Prediction The AFC 12 Game Challenge

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Betts are off

Norm Smith Medallist
Sep 28, 2016
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Hey All,

I hope you are all enjoying the offseason. I for 1 cannot wait to get back into some football. I did this last year in a thread but thought it would be quite interesting to do as its own thread this year.

How likely are the following fringe/up and coming/declining players to play in 12 games in 2019 (i.e, more then half a season). Feel free to add surprise players to your own lists.

No prize but bragging rights if you can pick a breakout darkhorse

For me its;

Douglas 25%
Mackay 15%
Otten 10%
CEY 40%
FOG 70%
Kelly 15%
Atkins 60%
Knight 80%
Gooch 100%
Poholke 5%
Stengle 5%
Jones 5%
McHenry 5%
Mcpherson 2%
Keath 50%
Davis 5%
O'Brien 20%

Best of luck and have fun!
 
Last edited:
Douglas 100%
Mackay 95%
Otten 10%
CEY 30%
Fog 30%
Kelly 80%
Atkins 100%
Knight 60%
Gooch 90%
Poholke 20%
Stengle 5%
Jones 20%
McHenry 15%
McPherson 1% (doubt he even plays 12 SANFL games)
Keath 90%
Davis 10%
O'Brien < 5%
McAdam 30%
Murphy 50%
 

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Douglas 100%
Mackay 95%
Otten 10%
CEY 30%
Fog 30%
Kelly 80%
Atkins 100%
Knight 60%
Gooch 90%
Poholke 20%
Stengle 5%
Jones 20%
McHenry 15%
McPherson 1% (doubt he even plays 12 SANFL games)
Keath 90%
Davis 10%
O'Brien < 5%
McAdam 30%
Murphy 50%
I would have Keath lower because he faces the dual threat of getting injured and getting dropped when Harto is fit. Sadly.

Other than that, it mirrors my thoughts.
 
Douglas 100%
Mackay 100%
Otten 50%
CEY 0%
Fogarty 0%
Kelly 100%
Atkins 100%
Knight 50%
Gooch 100%
Poholke 0%
Stengle 0%
Jones 0%
McHenry 0%
Mcpherson 0%
Keath 50%
Davis 0%
O'Brien 0%
McAdam 0%
Murphy 0%
Cheers, personally I think the age of Dougy and Mackay is behind us, dont get me wrong I know they will play games, but whether they play half the season or not i'm pretty doubtful.

Dougy has a better opportunity as he is so flexible and is generally well regarded in the club, but having said that I wouldn't put him in our top 8 forwards, mids or defenders anymore. And we have guys like Sloane, Knight, Milera, and Greenwood who can play the jack of all trades role.

I know the running joke is we will never drop these guys, but 2019 might finally be the end! At least thats what i'm predicting
 
Last edited:
Douglas 100%
Mackay 95%
Otten 10%
CEY 30%
Fog 30%
Kelly 80%
Atkins 100%
Knight 60%
Gooch 90%
Poholke 20%
Stengle 5%
Jones 20%
McHenry 15%
McPherson 1% (doubt he even plays 12 SANFL games)
Keath 90%
Davis 10%
O'Brien < 5%
McAdam 30%
Murphy 50%
Lol, Yeah you're probably spot on about McPherson
 
Cheers, personally I think the age of Dougy and Mackay is behind us, dont get me wrong I know they will play games, but whether they play half the season or not i'm pretty doubtful.

Dougy has a better opportunity as he is so flexible and is generally well regarded in the club, but having said that I wouldn't put him in our top 8 forwards, mids or defenders anymore. And we have guys like Sloane, Knight, Milera, and Greenwood who can play the jack of all trades role.

I know the running joke is we will never drop these guys, but 2019 might finally be the end! At least thats what i'm predicting

When in doubt, the s**t aging player always plays at the AFC
 

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