Prediction The month ahead - Port, Crows, Dogs & Eagles
- Thread starter catempire
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- Jun 17, 2010
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We've beaten 1 top 8 team which was at home and then beaten 11th,15th,16th and 17th. We've then lost to 3rd,5th,6th and 13th which means 3 out of our 4 losses are against top 8 teams. That's not a record of a team in the mix imo.
Most of the other teams you pointed out are at least 50/50 in win losses with the exception of the Us and the Tiges which is the 7th and 8th team, (in other words, the 2 worst teams in the 8) I think we would have beaten Saints and Freo in the past, but not this year.
That's middle of the road for me, and our ladder position accurately reflects that. A soft draw coming up in the back half of the year might allow us to finish higher again, but I think we're a bog average team this year going backwards.
Surely it makes more sense to lock this thread. the month ahead starts halfway thru?
Well the next month or whatever between these 2 threads
With the team - currently got - Stanley out - Dangerfielld out - Holmes ( easily the best of the youngsters ) out - Henry Rohan etc both out - i cant see us getting near the Bulldogs ( at Docklands where they play very well ) and i think they will beat us by 6-8 goals
I think the Rich game we will probably lose as well - about2-3 goals - we will win the other 2 games tho
Weve had the Bulldogs measure for a long time - if they cant get hold of us this week - they never will
With the team - currently got - Stanley out - Dangerfielld out - Holmes ( easily the best of the youngsters ) out - Henry Rohan etc both out - i cant see us getting near the Bulldogs ( at Docklands where they play very well ) and i think they will beat us by 6-8 goals
I think the Rich game we will probably lose as well - about2-3 goals - we will win the other 2 games tho
Weve had the Bulldogs measure for a long time - if they cant get hold of us this week - they never will
SDK is the best of our youngsters and it's not even close.
Nup - my golden rule is - i never bet against Geel - because their is no joy in it for me - im not one of these where i chuck something on the opposition because they look to be good odds
The only time i would have a decent bet ( saver on the opposition ) is in a GF - say at the start of this year you had 1k on Cats to win the flag at $12 - and if Geel made the GF - then you would have a decent saver on the opposition - so no matter what the result - you still win a handsome sum
CatToTheFuture
Brownlow Medallist
- Aug 18, 2018
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I'm hoping my prediction knocks me out of the running this week. A win at marvel would be good
FWIW - if you want to win - betting on AFL - you wont win if you are backing teams just to win the game head to head - you can win however if you back teams to win by very big margins
Best example ever - is the last round of h/away 2011 Coll v Geel . Coll had 3 topliners out - there were 2 already out - and Leon Davis withdrew on the day of the game - however the Cats were still outsiders - and were an incredible $9 to win by plus 39.5pts - Cats smashed the Magpies by 96 pts
Last years Cats v Tigers ( the 1st meeting in the year ) is another good example - Cats won by nearly 70 pts - you could have got similar odds to above
If you are really keen on a team to win a game - back them to win by really big margins - and you get tremendous odds in a 2 horse race
That Market has now totally changed - re TAB.Com
WB $1.85 Geel $1.95
So the big early money is for the Dogs - and i reckon the money for them will continue all week - and come the start of the game - i reckon they will be about $1.72 - and we will be out to $2.10 maybe even a touch longer
I was pleasantly surprised when we beat GWS in Canberra - and i will be pleasantly surprised if we win this week
CatToTheFuture
Brownlow Medallist
- Aug 18, 2018
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- Nov 7, 2010
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- WADA
They couldn't could they?
No. We’ll win by a lot.
- Oct 31, 2013
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Wow, Hope he/ she is right.
CatToTheFuture
Brownlow Medallist
- Aug 18, 2018
- 25,890
- 41,479
- AFL Club
- Geelong
Melbourne 4th?
Brisbane 2nd?
I don't know about this guy, think we should check his credentials
catstorm
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- Dec 9, 2011
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Do you know what the best part is? If by some miracle he is right and we run the table from here our reward would be a "Home" qualifying final against the Demons at the MCG
Vdubs
Hall of Famer
Yep, my golden rule, I never bet.
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