The 2020 Big Footy Tout of the Year competion

What is the minimum number of tips you want per week?


  • Total voters
    22
  • Poll closed .
Jan 30, 2013
16,166
16,559
AFL Club
Port Adelaide
Leader with the lowest win SR%

I think 6 months ago I showed that the maths behind this system was to tip roughies as higher chance of luck taking control to win, whereas tipping a random short price horse will likely lose less but with more certainty. Was to prove a point about the pacers being involved.

Not inferring luck the main reason here of course but if one were to pick random numbers they would be better suited doing at $20-$50 range.

Same goes with daily or short term tipping contests, there's just no point tipping faves especially when large numbers on entries. Also short price horses on S-TAB the morning of the race = Death
 
Jan 2, 2009
12,963
20,910
Melbourne
AFL Club
North Melbourne
I think 6 months ago I showed that the maths behind this system was to tip roughies as higher chance of luck taking control to win, whereas tipping a random short price horse will likely lose less but with more certainty. Was to prove a point about the pacers being involved.

Not inferring luck the main reason here of course but if one were to pick random numbers they would be better suited doing at $20-$50 range.

Same goes with daily or short term tipping contests, there's just no point tipping faves especially when large numbers on entries. Also short price horses on S-TAB the morning of the race = Death

Just like a lot of punting systems that rely on short odds fail
 

mdizzle

All Australian
Dec 31, 2009
604
362
AFL Club
West Coast
Other Teams
Liverpool
Flemington
R1 Shepard 20
R7 Duke of Plumpton 20

Randwick
R6 Miss Einstein 20

Eagle Farm
R2 Red Chase 20
 

IKnowtheDog

Norm Smith Medallist
Jan 25, 2016
9,339
7,810
AFL Club
Collingwood
Other Teams
Seattle Seahawks
Adelaide
Robe Bay 20 units
Vivi Valentina 20 units
Belmont
Charleton Eddie 20 units
divine shadow 20 units
Flemington
Can't be done 20 units
 
Last edited:
Mar 17, 2014
10,853
12,742
AFL Club
Collingwood
Well, we have a new leader in Come on Oliver again. Gavin has managed to blow 4000 units in the past few weeks and is now 3rd. Lucky they are pretend units!
No one dropped out this week but results are underwhelming. Fabab won the week easily. Paris the only other one to make a profit.

Horse of the week was Great Again, a couple got that.

Cat of the week, Kinane

And once again Perth and Adelaide horses dominated in MElbourne at good odds. We will never learn!

PunterTotal BankWeek 20 max betHolidayswin percentageWeek 19 results
come on oliver1571157223.81%-120
Areyoufireal1310131126.80%-2.5
Gavin Excell1111111214.71%-580
54Dogs88488231.65%-80
MJC2371772134.62%-50
Fabab69069127.27%242
Falling Leifs64064025.00%-28
Mdizzle60861027.96%-16
Balmainforever47047136.05%-50
Iknowthedog41241123.08%-56
Better Loosen UP37337116.26%-80
99 Problems28529220.99%-80
iluvparis22522024.49%2
TBellicious12212026.80%-80


Edited for Leifs late tip
 
Last edited:
I reckon I have been on the cat of the week in 90% of weeks. I honestly don't remember such a streak of so many popular hot pots getting rolled. I guess it shows we mostly have a bunch of turn takers out there at the moment.
 
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