The NBA 2010/11 Thread

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Thread starter #5,201
Will add that now as I think the line will move closer towards 6 (better not go other way :rolleyes:).
Actually opened at -4.5 in some places in the States so it's more likely to increase, Sportingbet already have them at -5.5.

Spurs into Hawks looking like a very solid play tomorrow at over $2.
 

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Barnzy

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That's odd. Maybe one of James/Bosh/Wade are out? 9 on Bet 365 at the moment.

Only worry I see with that bet is someone said the other week that Miami seem to play better and are more focused away from home when they are getting booed whereas at home when getting cheered they take it easy and just cruise especially against easy teams. I agree with that.

  • Heat are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5.
  • Heat are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record
  • Heat are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
  • Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.
  • Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite

Also

  • Bucks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Underdog is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
  • Road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings

All points to Bucks covering. Still, sometimes you can focus too much on stats and Bucks are a horrible team especially without Jennings which is important to factor in. Hopefully it gets up for you. I might leave it alone with those trends, don't know what will happen. Could be close or a massive blowout.
 
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Thread starter #5,205
That's odd. Maybe one of James/Bosh/Wade are out? 9 on Bet 365 at the moment.

Only worry I see with that bet is someone said the other week that Miami seem to play better and are more focused away from home when they are getting booed whereas at home when getting cheered they take it easy and just cruise especially against easy teams. I agree with that.

  • Heat are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5.
  • Heat are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record
  • Heat are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
  • Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.
  • Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite
Yeah they are 5 - 12 ATS at home which is a slight worry. At the moment i'm leaning just the Unders but considering the Bucks won't be able to make runs, if they get behind they should get blown out as shown in their 3 losses without Jennings. Spoelstra did emphasise his team can't have lapses and become lazy a few days ago, it seemed to register today, should carry over. May just run with it as they have the Bucks again 2 days after so if they don't play well, they will in Milwaukee. Not sure, like the Unders much more.
 

Barnzy

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Maybe because Bargnani is expected to play. They've been pathetic on offense without him. Although this would've been known when the line opened.
 
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Thread starter #5,209
Maybe because Bargnani is expected to play. They have been pathetic on offense without him. Although this would've been known when the line opened.
Reckon it helps the Bulls personally. Boozer will absolutely dominate and players coming back from a lay off don't normally come out firing first game back, reckon Andrea might be throwing up a few bricks tomorrow which will help the Bulls and the Unders. DeRozan has been scoring well, Andrea back may affect that, not sure how these two will work together now, they may be really off tomorrow. Lineup is too unsettle to cover here i think especially with Calderon questionable and Weems still out who gives them a bit off the bench.
 
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Thread starter #5,210
Now the Hawks line dropping from -6.5 to -5 against the Kings. May have something to do with the Hawks having Utah the day after but the Kings are terrible.
 

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Just a little stat on that play, apparently teams coming off a Lakers victory are 9 - 1 ATS this year.

Love your other play though, will be one of my bigger ones i think.
Cheers Cruiser. Fair stat. Also line has moved to -1. Should have held off till this morning as Grizzles would be the public play for sure after last start. Not worried though, I still think the win and cover. Only spot I miss now is 1pt win. I would lose while others now push. No harm no foul. GO THUNDER!

Good luck on your plays today Cruiser :thumbsu:
 
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Hi all, thanks for your thoughts... i'm fairly similar.

Gone for one long-odds multi.
SAS - ATL - OKL (All At Line) @ 6.85

What are everyones thoughts on Portland. Took them at 2.35. They aren't travelling well, but I think Dirks out. He stook in their way last time

CORRECTION: Dirk is definately out
 

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Cheers Cruiser. Fair stat. Also line has moved to -1. Should have held off till this morning as Grizzles would be the public play for sure after last start. Not worried though, I still think the win and cover. Only spot I miss now is 1pt win. I would lose while others now push. No harm no foul. GO THUNDER!

Good luck on your plays today Cruiser :thumbsu:
OKC is the public play, Memphis showing RLM

im not fooled though, im on OKC -1
 

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Liked all dogs today... Just went with the stronger leans.

Hopefully chose the right ones :D
 
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i put Memphis +5 to +8 in all my multi teasers... simply OKC continues to be overrated by everyone including the oddsmakers... so i will keep betting against them when they play half ok teams..... they arent what they were last year
 
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