West Coast 65.72
North Melbourne 50.6
Geelong 43.54
Collingwood 36.74
Sydney 35.51
Adelaide 32.45
Port Adelaide 20.3
Essendon 8.25
Melbourne 8.1
Fremantle -1.65
Gold Coast -2.34
Western Bulldogs -22.39
Carlton -69.42
St Kilda -72.41
Brisbane -119.81


Round 5
Richmond 100
Hawthorn 63.35
North Melbourne 60.95
Geelong 48.61
GWS 45.49
West Coast 44.47
Collingwood 43.6
Adelaide 31.48
Sydney 18.34
Port Adelaide 5.2
Fremantle 4.57
Melbourne -2.74
Gold Coast -12.59
Essendon -14.23
St Kilda -49.89
Western Bulldogs -49.99
Carlton -53.84
Brisbane -100.35

Round 6
Richmond 100
Hawthorn 54.97
GWS 43.34
Geelong 36.59
North Melbourne 36.44
West Coast 35.74
Adelaide 34.17
Collingwood 29.08
Sydney 24.03
Port Adelaide 15.76
Fremantle 1.12
Melbourne -2.73
Essendon -27.39
Gold Coast -32.23
Western Bulldogs -48.84
St Kilda -60.3
Carlton -73.87
Brisbane -103.9

 

[Holy Rioli]

Like last year, I have started the team rankings for this season, unlike the squiggle, my system only uses data from the current season.

Last year's ranking had us just missing the 8 for a fair while, this years makes for much more pleasant viewing. I must add it is early days and rankings swing and sway early before settling down....

If anyone wants to read how it works the maths is explained here:
https://www.bigfooty.com/forum/threads/team-rankings-2017.1161683/

It takes a while for enough teams to play each other to get fixes on where everyone is, so 7 rounds is usually a good measure but here are the cumulative rankings for the first four rounds:
(I've done things differently this season, in that I have used a win and a loss matrix so there are negative rankings, also I have made each round relative to the highest ranked team being ranked 100.
And round 1 will just look exactly like the ladder for round one, then it starts to deviate from the ladder.


SO:
Round 1
GWS 100
Port Adelaide 57.9
Hawthorn 37.95
Gold Coast 31.52
Sydney 26.5
St Kilda 24.21
Richmond 21.96
Essendon 11.65
Geelong 2.83
Melbourne -2.83
Adelaide -11.65
Carlton -21.96
Brisbane -24.21
West Coast -26.5
North Melbourne -31.52
Collingwood -37.95
Fremantle -57.9
Western Bulldogs -100

Round 2
Port Adelaide 100
Gold Coast 88.14
GWS 75.66
North Melbourne 61.65
Hawthorn 43.79
Sydney 29.2
Geelong 18.54
Adelaide 14
Melbourne 11.58
Essendon -7.05
West Coast -7.3
Fremantle -22.13
Richmond -25.41
Collingwood -26.31
Carlton -51.75
St Kilda -70.3
Brisbane -82.73
Western Bulldogs -151.95

Round 4
Richmond 100
Hawthorn 84.46
GWS 67.27
West Coast 65.72
North Melbourne 50.6
Geelong 43.54
Collingwood 36.74
Sydney 35.51
Adelaide 32.45
Port Adelaide 20.3
Essendon 8.25
Melbourne 8.1
Fremantle -1.65
Gold Coast -2.34
Western Bulldogs -22.39
Carlton -69.42
St Kilda -72.41
Brisbane -119.81

I'm cool with pretending round 3 didn't happen if you are.

 

[grumbleguts]

I'm cool with pretending round 3 didn't happen if you are.

It happened and it is included, but I didn't summarize where it stood at the end of the round as I normally do, so to do it I'd have to remove all the data from round 4 do the table and then re-add round 4

 

[Mitchell54]

When will round 5 be added.


Cheers

 

[grumbleguts]

When will round 5 be added.


Cheers

Done! Apologies, had a very busy week. Round 6 added as well.

Hawthorn holding on to second for dear life. Makes better reading than last season. Richmond's gap on the rest of the competition is extending.
Looking like a stand alone outpost.

 

[threesixpio]

Tiges back to back.

That said ...a young upstart team can peak in finals ....