The Run Home - Season 28

[Ljp86]

The Run Home is back!! Yes, after a long hiatus, The Run Home is back for this season and is your look into the race to make the top eight. With three rounds to go, the race for the finals is heating up with a few clubs already locked into the finals with the remainder jostling for positions inside the eight as we reach the business end of the season. Let's have a look at the run home to the finals and see where your club is placed with three home and away rounds left in Season 28.


Mount Buller Demons

Won: 9
Lost: 3
Drawn: 1
Percentage: 108.14%
Points: 38


Remaining Fixtures

Round 14: Dragons FFC at Ljp86's Lair
Round 15: Gumbies FFC at TBC
Round 16: Las Vegas Bears at Snow Dome


Mount Buller plays a fairly pivotal match in Round 14 against Dragons FFC at Ljp86's Lair having secured their place in the finals two rounds ago. The game against the Dragons could really set-up the Demons' season in that a win would guarantee the Demons a top four finish regardless of other results and could potentially lock them into a top two spot if Sin City Swamprats lose to Baghdad Bombers. A loss could see the Demons come right back to the pack and they may find themselves only half a game clear of fourth place come the end of Round 14 if results do not fall their way.

The last part of the draw opens up for the Dees, facing Gumbies FFC in the penultimate round while a date with the Bears at home greets them in Round 16.


Highest Possible Finish: First

Three wins to finish the season would see the Demons claim the minor premiership for the second time in three seasons and earn themselves a home qualifying final. Lose any matches from here and they'll be relying on Fighting Furies to also lose at least one game in order to maintain top spot on the ladder.


Lowest Possible Finish: Fifth

With nine wins on the board, the Demons can't drop any lower than fifth place thanks to their 14 point buffer over West Coast Wonders in sixth position. Three losses to finish the season would put the Demons' top four hopes in jeopardy and they could finish as low as fifth.


Outlook

The Demons are in the box seat for a top four finish and just one more win from their last three games will sew up a double chance. The Dragons will be a tricky prospect for the Demons away from home but they'll start warm favourites in their matches against the Gumbies and Bears. A top two finish and a crack at a third premiership beckons.




Fighting Furies

Won: 9
Lost: 4
Percentage: 105.76%
Points: 36

Remaining Fixtures

Round 14: West Coast Wonders at rfctigerarmy's hippodrome
Round 15: Las Vegas Bears at TBC
Round 16: Dragons FFC at Ljp86's Lair


Fighting Furies host West Coast Wonders at rfctigerarmy's hippodrome in Round 14 having secured a finals berth last week. The last two rounds sees the Furies taking on the Bears in Round 15 while an away encounter against Dragons FFC awaits the Furies in the final round of the season. A win over the Wonders in their coming fixture could see the Furies lock up a top four spot if East Side Hawks come up short against Roys FFC and would see them stay at least one game ahead of the chasing Sin City Swamprats and Dragons FFC in third and fourth place respectively. A loss to the Wonders might see the Furies finish as low as fourth at the end of the round should the Swamprats and Dragons both be victorious.


Highest Possible Finish: First

The Furies can finish as high as first but need the Demons to drop at least one game in the last three rounds to overtake them on the ladder. Round 14 might be their best chance with the Demons having to travel to Ljp86's Lair to take on the Dragons with the Furies hosting the Wonders in the same round.


Lowest Possible Finish: Seventh

Three losses to finish the season could see the Furies potentially slip to seventh place. The chances of this are slim with some of the mid-ranked sides playing each other in the closing rounds.


Outlook

The Furies sit a game clear of third and fourth place and remain in a good spot to secure a top two finish. Two more wins will guarantee a top four berth and could be enough to claim top two if some results go their way. With matches against the Wonders and Bears in the next two rounds, they'll be looking to lock those games down before a tricky encounter with the Dragons awaits them in the final round.




Sin City Swamprats

Won: 7
Lost: 4
Drawn: 2
Percentage: 106.26%
Points: 32


Remaining Fixtures

Round 14: Baghdad Bombers at Abdu Prison
Round 15: East Side Hawks at TBC
Round 16: Coney Island Warriors at Underground Stadium

Sin City Swamprats have a moderate draw to finish the season facing the Bombers in Round 14 before match-ups against the Hawks in Round 15 and then a home game to finish the home and away rounds against the Warriors. A win against the Bombers would see the Swamprats lock up a finals spot and would put them one step further to securing a top four finish and the coveted double chance for the finals series. On the other hand, a loss could see them slip as low as fifth if results in other games go against them.


Highest Possible Finish: First

The Swamprats can finish as high at first should they win their remaining three games for season with the Demons and Furies suffering slip-ups in the final three rounds. It's not impossible but the 'Rats will need results to firm in their favour in the last three weeks of the home and away season for this to occur.


Lowest Possible Finish: Ninth

Three losses to finish the season coupled with some unfavourable results in other matches would see the Swamprats miss the finals. The chances of this happening are slim but is still a mathematical possibility.


Outlook

The Swamprats sit third and have a reasonable draw to finish the season, not playing any of the other sides in the top four. If the 'Rats can bank a win over the Bombers in Round 14 they'll secure a finals spot and can then work on cementing a top four berth. With matches against the Hawks and Warriors to follow, the Swamprats have their top four destiny in their own hands.




Dragons FFC

Won: 8
Lost: 5
Percentage: 104.25%
Points: 32


Remaining Fixtures

Round 14: Mount Buller Demons at Ljp86's Lair
Round 15: West Coast Wonders at TBC
Round 16: Fighting Furies at Ljp86's Lair

Dragons FFC have a fairly tough draw to finish the season with two of their last three games against the top two sides. The silver lining for the Dragons is both of those games are at home with their other match against West Coast Wonders in Round 15.

Round 14 sees the Dragons face Mount Buller Demons in what is a huge match for the club. If results fall favourably for the Dragons, a win could potentially put them inside the top two and be half a game away from top spot with two rounds to play along with securing a finals spot for Season 28. A loss to the Demons could see them fall as low as fifth come the end of Round 14.


Highest Possible Finish: First

The Dragons can finish first with three wins to finish the season along with the Demons dropping at least one more game. The big advantage for the Dragons with their draw is they can inflict losses on the teams competing with them for a top four berth, another silver lining despite the tough run home. The Swamprats would also need to lose one game or have three very narrow victories in this scenario as well.


Lowest Possible Finish: Ninth

Should the Dragons lose their last three matches of the season coupled with results in other games going against them, the islanders would miss the finals. While the chances of this happening are small, it still remains a mathematical possibility.


Outlook

After a 2-5 start to the season, the Dragons have won six games in a row and that sees them sit fourth. Matches against the Demons and Furies will be tough but they can take some solace in knowing both of those matches will take place in the comforts of their home ground. If the Dragons can win one of the last two matches at home and along with the match against the Wonders that should be enough to secure a top four finish.

 

[Ljp86]

East Side Hawks

Won: 7
Lost: 6
Points: 28
Percentage: 100.45%

Remaining Fixtures

Round 14: Roys FFC at The Eyrie
Round 15: Sin City Swamprats at TBC
Round 16: Baghdad Bombers at The Eyrie

East Side Hawks face Roys FFC in Round 14 before a date with Sin City Swamprats and Baghdad Bombers follow in the last two rounds. Overall it's a fairly decent draw, facing only one team above them on the ladder in the last three rounds of the season. A win for the Hawks coupled with a loss to the Coney Island Warriors in Round 14 would see the Hawks secure a finals spot and would also keep pressure on the teams above them for a top four berth. A heavy loss to the Roys coupled with wins to the Royals, Wonders and a big win by the Warriors could potentially see the Hawks fall as a low as ninth with two rounds to play.


Highest Possible Finish: First

The Hawks can still finish as high as first but would need the Demons to lose all of their remaining three matches while the Furies would also need to stumble badly along and rely on the Swamprats and Dragons to also have at least one loss to finish the season. While still a mathematical chance of happening, it would require a number of results to fall in their favour and this appears fairly unlikely.


Lowest Possible Finish: 11th

A bad finish to the season could see the Hawks finish as low as 11th should other teams below them register wins. This scenario also has the Bombers registering three strong wins and the Bears also winning three games which they will need in order to jump the Hawks on the ladder.


Outlook

At 7-6, the Hawks hold their finals fate in their hands. One more win should be enough for finals and they'll be eyeing off the games against the Roys and Bombers to bank as wins. If they can win both of those, that should garner them a home elimination final at the very least while victory in all three would see them in the hunt for a top four finish.




West Coast Wonders

Won: 6
Lost: 7
Points: 24
Percentage: 104.18%

Remaining Fixtures

Round 14: Fighting Furies at rfctigerarmy's hippodrome
Round 15: Dragons FFC at TBC
Round 16: Gold City Royals at The Golden Throne

West Coast Wonders face a tough draw in the final three rounds, coming against up top four aspirants in Fighting Furies and Dragons FFC while a match-up against the Royals awaits in the Wonders in the last round of the season. The match in Round 14 against the Furies looms as a big one with victory putting them onto seven wins and that could potentially be enough to see them through to the finals. A loss to the Furies might see the Wonders fall as low as ninth by the end of the round should the teams around and below them register victories.



Highest Possible Finish: Second

A strong finish to the season coupled with some losses to the sides above them on the ladder could see the Wonders finish the home and away season as high as second. However, this would rely on the Furies losing all three games and the Swamprats and Dragons losing two matches while the Hawks would also need to lose at least one fixture. Not impossible but pretty unlikely.


Lowest Possible Finish: 12th

Three losses to finish the season along with the sides below them registering victories could see the Wonders finish 12th and therefore win the wooden spoon. For this to happen, Gumbies FFC would need to win their remaining three matches as would Baghdad Bombers although the Bombers could still overtake the Wonders with two big wins. Las Vegas Bears would also need to win at least two games for this to occur as well.


Outlook

The Wonders have a fairly tough draw to finish the season but they have one thing in their favour, a strong percentage. The Wonders' percentage is significantly better than the sides below them and is something they'll be able to utilise in order to hold onto a top eight spot. Due to this, it's plausible the Wonders could win one of their last three games and finish inside the top eight, provided they don't suffer big losses in their other fixtures and the teams behind them don't register more than seven wins for the season. The Wonders' game against the Royals could be huge with the sides potentially playing each other for a finals berth in the final round of the season.




Gold City Royals

Won: 6
Lost: 7
Points: 24
Percentage: 98.18%

Remaining Fixtures

Round 14: Gumbies FFC at The Golden Throne
Round 15: Baghdad Bombers at TBC
Round 16: West Coast Wonders at The Golden Throne

Gold City Royals have a fairly favourable draw in the final three rounds, coming up against bottom two clubs in Gumbies FFC and Baghdad Bombers in Rounds 14 and 15 while a match-up against West Coast Wonders is scheduled for Round 16. A defeat of the Gumbies in the coming round would push the Royals to seven wins and would maintain the buffer they have over the sides below them along with putting them on the cusp of a finals berth. A loss meanwhile might see the Royals slip outside the eight should the Roys knock over the Hawks and the Warriors win big against the Bears.


Highest Possible Finish: Second

A trio of wins to complete the season coupled with losses to the sides above them on the ladder could see the Royals finish as high as second come the end of the home and away season. The scenario for this to occur is similar to the Wonders in that it relies on those sides falling over quite badly in the final three rounds. While still possible, a number of results would need to occur for this to happen and this is rather unlikely.


Lowest Possible Finish: 12th

A trio of losses however might see the Royals finish as low as 12th come the end of the season should results in other matches also go against them as well. This does however rely on some teams below them winning all of their matches with others losing only a maximum of one match. While it's plausible this could occur, it's unlikely to happen.


Outlook

The Royals' fate rests in their own hands. Two games against the bottom two sides is handy and victory in both of those should be enough to lock up a finals spot. If the Royals can win those games they will enter the final match of the season against the Wonders potentially with an outside chance of a top four spot if the sides above them encounter some issues in the closing rounds. Should things not go to plan, the Royals could potentially be fighting with the Wonders for a finals spot in the last round and could serve as a mini elimination final.




Roys FFC

Won: 6
Lost: 7
Points: 24
Percentage: 93.89%

Remaining Fixtures

Round 14: East Side Hawks at The Eyrie
Round 15: Coney Island Warriors at TBC
Round 16: Roys FFC vs Gumbies FFC at Brunswick Junction Oval

Roys FFC's draw for the last three games is fairly reasonable, facing only one top eight side in the Hawks in Round 14. After that, there are match-ups against fellow finals aspirant Coney Island Warriors while the last round sees the Roys host the Gumbies at Brunswick Junction Oval. Victory over East Side Hawks would snap a five match losing streak for the Roys but also would also set-up their season putting them on seven wins with two winnable games to play. A loss though might see the Roys slip outside the top eight if the Warriors can win and win well enough.


Highest Possible Finish: Second

Second place is the highest the Roys can finish with three rounds to play. This would involve the Roys winning their last three matches along with sides above them dropping multiple matches. The Roys would also need to win quite well in order to make up the percentage between them and the clubs above them on a ladder at the moment.


Lowest Possible Finish: 12th

Alternatively, the Roys could finish on the bottom of the ladder should they lose their remaining three matches while the clubs below them win their games. As per the scenario for the Wonders and Royals, this would mean some clubs would need to go through the last three rounds undefeated with other clubs needing at least two more wins.


Outlook

Despite a run of losses in recent weeks, the Roys are still a reasonable chance to play finals. Their upcoming match against the Hawks is winnable but the Roys' most pivotal game will be the one in Round 15 against Coney Island Warriors. A win over the Warriors, who sit in ninth place at the moment would be a massive dent to their finals chances but also enhance the Roys' own prospects of securing a finals berth. Depending on how the teams outside the eight fare in the next few weeks, one more win from the Roys might be enough but they'll want two in order to feel safe.

 

[Ljp86]

Coney Island Warriors

Won: 5
Lost: 7
Drawn: 1
Points: 20 (two point penalty)
Percentage: 90.44%

Remaining Fixtures

Round 14: Las Vegas Bears at The Stadium in the Sky
Round 15: Roys FFC at TBC
Round 16: Sin City Swamprats at Underground Stadium

Coney Island Warriors sit in ninth position and have a reasonable draw in the final three rounds of Season 28. First up is a trip to Las Vegas to take on the Bears in Round 14 before a crunch game follows against Roys FFC while the final round sees another away trip to face Sin City Swamprats. Next up for the Warriors is an away trip against the Bears, victory will severely dent the Bears' hopes of playing finals and may potentially push the Warriors into the eight come the end of the round. A loss meanwhile would see the Warriors slip to 10th, maybe even 11th if the Bombers can upset the Swamprats.


Highest Possible Finish: Third

A mini surge from the Warriors in the final three games would put the Warriors on 32 points overall and coupled with some favourable results in other games, would be enough for them to finish in third place. The Warriors would need to gain a significant amount of percentage in that time and also hope their opponents lose a similar amount of percentage too for this to occur. While this scenario is mathematically possible, it would be extremely unlikely with several results having to go to plan.


Lowest Possible Finish: 12th

A bad finish to the season by the Warriors along with the Bombers, Gumbies and Bears all registering wins could see them slip to the bottom of the ladder. The Coney Island squad have never won a wooden spoon so that is something they'll be keen to avoid.


Outlook

The next two weeks will determine whether the Warriors play finals or not. They simply must beat the Bears and the Roys to have any chance of making the eight, a loss in either of those games will make things very difficult. Two wins might be enough for them to make it but their poor percentage will make that tough so it's likely they'll need to win all three to finish in the eight.




Las Vegas Bears

Won: 5
Lost: 8
Points: 18 (two point penalty)
Percentage: 103.87%

Remaining Fixtures

Round 14: Coney Island Warriors at The Stadium in the Sky
Round 15: Fighting Furies vs Las Vegas Bears at TBC
Round 16: Mount Buller Demons vs Las Vegas Bears at The Snow Dome

Las Vegas face a tough path to the finals. First up is a match against fellow top eight contender Coney Island Warriors while the Bears then face the top two sides in Fighting Furies and Mount Buller Demons to finish the season. The Round 14 match against the Warriors will shape the Bears' run to the end of the season, beat the Warriors and they'll move into ninth place and potentially be just half a game outside the eight. Lose and they may find themselves out of finals contention with two games to play. It's a big clash for both sides and the winner will give themselves a chance to finish in the top eight.



Highest Possible Finish: Fifth

If the Bears can win their last three matches with a number of games producing some favourable results, then the Bears could finish as high as fifth and earn themselves a home elimination final. It would however rely on the Hawks not winning a game for the rest of the season and the Royals, Wonders and Roys all enduring their own struggles for this situation to occur.


Lowest Possible Finish: 12th

Should the Bears finish the last three games of the season with losses with the Bombers scoring one win and the Gumbies winning twice, the Bears could drop to 12th position come the end of the home and away rounds.


Outlook

It's a tough run home for the Bears but Round 14 is their priority first up and if they can beat the Warriors they'll give themselves a chance of making the finals. After that it's case of nothing to lose in facing the competition's leading two clubs. The Bears will rue the penalty handed to them earlier in the season, with the two point premiership point penalty putting the club out on sync with other clubs points tallies making their healthy percentage virtually irrelevant.




Baghdad Bombers

Won: 4
Lost: 9
Points: 16
Percentage: 88.73%

Remaining Fixtures

Round 14: Sin City Swamprats vs at Abdu Prison
Round 15: Gold City Royals at TBC
Round 16: East Side Hawks vs Baghdad Bombers at The Eyrie

Baghdad Bombers have an fairly tough draw in the last three games, facing Sin City Swamprats in Round 14 before fixtures against the Gold City Royals and East Side Hawks follow in Rounds 15 and 16 respectively. Sitting two games outside the eight, the Bombers must win against Sin City Swamprats in Round 14 to have any chance of playing finals in Season 28, lose and it will pretty much be curtains for the season which would be a disappointing outcome for the club after earning a semi final berth in Season 27.



Highest Possible Finish: Fifth

A flurry of wins to finish the season could see the Bombers finish in fifth position at the end of the home and away rounds if other results go their way. The Bombers would also need to make up a considerable amount of percentage in this scenario and also rely on a number of teams going winless for this to occur.


Lowest Possible Finish: 12th

A winless streak to finish the season coupled with at least one win from the Gumbies would see the Bombers finish with the wooden spoon in Season 28.


Outlook

It's pretty much a case of win and hope for the best for the Bombers. They must win their final three games to have any chance and they'll also need other results to fall in their favour along with making up percentage to make the finals. Even then, seven wins might not be enough.




Gumbies FFC

Won: 4
Lost: 9
Points: 12 (four point penalty)
Percentage: 97.98%

Remaining Fixtures

Round 14: Gold City Royals at The Golden Throne
Round 15: Mount Buller Demons at TBC
Round 16: Roys FFC vs Gumbies FFC at Brunswick Junction Oval

Gumbies FFC's draw to finish the season isn't too bad, facing the Royals at The Golden Throne first up before the top of the ladder Mount Buller Demons follow. After that, the Gumbies travel to Brunswick Junction Oval in the final round to face the Roys. The Gumbies are still a mathematical chance to make the finals so a win against the Royals in Round 14 might see them remain in the hunt and also lift themselves off the bottom of the ladder.



Highest Possible Finish: Seventh

If the Gumbies can win their last three games and see some favourable results in that time, they could finish as high as seventh. For this to happen, the Roys and Wonders would need to go winless with the Warriors, Bears and Bombers only winning one match each. It's a mathematical chance of happening but a lot would need to go right.


Lowest Possible Finish: 12th

No more wins for the year would see the Gumbies remain in 12th place on the ladder.


Outlook

Finals remain a mathematical chance so the Gumbies just need to keep winning and hope the teams above them slip up in order to keep their finals hopes in tact. Even if they don't make the finals, their first priority should be getting off the bottom of the ladder and playing spoiler to a few teams looking to cement their spots in the finals.

 

[Barrybran]

#lasttofirst baby!

 

[U2tigers]

East Side Hawks

Won: 7
Lost: 6
Points: 28
Percentage: 100.45%

Remaining Fixtures

Round 14: Roys FFC at The Eyrie
Round 15: Sin City Swamprats at TBC
Round 16: Baghdad Bombers at The Eyrie

East Side Hawks face Roys FFC in Round 14 before a date with Sin City Swamprats and Baghdad Bombers follow in the last two rounds. Overall it's a fairly decent draw, facing only one team above them on the ladder in the last three rounds of the season. A win for the Hawks coupled with a loss to the Coney Island Warriors in Round 14 would see the Hawks secure a finals spot and would also keep pressure on the teams above them for a top four berth. A heavy loss to the Roys coupled with wins to the Royals, Wonders and a big win by the Warriors could potentially see the Hawks fall as a low as ninth with two rounds to play.


Highest Possible Finish: First

The Hawks can still finish as high as first but would need the Demons to lose all of their remaining three matches while the Furies would also need to stumble badly along and rely on the Swamprats and Dragons to also have at least one loss to finish the season. While still a mathematical chance of happening, it would require a number of results to fall in their favour and this appears fairly unlikely.


Lowest Possible Finish: 11th

A bad finish to the season could see the Hawks finish as low as 11th should other teams below them register wins. This scenario also has the Bombers registering three strong wins and the Bears also winning three games which they will need in order to jump the Hawks on the ladder.


Outlook

At 7-6, the Hawks hold their finals fate in their hands. One more win should be enough for finals and they'll be eyeing off the games against the Roys and Bombers to bank as wins. If they can win both of those, that should garner them a home elimination final at the very least while victory in all three would see them in the hunt for a top four finish.




West Coast Wonders

Won: 6
Lost: 7
Points: 24
Percentage: 104.18%

Remaining Fixtures

Round 14: Fighting Furies at rfctigerarmy's hippodrome
Round 15: Dragons FFC at TBC
Round 16: West Coast Wonders at The Golden Throne

West Coast Wonders face a tough draw in the final three rounds, coming against up top four aspirants in Fighting Furies and Dragons FFC while a match-up against the Royals awaits in the Wonders in the last round of the season. The match in Round 14 against the Furies looms as a big one with victory putting them onto seven wins and that could potentially be enough to see them through to the finals. A loss to the Furies might see the Wonders fall as low as ninth by the end of the round should the teams around and below them register victories.



Highest Possible Finish: Second

A strong finish to the season coupled with some losses to the sides above them on the ladder could see the Wonders finish the home and away season as high as second. However, this would rely on the Furies losing all three games and the Swamprats and Dragons losing two matches while the Hawks would also need to lose at least one fixture. Not impossible but pretty unlikely.


Lowest Possible Finish: 12th

Three losses to finish the season along with the sides below them registering victories could see the Wonders finish 12th and therefore win the wooden spoon. For this to happen, Gumbies FFC would need to win their remaining three matches as would Baghdad Bombers although the Bombers could still overtake the Wonders with two big wins. Las Vegas Bears would also need to win at least two games for this to occur as well.


Outlook

The Wonders have a fairly tough draw to finish the season but they have one thing in their favour, a strong percentage. The Wonders' percentage is significantly better than the sides below them and is something they'll be able to utilise in order to hold onto a top eight spot. Due to this, it's plausible the Wonders could win one of their last three games and finish inside the top eight, provided they don't suffer big losses in their other fixtures and the teams behind them don't register more than seven wins for the season. The Wonders' game against the Royals could be huge with the sides potentially playing each other for a finals berth in the final round of the season.




Gold City Royals

Won: 6
Lost: 7
Points: 24
Percentage: 98.18%

Remaining Fixtures

Round 14: Gumbies FFC at The Golden Throne
Round 15: Baghdad Bombers at TBC
Round 16: West Coast Wonders at The Golden Throne

Gold City Royals have a fairly favourable draw in the final three rounds, coming up against bottom two clubs in Gumbies FFC and Baghdad Bombers in Rounds 14 and 15 while a match-up against West Coast Wonders is scheduled for Round 16. A defeat of the Gumbies in the coming round would push the Royals to seven wins and would maintain the buffer they have over the sides below them along with putting them on the cusp of a finals berth. A loss meanwhile might see the Royals slip outside the eight should the Roys knock over the Hawks and the Warriors win big against the Bears.


Highest Possible Finish: Second

A trio of wins to complete the season coupled with losses to the sides above them on the ladder could see the Royals finish as high as second come the end of the home and away season. The scenario for this to occur is similar to the Wonders in that it relies on those sides falling over quite badly in the final three rounds. While still possible, a number of results would need to occur for this to happen and this is rather unlikely.


Lowest Possible Finish: 12th

A trio of losses however might see the Royals finish as low as 12th come the end of the season should results in other matches also go against them as well. This does however rely on some teams below them winning all of their matches with others losing only a maximum of one match. While it's plausible this could occur, it's unlikely to happen.


Outlook

The Royals' fate rests in their own hands. Two games against the bottom two sides is handy and victory in both of those should be enough to lock up a finals spot. If the Royals can win those games they will enter the final match of the season against the Wonders potentially with an outside chance of a top four spot if the sides above them encounter some issues in the closing rounds. Should things not go to plan, the Royals could potentially be fighting with the Wonders for a finals spot in the last round and could serve as a mini elimination final.




Roys FFC

Won: 6
Lost: 7
Points: 24
Percentage: 93.89%

Remaining Fixtures

Round 14: East Side Hawks at The Eyrie
Round 15: Coney Island Warriors at TBC
Round 16: Roys FFC vs Gumbies FFC at Brunswick Junction Oval

Roys FFC's draw for the last three games is fairly reasonable, facing only one top eight side in the Hawks in Round 14. After that, there are match-ups against fellow finals aspirant Coney Island Warriors while the last round sees the Roys host the Gumbies at Brunswick Junction Oval. Victory over East Side Hawks would snap a five match losing streak for the Roys but also would also set-up their season putting them on seven wins with two winnable games to play. A loss though might see the Roys slip outside the top eight if the Warriors can win and win well enough.


Highest Possible Finish: Second

Second place is the highest the Roys can finish with three rounds to play. This would involve the Roys winning their last three matches along with sides above them dropping multiple matches. The Roys would also need to win quite well in order to make up the percentage between them and the clubs above them on a ladder at the moment.


Lowest Possible Finish: 12th

Alternatively, the Roys could finish on the bottom of the ladder should they lose their remaining three matches while the clubs below them win their games. As per the scenario for the Wonders and Royals, this would mean some clubs would need to go through the last three rounds undefeated with other clubs needing at least two more wins.


Outlook

Despite a run of losses in recent weeks, the Roys are still a reasonable chance to play finals. Their upcoming match against the Hawks is winnable but the Roys' most pivotal game will be the one in Round 15 against Coney Island Warriors. A win over the Warriors, who sit in ninth place at the moment would be a massive dent to their finals chances but also enhance the Roys' own prospects of securing a finals berth. Depending on how the teams outside the eight fare in the next few weeks, one more win from the Roys might be enough but they'll want two in order to feel safe.

All well and good, but I reckon there will be some captains who impact the ladder as well, impossible for there not to be a couple of team sheet errors from these idiots.

 

[AceAndy]

Great analysis here Ljp86 i wasnt aware that all teams were still in the running for finals. Plenty to play for.

 

[Dingster]

West Coast Wonders

Won: 6
Lost: 7
Points: 24
Percentage: 104.18%

Remaining Fixtures

Round 14: Fighting Furies at rfctigerarmy's hippodrome
Round 15: Dragons FFC at TBC
Round 16: West Coast Wonders at The Golden Throne

Being gifted the R16 game is grouse hey Elton Johns Wig

 

[The Filth Wizard]

Being gifted the R16 game is grouse hey Elton Johns Wig

We're just gonna sit back and watch you beat yourselves into submission and then sneak in for the win.

 

[Dingster]

We're just gonna sit back and watch you beat yourselves into submission and then sneak in for the win.

The Sneak Wizard

 

[The Filth Wizard]

The Sneak Wizard

He of the Sneak City Sneakers.

 

[AuntyBlindEye]

Great stuff Ljp86.

Everyone should be very worried about the Bears. It's all starting to come together.

 

[Barrybran]

All well and good, but I reckon there will be some captains who impact the ladder as well, impossible for there not to be a couple of team sheet errors from these idiots.

Teamsheet errors are so Round 10

We're just gonna sit back and watch you beat yourselves

 

[Kennedy Parker]

Gee the Demons are going for 3 minor premierships on the trot

 

[beez]

Difficulty of fixture for the last three rounds ranked from hardest to easiest.

1. Dragons
2. Bears
3. Wonders
4. Bombers
5. Gumbies
6. Furies
7. Warriors
8. Hawks
9. Swamprats
10. Demons
11. Roys
12. Royals

 

[TedDougChris]

#lasttofirst baby!

We’ve got first to last covered !!

 

[U2tigers]

Difficulty of fixture for the last three rounds ranked from hardest to easiest.

1. Dragons
2. Bears
3. Wonders
4. Bombers
5. Gumbies
6. Furies
7. Warriors
8. Hawks
9. Swamprats
10. Demons
11. Roys
12. Royals

Without even looking I bet the Demons have been kissed on the dick as usual.

 

[Ljp86]

All well and good, but I reckon there will be some captains who impact the ladder as well, impossible for there not to be a couple of team sheet errors from these idiots.

There might be, my analysis doesn't take that into account and nor should it as it is impossible to predict.

Great analysis here Ljp86 i wasnt aware that all teams were still in the running for finals. Plenty to play for.

Thanks Ace. Yes, all teams can still make it at the moment, that may change after today's games.

Great stuff Ljp86.

Everyone should be very worried about the Bears. It's all starting to come together.

Thanks AuntyBlindEye.

 

[JoshWoodenSpoon]

 

[DemonJim]

Without even looking I bet the Demons have been kissed on the dick as usual.

Your tears are delicious!
So salty.

 

[U2tigers]

Your tears are delicious!
So salty.

Someone from the Wonders needs to take a jab at the Demons every so often.

 

[Agent93]

All well and good, but I reckon there will be some captains who impact the ladder as well, impossible for there not to be a couple of team sheet errors from these idiots.

My money's on Dingster.

 

[TedDougChris]

All well and good, but I reckon there will be some captains who impact the ladder as well, impossible for there not to be a couple of team sheet errors from these idiots.

I have recruited Chinese and Russian hackers to make adjustments to certain teamsheets in the coming weeks....

Hopefully they will remember not to edit ours, unless I utensil up again !!

 

[Dingster]

My money's on Dingster.

And you were amazing.

 

[Agent93]

And you were amazing.

We did amazing things.

 

[Ljp86]

Two games to go and all 12 clubs are still in the hunt for a finals berth. Three more sides locked in their positions in the finals for Season 28 but there are still three other spots up for grabs. Who else can lock themselves into the Season 28 finals series and may we see any teams fall out of contention after Round 15?

Let's have a look at the run home in the last two games of the season and see your club's run home and who can finish where in Season 28.



Mount Buller Demons

Won: 10
Lost: 3
Drawn: 1
Percentage: 107.68%
Points: 42


Remaining Fixtures

Round 15: Gumbies FFC at TBC
Round 16: Las Vegas Bears at Snow Dome


Mount Buller's narrow win over Dragons FFC in Round 14 sewed up a top four spot for the Demons which guarantees them a double chance in the upcoming finals series. The draw opens up pretty nicely for the Dees with matches against Gumbies FFC and Las Vegas Bears to come in the final two rounds and they'll only need to win one of those to secure a top two spot and book a home qualifying final in week one of the finals. Regardless of what happens in their match against the Gumbies, they won't drop any lower than top spot on the ladder after Round 15 thanks to a six point gap back to Sin City Swamprats.


Highest Possible Finish: First

One more win for the season will secure the Demons their third straight minor premiership, no club has ever achieved this feat and they are in the box seat to achieve this for the first time in SFA history.


Lowest Possible Finish: Third

The Demons' lowest possible finish is third and they'd need to lose both games coupled with Sin City Swamprats and Fighting Furies winning both of their matches for this to occur.


Outlook

With a top four spot secure, the Demons can now go to work on ensuring they finish inside the top two. One more win will ensure the Demons claim the SFA's minor premiership and with matches to come against the Gumbies and Bears, you'd be a brave person to suggest they won't do so. If they can get that done in the next two weeks, the club's focus can then move onto the upcoming finals series.




Sin City Swamprats

Won: 8
Lost: 4
Drawn: 2
Percentage: 107.87%
Points: 36


Remaining Fixtures

Round 15: East Side Hawks at TBC
Round 16: Coney Island Warriors at Underground Stadium


The Swamprats were too good for the Bombers in Round 14 with their win also helping them secure a finals berth for Season 28, one of three teams to lock up a finals spot for the round. The 'Rats are now in second place, skipping ahead of the Furies on percentage and face an in-form East Side Hawks outfit in Round 15, a match that won't be a straightforward one for the Swamprats. Following that, the Swamprats are back at home to take on Coney Island Warriors in the final round.

The match against the Hawks is a fairly big encounter with the clubs from second down to fifth separated by just a game and percentage. Victory would keep the Swamprats in the top three but a loss might see them fall as low as fifth leaving them with a fight on their hands in the final round for a top four berth.


Highest Possible Finish: First

The Swamprats can finish as high at first should they win their last two games for the season coupled with the Demons dropping their final two games. The 'Rats would also need to maintain their advantageous percentage over Fighting Furies in case the Furies manage to win both of their remaining fixtures as well.


Lowest Possible Finish: Sixth

Back to back losses to finish the home and away rounds along with other results going against them could see the Swamprats fall as low as sixth on the ladder.


Outlook

The Swamprats have a fairly good run to the finals, facing the in form Hawks before a meeting with the Warriors to finish the season. The 'Rats will start favourites in both and if they can come away with the points they'll be in the box seat to finish in the top two and give themselves the best possible chance to defend last season's premiership.




Fighting Furies

Won: 9
Lost: 5
Percentage: 104.19%
Points: 36

Remaining Fixtures

Round 15: Las Vegas Bears at TBC
Round 16: Dragons FFC at Ljp86's Lair


Round 14 didn't quite go to plan for the Furies, losing to West Coast Wonders and in doing so, saw them fall to third place on percentage. Next up for the Furies is a match against Las Vegas Bears while a potential top four clash with Dragons FFC awaits in the final round.

The Furies' match against the Bears will be about consolidation, a win will keep them at least third and they'll remain in the hunt for a top two spot. A loss could see them slide as low as fifth by the end of Round 15.


Highest Possible Finish: First

If the Furies win their remaining two matches and the Demons lose their last two, the Furies can claim the minor premiership. This will also rely on the Swamprats dropping one game or having two very narrow wins so that the Furies can overtake them on percentage.


Lowest Possible Finish: Sixth

Two more losses to finish the season could see the Furies drop as low as sixth along with a number of other results going against them. While this scenario remains possible it also relies on West Coast Wonders winning their final two matches with Dragons FFC and East Side Hawks to win at least one of their last two games. It's possible but still unlikely.


Outlook

Despite the loss, the Furies are firmly in the hunt for a top two finish. Winning the minor premiership will be difficult but second place will be the main aim at the moment. Travelling in the first week of the finals won't necessarily be a bad thing either with the Furies holding the best average points differential in away games of all clubs so far this season.




Dragons FFC

Won: 8
Lost: 6
Percentage: 103.75%
Points: 32


Remaining Fixtures

Round 15: West Coast Wonders at Wanderers Stadium, Johannesburg
Round 16: Fighting Furies at Ljp86's Lair


The Dragons had a tough loss against Mount Buller Demons in Round 14, spending most of the day in the lead only for a late Demons' goal to steal the match away from the home team. The Dragons' draw doesn't get any easier with a match-up against the in form West Coast Wonders in front of them before finishing the season with a home game against fellow top two aspirant Fighting Furies.

Victory against the Wonders would be big for the Dragons and would maintain pressure on the sides above them for a top two finish. It would also maintain the gap between them and the sides below them on the ladder along with knocking the Wonders out of the top four race. A loss to the Wonders could see the Dragons fall as low as sixth by the end of Round 15.


Highest Possible Finish: Second

A good finish to the season by the Dragons could see them finish second provided the Swamprats lose at least one of their remaining matches and the Dragons can improve their percentage in comparison to the Swamprats and Furies.


Lowest Possible Finish: Eighth

Should the Dragons lose to their final two matches, they could finish as low as eighth provided the Hawks win one game (or have a superior percentage if they lose both) and the Royals and Roys win both their remaining matches and make up the percentage gap required. While this scenario is possible, the Royals and Roys would need to win their matches by significant margins in order to improve their percentage.


Outlook

Sunday's loss to the Demons wasn't part of the plan but the Dragons still secured a finals spot thanks to Coney Island Warriors' loss to Las Vegas Bears. Two matches remain and while they both loom as difficult assignments, if the Dragons can win both they'll be a strong chance to finish inside the top four and potentially the top two provided some results fall their way.