The Break Even Thread

[Quazza]

Drummond is a keeper as far as I'm concerned. Averaging 80+ is more than sufficient to be the 7th or even 6th backman.

You are much better off upgrading your team from worst to best - in other words try to upgrade guys like Beams, Rich, Walker/M.Brown, Skipworth before you upgrade guys like Hasleby, Ziebell. Borderline keepers like Drummond & Higgins can wait till last. That way you ensure that every trade gets you good value.

yeah that's a fair point actually. On that logic, It should really Suban I look to update

 

[grimlock]

What makes me angry is that all of FanFooty, Too Serious, and FF Genie all have differant breakevens!

The differences are miniscule anyway, we're talking about a maxmium of 3 points discrepancy. I'm sure that's not going to make a smidgin of difference whether to trade a player in/out. In any case, the actual BE is dependant on the total scoring for the upcoming round, so it is IMPOSSIBLE to calculate the exact Breakeven.

PS. FFGenie is more right

 

[Quazza]

Drummond is a keeper as far as I'm concerned. Averaging 80+ is more than sufficient to be the 7th or even 6th backman.

You are much better off upgrading your team from worst to best - in other words try to upgrade guys like Beams, Rich, Walker/M.Brown, Skipworth before you upgrade guys like Hasleby, Ziebell. Borderline keepers like Drummond & Higgins can wait till last. That way you ensure that every trade gets you good value.

Hey cheers for the tip Kid. Worked out by trading Walker for Mcaffer, I free up enough $$ to be able to upgrade Suban to Mackie

 

[thesmallprint]

Jaxon Barham: -44
Dayne Beams: 32
Levi Greenwood: -53
Luke Hodge: 104
Lance Franklin: 132
Nick Suban: 25
Daniel Rich: 50
Hamish Hartlett: -6
Jared Petrenko: 41
Taylor Walker: 71
Joel Corey: 119
Nick Riewoldt: 66

Looks like Rich, Petrenko and even Suban are getting fairly close to peaking. Have to watch them over the next 2 weeks. Greenwood is a good target if you are ditching Suban already (If he gets 50 that will make you $30 grand in one week, I don't think Suban has that much left in him tbh). Walker needs to go this week if you still have him.

Beams could be worth trading, depending on the injury. If you got Hartlett probably have to just hold on to him for 3-4 weeks.

I like Voldt as an upgrade this week if you can but I'd wait on Hodge, Franklin and Corey at this stage.

 

[banana_bus]

Looks like Rich, Petrenko and even Suban are getting fairly close to peaking. Have to watch them over the next 2 weeks. Greenwood is a good target if you are ditching Suban already (If he gets 50 that will make you $30 grand in one week, I don't think Suban has that much left in him tbh). Walker needs to go this week if you still have him.

Beams could be worth trading, depending on the injury. If you got Hartlett probably have to just hold on to him for 3-4 weeks.

I like Voldt as an upgrade this week if you can but I'd wait on Hodge, Franklin and Corey at this stage.

Rich isnt close yet, if he gets another 75+ which is likely, he will have a low B/E next week as his Geelong game score will disapear.

 

[KR37]

Looks like Rich, Petrenko and even Suban are getting fairly close to peaking. Have to watch them over the next 2 weeks. Greenwood is a good target if you are ditching Suban already (If he gets 50 that will make you $30 grand in one week, I don't think Suban has that much left in him tbh). Walker needs to go this week if you still have him.

Beams could be worth trading, depending on the injury. If you got Hartlett probably have to just hold on to him for 3-4 weeks.

I like Voldt as an upgrade this week if you can but I'd wait on Hodge, Franklin and Corey at this stage.

I wouldn't be so sure. Both could be in for massive games against the Dons, particularly Buddy.

 

[Decipher]

Walker is really giving me the shits.
Guy needs to pull his finger out Hill style.

Has he had limited ToG or just stinking it up?
E.g. should I be looking to offload his ass or hold?

 

[banana_bus]

Walker is really giving me the shits.
Guy needs to pull his finger out Hill style.

Has he had limited ToG or just stinking it up?
E.g. should I be looking to offload his ass or hold?

The game last week (against Melbourne) he started on the bench and Adelaides style was just shite. Probably played 50% of the first half, maybe a bit more in the 2nd half but they were dominated.

This week he had 70% TOG and they got smashed. Not sure if they have too many options so may be worth holding on to.

 

[Ollies]

The game last week (against Melbourne) he started on the bench and Adelaides style was just shite. Probably played 50% of the first half, maybe a bit more in the 2nd half but they were dominated.

This week he had 70% TOG and they got smashed. Not sure if they have too many options so may be worth holding on to.

Not only do Adelaide have few options but also DTers have few options to downgrade Walker to. The Magpie board has a thread for likely changes to this weeks side to play Saints and about 50% of posters are dropping McAffer. Might be best to hold Walker even if he's dropped and wait for Sidey or even build up cash and upgrade Walker if you have say Ziebell on field who could then drop back to 8th forward.

 

[FandangoDingo]

I wouldn't be so sure. Both could be in for massive games against the Dons, particularly Buddy.

x2

All well 'n' good to wait for a week for Buddy with a b/e of 130+, but he's been making a tradition of tearing the Bombers a new one. 130+ is gettable, especially given no Fletcher and our inexperienced backline.

 

[Hodges]

The confidence isnt there though. Everytime he has dominated Essendon, he has gone in with reasonable form. I think this could be a game that gets him going, but I dont really see him scoring over 110.

 

[banana_bus]

The confidence isnt there though. Everytime he has dominated Essendon, he has gone in with reasonable form. I think this could be a game that gets him going, but I dont really see him scoring over 110.

Id rather have the 110pts instead of saving a measly 5k.

 

[LemmingMaster]

Id rather have the 110pts instead of saving a measly 5k.

points v potential $$$ savings...Sometimes you have to forget about a few $$ for some points.

 

[Hodges]

I highly doubt he will score 110+, thats where I would put his ceiling for the game. And the 5k is vitally important for me - I need him to drop about 5-10 and Corey to drop 10 for me to bring them both in. Hoping he struggles against Sydney this week.

 

[phealey]

Buddy could also score a 50, and Roughy might kick a bag. I don't think he'll get anywhere near his B/E this week and probably drop for the next few weeks.

I wouldn't be picking him up until he shows a bit of form, He's certainly not in the premium category this year. In fact Roughead is probably a better proposition at a little over 315k.

 

[coast2coast]

Mitch Robinson's BE?

 

[Ben the Gooner]

42, but it's not going to do him much good at the Bullants.

 

[sticksmyhero]

same gilberts be?

 

[Virgil]

same gilberts be?

53.

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