The math behind multis

[Lensen]

Cheers Watts. This is how you do it ladies and gentlemen. Naysayers can mock me all they like but in a deadset sertainty such as Hawthorn Vs St Kilda or Western Bulldogs Vs Sydney HT/FT does give you extra value

or collingwood/GWS amirite

 

[iluvparis]

Always hedge your bet kids or you will regret it, or you will be one of those people who always talks about the 1 leg/bet that they missed "my last leg stuffed my multi, I was 2 points off ect ect" I have been there done that many times.

Good luck and happy punting.

Doesn't it just mean you have a lot of 'damn - my second last leg stuffed me from being able to hedge the last leg of my multi' stories?

 

[Watts4Dinner]

View attachment 26120

I'm so proud right meow.

 

[DragzLS1]

Doesn't it just mean you have a lot of 'damn - my second last leg stuffed me from being able to hedge the last leg of my multi' stories?

If you are referring to my dogs into pies hedge then that is the first time I have actually done that. you don't hedge unless you are up to your last leg (even though i broke that rule last week). Ideally the last leg at odds of $1.40 would be a good position to be in as you would be hedging around $3+

This is offcourse only if you are expecting close to a $1000+ win otherwise I wouldn't even bother

So last leg is Sydney @ $1.45 to beat the pies and I am expecting $1000 win, then I put $300-$350 on the pies @ $2.75 which will return either $1000 -$350 I spent ($650 profit) or pies win outright for $962.50 -$350 ($612.50 profit).

I know I would prefer $600odd profit rather then a possibility to win nothing.

 

[Kynge of Begrem]

If you are referring to my dogs into pies hedge then that is the first time I have actually done that. you don't hedge unless you are up to your last leg (even though i broke that rule last week). Ideally the last leg at odds of $1.40 would be a good position to be in as you would be hedging around $3+

This is offcourse only if you are expecting close to a $1000+ win otherwise I wouldn't even bother

So last leg is Sydney @ $1.45 to beat the pies and I am expecting $1000 win, then I put $300-$350 on the pies @ $2.75 which will return either $1000 -$350 I spent ($650 profit) or pies win outright for $962.50 -$350 ($612.50 profit).

I know I would prefer $600odd profit rather then a possibility to win nothing.

then why not just leave the pies out of it?

 

[Watts4Dinner]

then why not just leave the pies out of it?

But then he would have to hedge the leg before as that would be the last leg now.

Hedgeception

 

[DragzLS1]

then why not just leave the pies out of it?

I think Sydney will win, but collingwood are a chance to upset, that is what betting is about, odds ect.. And without that the multi returns alot less. I understand what your saying but I may aswell just not multi anything and bet individually. Either way just offering my opinion, should always hedge where possible if a decent amount of money is involved. If you dont want to then thats fine.

 

[laam]

If you are referring to my dogs into pies hedge then that is the first time I have actually done that. you don't hedge unless you are up to your last leg (even though i broke that rule last week). Ideally the last leg at odds of $1.40 would be a good position to be in as you would be hedging around $3+

This is offcourse only if you are expecting close to a $1000+ win otherwise I wouldn't even bother

So last leg is Sydney @ $1.45 to beat the pies and I am expecting $1000 win, then I put $300-$350 on the pies @ $2.75 which will return either $1000 -$350 I spent ($650 profit) or pies win outright for $962.50 -$350 ($612.50 profit).

I know I would prefer $600odd profit rather then a possibility to win nothing.

If you didn't include the swans pies leg then your multi would have paid $689. Higher than with hedging.
That's everyone's point.

 

[Kynge of Begrem]

If you didn't include the swans pies leg then your multi would have paid $689. Higher than with hedging.
That's everyone's point.

Thank you.

 

[Jugada]

My head hurts...

 

[Dominion]

Last Sunday I had $100 on a $10 nag that got up. I grabbed the 1k and chucked it on Sydney line at 1.90. Then I thought "whoa if this loses ill have nothing!" So I went to the ATM, got some money out and had 1k on the bulldogs line at 1.90. That way I was GUARANTEED to be up $800 regardless of who won!

 

[foxy_dal]

No wonder the bookies make so much money! I don't think a lot of punters realise how multis actually work and think that by putting events together they are getting more value then taking singles.

What was said above is like putting 500 on the Hawks -54.5 tonight at $1.91 then saying I will hedge with 500 on the Saints +54.5 at $1.91.

 

[Kynge of Begrem]

Yeah and last Friday night i had $100 on a 3 legger paying $3.12 Manly Line previous monday/roosters H2H/Geelong H2H. With the roosters pretty much safe and geelong chasing tail i hedged live at 3qtr time and put a greenie on North paying $2. That way if my multi loses i don't finish in the red. And that's exactly what happened so yeah it does work and there is merit in hedging the last leg. Take it from the expert!!!

Ah Hazza, promise me you'll never leave this forum *mwuh*

 

[Lensen]

Yeah and last Friday night i had $100 on a 3 legger paying $3.12 Manly Line previous monday/roosters H2H/Geelong H2H. With the roosters pretty much safe and geelong chasing tail i hedged live at 3qtr time and put a greenie on North paying $2. That way if my multi loses i don't finish in the red. And that's exactly what happened so yeah it does work and there is merit in hedging the last leg. Take it from the expert!!!

what odds did you get for the manly line and the roosters H2H

 

[Nothing]

View attachment 26120

what odds did you get for the manly line and the roosters H2H

1.92 and $2 for $3.84

EDIT: Oops wrong multi. They're hard to keep track of.

 

[Rooster Cogburn]

Can KP be un-redcarded, this alias is well annoying.

 

[KardiniaPark]

Can KP be un-redcarded, this alias is well annoying.

 

[Kynge of Begrem]

welcome back KP, so is the end of Harry?

 

[KardiniaPark]

I must say the timing is terrible, I havent seen him since I came back.

 

[Kynge of Begrem]

I must say the timing is terrible, I havent seen him since I came back.

*amazing*

 

[KardiniaPark]

Superman, ill take that

 

[Lensen]

 

[KardiniaPark]

 

[KardiniaPark]

Then back against the all blacks in play.

 

[Kynge of Begrem]

Oh the horror of being compared with KP

Here comes another multi:

Port - 15.5
Cowboys H2H
All Blacks H2H
@$2.85

Might take the cowboys HT/FT in the name of "extra value" LoL

Then back against the all blacks in play.

KP arguing with Harry - can't shake this feeling