Assuming Dragic, Robinson, Butler, Crowder, Bam with Herro and Iggy getting big minutes like today it depends what Miami's strategies are.How do the Lakers approach the Heat?
I changed my mind fairly fast after replyingAbsolutely astonishing effort from Miami to get to the finals this season. Unbelievable the transformation they've made from last year to this year. Think a lot of people were surprised when Jimmy Butler decided to sign there, I thought there was a roadmap for them to become good once they got some of those bad contracts (James Johnson, Olynyk, Waiters, Winslow) off the booksu but thought they'd struggle to go far this season, first round at best. Bam, Herro and Duncan Robinson have exceeded anything I could possibly expect from them this season and Jimmy and Dragic have provided great experience.
Incredible work from Spo and Pat Riley to get them to the Finals this year. It's hard to see the Lakers not winning but hope they give them a real show, didn't give Miami much hope against Milwaukee either so hope they prove me wrong again.
Think they are going to be a good chance at signing Giannis as a free agent in 12 months time, things looking very promising for them
Interesting Miami only really played a 7 man rotationAssuming Dragic, Robinson, Butler, Crowder, Bam with Herro and Iggy getting big minutes like today it depends what Miami's strategies are.
LA are predictable. They go through LeBron, they go through AD or sometimes they go through playoff Rondo. Or David Caruso if they have to. So far they've played Portland (Dame), Houston (beard) and Denver (Jokic/Murray) who are also fairly predictable.
In the ECF Dragic scored 29, Butler 24, Robinson 20, Herro 37, Crowder 22, Bam 32. Miami can win without Bam having a big game inside, or without Herro/Robinson going full Steph and Klay, or without their star in Butler being the man. They don't have the star power of LA, but they do have more avenues to scoring. They also have reasonable 1 on 1 matchups for LeBron and AD. Will be an interesting series tactically. LA's tactics at any given time are basically pick 3 players that best complement LeBron and AD in shutting down whoever the opposition have on the court then the big 2 will score most of the points on offence. Miami don't have that luxury so have to balance stoppers vs scorers, bigs vs smalls etc. more.
I don't think McGee should get any minutes the Heat are just to active without the ball plus Morris has been a super reliable shooter for them. They should definitely try Dwight as I expect they send Iggy/Crowder to him and leave Bam on Davis.The fascinating thing is how will the Lakers deploy McGee and Dwight. The Heat have an athletic forward structure comprising of Butler, Crowder and Bam. They can play inside and out.
I’m not sure Butler will be given big minutes on Lebron. He or Iggy will probably switch onto him at the most important moments of the game but I expect Crowder to guard him for the majority of the series.Gonna be a fascinating series of hide the mismatch
Butler gets Bron and Bam will likely get Davis
Which means a while lot of foxing trying to hunt a mismatch
Miami can hide guys on Rondo and to a lesser extent Caruso
The play of Danny green and kuzma could decide this series
Crowder moves like an arthritic elephantI don't think McGee should get any minutes the Heat are just to active without the ball plus Morris has been a super reliable shooter for them. They should definitely try Dwight as I expect they send Iggy/Crowder to him and leave Bam on Davis.
It's going to be very interesting how the heat defend this series. I doubt they can run the same zone as they did against the Celtics that had the guards on the back line considering the Lakers size.
I’m not sure Butler will be given big minutes on Lebron. He or Iggy will probably switch onto him at the most important moments of the game but I expect Crowder to guard him for the majority of the series.
Not sure how many minutes Rondo will get. The fourth quarter of game 5 against Denver seemed like the Vogel and Lebron really tried to make sure they closed out the game and Rondo didn’t get on the court.
Agree a lot hinges on the ability of Kuzma, Caruso, Green and KCP’s ability to make open shots.